Realized P&L
+$6.53K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.56K
Hit rate
76.0%
Resolved
41
Trades
4,647
lifetime
Volume
$1.36M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$293
Open exposure
$26.5K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-19 19:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
58% 90% +$6,461
Politics
35% 0% $-591
Sports
5% 69% +$637
Crypto
2% 100% +$20
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 228 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +7,461 $5,928 78¢ $5.8K $-108 07-03 14:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -3,000 $-2,740 94¢ $-2835 $-95 06-12 15:56
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -2,402 $-2,260 96¢ $-2295 $-35 06-13 00:04
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +9,961 $1,355 22¢ $2.2K +$837 06-25 01:27
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? No -2,000 $-1,900 96¢ $-1930 $-30 07-14 20:52
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -1,870 $-1,798 98¢ $-1829 $-32 06-24 15:53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2,000 $-1,760 90¢ $-1790 $-30 06-13 06:38
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? No -1,700 $-1,496 97¢ $-1646 $-150 07-05 18:41
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -999 $-949 95¢ $-949 +$0 06-14 20:04
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,000 $565 68¢ $675 +$110 07-03 18:07
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -600 $-464 84¢ $-501 $-37 07-12 12:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -500 $-5,011 98¢ $-492 +$4,518 07-15 22:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,000 $-2,482 46¢ $455 +$2,937 07-07 21:11
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -500 $-410 86¢ $-432 $-22 06-12 16:16
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No -500 $-400 81¢ $-403 $-3 07-14 16:10
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No -500 $-350 74¢ $-372 $-22 07-04 14:34
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +500 $300 64¢ $318 +$18 06-29 14:22
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No -347 $-295 82¢ $-286 +$9 07-15 12:03
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -300 $-270 94¢ $-280 $-10 06-12 20:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -436 $-852 55¢ $-238 +$614 07-14 10:47
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? No +300 $141 76¢ $230 +$89 07-09 13:10
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? No -200 $-195 98¢ $-196 $-1 06-22 04:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -150 $-129 88¢ $-132 $-2 06-21 08:31
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026? No -82 $-78 97¢ $-79 $-1 06-15 00:33
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? No -53 $-48 90¢ $-47 +$1 07-06 08:11
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -59 $-47 68¢ $-41 +$7 06-15 07:13
Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31? No +15 $8 60¢ $9 +$2 06-24 22:02
X banned in any European country by December 31? Yes +41 $7 15¢ $6 $-1 07-08 05:10