Realized P&L
+$6.53K
Unrealized P&L
+$10.3K
Hit rate
76.0%
Resolved
41
Trades
4,373
lifetime
Volume
$1.30M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$297
Open exposure
$55.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 19:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
57% 90% +$6,461
Politics
36% 0% $-591
Sports
4% 69% +$637
Crypto
2% 100% +$20
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 228 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +24,435 $16,317 100¢ $24.3K +$8,008 06-28 15:00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +8,102 $6,518 90¢ $7.3K +$734 06-25 01:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -3,000 $-2,740 92¢ $-2745 $-5 06-12 15:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +3,750 $1,830 68¢ $2.5K +$701 06-25 09:49
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -2,402 $-2,260 94¢ $-2267 $-6 06-13 00:04
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -2,254 $-2,996 100¢ $-2248 +$748 06-23 20:23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2,000 $-1,760 90¢ $-1810 $-50 06-13 06:38
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -1,870 $-1,798 97¢ $-1810 $-12 06-24 15:53
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +1,197 $1,048 99¢ $1.2K +$137 06-23 03:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -1,436 $-1,402 82¢ $-1185 +$217 06-21 01:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +9,961 $1,355 11¢ $1.0K $-309 06-25 01:27
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -999 $-949 96¢ $-954 $-5 06-14 20:04
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? No -740 $-733 99¢ $-734 $-1 06-21 14:23
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? No -706 $-703 100¢ $-705 $-1 06-11 16:40
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? No -597 $-592 100¢ $-596 $-4 06-24 07:20
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -500 $-410 86¢ $-428 $-18 06-12 16:16
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -584 $-450 70¢ $-406 +$44 06-17 23:28
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? No -380 $-361 94¢ $-358 +$4 06-23 21:35
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +500 $300 60¢ $300 +$0 06-29 14:22
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -300 $-291 100¢ $-299 $-8 06-12 20:17
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +500 $265 59¢ $295 +$30 06-21 18:33
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No -358 $-287 79¢ $-283 +$4 06-29 13:39
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -300 $-270 94¢ $-280 $-10 06-12 20:19
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? No +324 $162 80¢ $259 +$97 06-05 00:36
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? No -200 $-195 98¢ $-196 $-1 06-22 04:21
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? No -205 $-181 88¢ $-179 +$1 06-28 02:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -150 $-129 88¢ $-132 $-2 06-21 08:31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30? No -127 $-126 100¢ $-127 $-0 06-10 17:52
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026? No -82 $-78 97¢ $-80 $-1 06-15 00:33
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -59 $-47 66¢ $-39 +$8 06-15 07:13