Realized P&L
+$25.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$199
Hit rate
83.6%
Resolved
732
Trades
5,853
lifetime
Volume
$1.73M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$296
Open exposure
$41.2K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 23:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 175 days
Categories
Other
57% 69% +$17,607
Politics
35% 62% +$6,013
Sports
6% 58% +$2,165
Crypto
1% 76% -$603
Pop-Culture
0% 83% +$218
Tech
0% 60% +$291
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +25,036 $23,051 92¢ $22.9K -$144 10-26 06:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -3,000 -$2,740 96¢ $-2875 -$135 06-12 15:56
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -2,499 -$2,351 98¢ $-2437 -$86 06-13 00:09
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -2,206 -$2,065 94¢ $-2068 -$3 06-24 09:45
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? No -2,000 -$1,900 97¢ $-1944 -$44 07-14 20:52
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -1,870 -$1,798 99¢ $-1843 -$46 06-24 15:53
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -1,000 -$950 98¢ $-983 -$33 06-14 20:04
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +1,000 $615 88¢ $880 +$265 06-29 14:22
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -816 -$807 94¢ $-771 +$36 10-02 06:45
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No -790 -$548 80¢ $-628 -$80 08-12 21:30
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No -500 -$475 96¢ $-478 -$2 10-26 01:21
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +500 $268 93¢ $465 +$197 05-13 19:48
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No -500 -$400 91¢ $-456 -$56 07-14 16:10
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No -467 -$670 95¢ $-443 +$227 08-17 00:58
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +450 $423 98¢ $443 +$20 06-15 05:37
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -500 -$400 75¢ $-375 +$25 06-15 07:49
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +321 $274 96¢ $307 +$32 08-14 10:10
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -300 -$270 97¢ $-291 -$21 06-12 20:19
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No -2,300 -$471 12¢ $-276 +$195 06-21 19:37
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -200 -$225 85¢ $-170 +$55 07-12 12:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +500 $177 18¢ $92 -$86 05-02 07:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +1,000 $180 3¢ $30 -$150 10-23 10:13
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +450 $94 2¢ $7 -$87 05-24 19:00
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +0 -$120 34¢ $0 +$120 06-07 00:38