Realized P&L (30d)
+$4.44K
Unrealized P&L
+$666
Hit rate
99.6%
Resolved (30d)
5
Trades (30d)
57
5,858 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$94.1K
$1.74M lifetime
Avg / trade
$297
Open exposure
$41.8K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 10:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 176 days
Categories
Other
57% 69% +$17,607
Politics
35% 61% +$5,833
Sports
6% 58% +$2,165
Crypto
1% 76% -$603
Pop-Culture
0% 83% +$218
Tech
0% 60% +$291
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +23,036 $21,191 94¢ $21.8K +$578 10-30 10:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -3,000 -$2,740 97¢ $-2908 -$168 06-12 15:56
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -2,499 -$2,351 97¢ $-2435 -$84 06-13 00:09
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -2,206 -$2,065 94¢ $-2077 -$12 06-24 09:45
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? No -2,000 -$1,900 96¢ $-1927 -$27 07-14 20:52
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -1,870 -$1,798 99¢ $-1846 -$49 06-24 15:53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +2,534 $2,118 70¢ $1.8K -$357 10-31 10:34
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -1,000 -$950 98¢ $-981 -$31 06-14 20:04
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +1,000 $615 88¢ $885 +$270 06-29 14:22
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -816 -$807 94¢ $-771 +$36 10-02 06:45
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No -790 -$548 80¢ $-636 -$88 08-12 21:30
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +500 $268 93¢ $465 +$197 05-13 19:48
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No -500 -$475 92¢ $-458 +$18 10-26 01:21
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No -500 -$400 90¢ $-448 -$48 07-14 16:10
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No -467 -$670 95¢ $-442 +$228 08-17 00:58
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +450 $423 97¢ $434 +$12 06-15 05:37
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -500 -$400 74¢ $-368 +$32 06-15 07:49
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No -2,300 -$471 14¢ $-322 +$149 06-21 19:37
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +321 $274 94¢ $304 +$29 08-14 10:10
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -300 -$270 97¢ $-290 -$20 06-12 20:19
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -200 -$225 84¢ $-169 +$56 07-12 12:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +500 $177 16¢ $80 -$97 05-02 07:16
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +450 $94 3¢ $16 -$79 05-24 19:00
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +0 -$120 29¢ $0 +$120 06-07 00:38