Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?
open
Total volume
$915
Trades
103
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$236
Latest YES mid
25¢
Latest NO mid
75¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-14 12:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-40.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $162
vs crowd: 40% YES on $794)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $12 | $248 | $236 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $61 | $183 | $122 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $213 | $25 | +$188 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $35 | $18 | +$17 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $162 | $162 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $13 | $94 | $81 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $12 | $8 | +$3 |
| Median | 3 | $2 | $4 | $2 |
| Below median | 5 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $51 | $166 | $115 |
| unranked | 10 | $236 | $28 | +$208 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stunning-Palace 0x999f…addb | Yes | +407 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-05 00:36 |
| Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | +300 | $141 | $183 | 4 | 07-09 13:10 |
| Capital-Poem 0x397b…d4bd | No | +180 | $166 | $166 | 5 | 06-02 15:16 |
| Capital-Poem 0x397b…d4bd | Yes | +137 | $51 | $51 | 5 | 06-01 12:16 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +121 | $12 | $12 | 9 | 06-17 04:22 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +104 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 06-05 00:36 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +38 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-29 08:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +34 | $4 | $4 | 5 | 07-13 16:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x571a…1b17 | Yes | +29 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 07-09 13:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b1c…1ec7 | Yes | +24 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-14 12:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | +24 | $19 | $19 | 4 | 07-09 14:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xc97b…8a22 | Yes | +14 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-09 14:16 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 13:10 |
| Hoarse-Custody 0x860d…3c72 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-15 16:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xc97b…8a22 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-09 14:15 |
| Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-13 18:47 |
| Famous-Sovereignty 0x86aa…2682 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-05 13:58 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +4 | $-0 | $10 | 11 | 07-09 14:15 |
| Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 08:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x0456…5c6a | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-03 02:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-13 09:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 12:15:01 | (anonymous) 0x8b1c…1ec7 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xbbf277… |
| 07-14 12:15:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xbbf277… |
| 07-13 16:10:02 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 2 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x96a45d… |
| 07-13 16:10:02 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 2 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x96a45d… |
| 07-13 09:46:56 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 1 | 63¢ | $1 | 0xda5c95… |
| 07-13 09:46:56 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | No | BUY | 1 | 63¢ | $1 | 0xda5c95… |
| 07-11 13:17:29 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x91d6e1… |
| 07-11 13:17:29 | Indolent-Coordinator 0x07ee…8dfe | Yes | SELL | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x91d6e1… |
| 07-09 14:16:02 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 7 | 82¢ | $6 | 0x3ce75b… |
| 07-09 14:16:02 | (anonymous) 0xc97b…8a22 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x3ce75b… |
| 07-09 14:15:32 | (anonymous) 0xc97b…8a22 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x46c716… |
| 07-09 14:15:32 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x46c716… |
| 07-09 14:15:01 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xc30968… |
| 07-09 14:15:01 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0xc30968… |
| 07-09 14:15:01 | (anonymous) 0xc97b…8a22 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xc30968… |
| 07-09 13:10:14 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | SELL | 24 | 89¢ | $21 | 0x45533e… |
| 07-09 13:10:14 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | Yes | SELL | 72 | 12¢ | $9 | 0x45533e… |
| 07-09 13:10:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x45533e… |
| 07-09 13:10:14 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x45533e… |
| 07-09 13:10:14 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x45533e… |
| 07-09 13:08:46 | (anonymous) 0x571a…1b17 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x8581c0… |
| 07-09 13:08:46 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x8581c0… |
| 07-09 13:08:46 | Indolent-Coordinator 0x07ee…8dfe | Yes | SELL | 3 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x8581c0… |
| 07-09 13:08:41 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x9f81c2… |
| 07-09 13:08:41 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x9f81c2… |
| 07-09 13:08:41 | (anonymous) 0x571a…1b17 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x9f81c2… |
| 07-09 13:08:41 | Indolent-Coordinator 0x07ee…8dfe | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x9f81c2… |
| 07-05 13:58:46 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xd931cf… |
| 07-05 13:58:46 | Famous-Sovereignty 0x86aa…2682 | No | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0xd931cf… |
| 07-03 11:39:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xefa373… |
| 07-03 11:39:11 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 9 | 75¢ | $7 | 0xefa373… |
| 07-03 02:17:38 | (anonymous) 0x0456…5c6a | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xe70778… |
| 07-03 02:17:38 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xe70778… |
| 07-03 02:13:43 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x249b98… |
| 07-03 02:13:43 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $9 | 0x249b98… |
| 07-02 01:41:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xfd23ca… |
| 07-02 01:41:47 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | No | SELL | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0xfd23ca… |
| 06-22 19:01:17 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 60 | 17¢ | $10 | 0x19fde2… |
| 06-22 19:01:17 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x19fde2… |
| 06-22 19:01:17 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | Yes | BUY | 72 | 17¢ | $12 | 0x19fde2… |
| 06-17 04:22:47 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x12eaf4… |
| 06-17 04:22:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x12eaf4… |
| 06-15 16:54:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x28e01d… |
| 06-15 16:54:01 | Hoarse-Custody 0x860d…3c72 | No | BUY | 7 | 82¢ | $6 | 0x28e01d… |
| 06-13 18:47:07 | Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x70c35f… |
| 06-13 18:47:07 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x70c35f… |
| 06-13 01:13:01 | Famous-Sovereignty 0x86aa…2682 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xcf323b… |
| 06-13 01:13:01 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0xcf323b… |
| 06-12 16:41:34 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x8a1ca1… |
| 06-12 16:41:34 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0x8a1ca1… |
| 06-12 04:09:22 | Indolent-Coordinator 0x07ee…8dfe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x3b3b84… |
| 06-12 04:09:22 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x3b3b84… |
| 06-11 21:35:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x93f153… |
| 06-11 21:35:07 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x93f153… |
| 06-11 21:02:01 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xbafdf1… |
| 06-11 21:02:01 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xbafdf1… |
| 06-11 21:02:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xbafdf1… |
| 06-11 20:10:18 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x0d69b9… |
| 06-11 20:10:18 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x0d69b9… |
| 06-11 18:49:24 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x8b4e58… |
| 06-11 18:49:24 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x8b4e58… |
| 06-11 18:38:25 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x0ea5f3… |
| 06-11 18:38:25 | Indolent-Coordinator 0x07ee…8dfe | Yes | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0ea5f3… |
| 06-11 18:38:25 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x0ea5f3… |
| 06-11 18:38:25 | Overjoyed-Vicinity 0x26ab…8558 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x0ea5f3… |
| 06-05 00:36:06 | Stunning-Palace 0x999f…addb | Yes | BUY | 407 | 49¢ | $200 | 0x290831… |
| 06-05 00:36:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 88 | 54¢ | $48 | 0x290831… |
| 06-05 00:36:06 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | BUY | 319 | 50¢ | $159 | 0x290831… |
| 06-02 15:16:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x6a4a42… |
| 06-02 15:16:51 | Capital-Poem 0x397b…d4bd | No | BUY | 46 | 94¢ | $43 | 0x6a4a42… |
| 06-02 15:16:51 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6a4a42… |
| 06-01 12:16:33 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 41¢ | $8 | 0x665080… |
| 06-01 12:16:33 | Capital-Poem 0x397b…d4bd | Yes | BUY | 46 | 43¢ | $20 | 0x665080… |
| 06-01 12:16:33 | (anonymous) 0x23ae…6db4 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 44¢ | $4 | 0x665080… |
| 06-01 12:16:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 16 | 56¢ | $9 | 0x665080… |
| 06-01 12:14:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xd1b1b4… |
| 06-01 12:14:40 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xd1b1b4… |
| 06-01 12:14:40 | Capital-Poem 0x397b…d4bd | No | BUY | 46 | 91¢ | $41 | 0xd1b1b4… |
| 06-01 12:14:40 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xd1b1b4… |
| 05-29 16:27:15 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x5f168d… |
| 05-29 16:27:15 | Capital-Poem 0x397b…d4bd | Yes | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x5f168d… |
| 05-29 16:27:13 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | BUY | 1 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x9d64ba… |
| 05-29 16:27:13 | Capital-Poem 0x397b…d4bd | Yes | BUY | 41 | 33¢ | $14 | 0x9d64ba… |
| 05-29 16:27:13 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 30¢ | $9 | 0x9d64ba… |
| 05-29 16:27:13 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | SELL | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x9d64ba… |
| 05-29 14:40:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x4697fb… |
| 05-29 14:40:56 | Capital-Poem 0x397b…d4bd | No | BUY | 4 | 89¢ | $3 | 0x4697fb… |
| 05-29 14:40:55 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x88d9a6… |
| 05-29 14:40:55 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x88d9a6… |
| 05-29 14:40:55 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x88d9a6… |
| 05-29 14:40:55 | Capital-Poem 0x397b…d4bd | No | BUY | 41 | 89¢ | $37 | 0x88d9a6… |
| 05-29 08:55:42 | Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x67ad9b… |
| 05-29 08:55:42 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 4 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x67ad9b… |
| 05-29 08:52:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa75a57… |
| 05-29 08:52:54 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa75a57… |
| 05-29 08:52:52 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xa18d97… |
| 05-29 08:52:52 | Capital-Poem 0x397b…d4bd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xa18d97… |
| 05-29 08:52:50 | Capital-Poem 0x397b…d4bd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 27¢ | $11 | 0x3d4151… |
| 05-29 08:52:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x3d4151… |
| 05-29 08:52:50 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | BUY | 38 | 76¢ | $29 | 0x3d4151… |