Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
90.3%
Resolved
5
Trades
503
lifetime
Volume
$736
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$26
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 07-21 22:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
41%
Politics
31% 67% $-1
Sports
21% 100% +$1
Crypto
6%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 $-0 07-05 13:58
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -4 $-3 92¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 23:41
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -3 $-2 93¢ $-3 $-0 06-02 13:39
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? No -3 $-3 92¢ $-3 $-0 05-28 23:19
Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026? No +4 $3 72¢ $3 $-0 07-05 13:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 06-06 20:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 21:43
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-06 21:07
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-13 01:13
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 00:02
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 07-04 11:27
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 00:02
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 82¢ $-1 +$0 06-02 21:41
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026? No +1 $1 66¢ $1 $-0 07-05 13:58
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +1 $1 $0 $-1 06-13 01:54