Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
90.3%
Resolved
5
Trades
454
lifetime
Volume
$664
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$31
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 06-29 20:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
41%
Politics
33% 67% $-1
Sports
20% 100% +$1
Crypto
5%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -4 $-3 90¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 23:41
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -3 $-2 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-02 13:39
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? No -3 $-3 89¢ $-3 $-0 05-28 23:19
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +7 $3 36¢ $3 $-0 06-25 23:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 06-06 20:21
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +3 $2 41¢ $1 $-1 06-25 23:21
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 23:42
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-06 21:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 21:43
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-13 01:13
Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 06-14 18:48
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 00:02
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 91¢ $-1 +$0 06-06 21:07
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-13 01:40
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 82¢ $-1 +$0 06-02 21:41
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 00:02
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +1 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 06-28 16:26
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 06-13 01:13
Will Chappell Roan perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $-0 06-13 20:04
Will Rihanna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $-0 06-13 20:03
Will SZA perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $-0 06-13 20:03
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No -0 $-0 100¢ $-0 $-0 06-13 20:16
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +1 $1 $0 $-1 06-13 01:54