Famous-Sovereignty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.3%

Resolved

Trades

547

lifetime

Volume

$799

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 08-09 11:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

42% — —

Politics

31% 67% $-1

Sports

20% 100% +$1

Crypto

7% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	6	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-28 01:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	7	$11	7	5	+2	open	—	04-28 01:39
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-31 10:37
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 26 715	3	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	01-27 19:21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	4	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	05-28 20:39
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-21 18:32
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-25 01:12
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-20 22:28
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-25 23:17
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-09 00:17
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	08-02 11:44
will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-20 11:25
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	3	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-13 22:43
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-19 20:49
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-20 10:50
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-22 23:25
Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 21:14
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	3	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-14 21:52
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-02 23:27
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-01 01:06
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	3	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	01-27 22:02
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	2	$5	1	4	-3	open	—	08-04 22:03
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	3	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	06-18 00:01
btc updown 5m 1781398500	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-14 00:54
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	2	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	06-16 01:06
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?	3	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	08-01 17:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-27 19:21
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-28 20:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-27 01:27
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-31 12:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 11:57:51	will enes kanter freedom be drafted 2027 wnba draft	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xaf396b…
08-08 18:05:03	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4d1e89…
08-08 11:35:21	trump announces lisa cook termination by september 30 20260807185637360	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc2534c…
08-08 11:35:18	trump announces lisa cook termination by august 31 20260807185637359	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x02e3b3…
08-08 11:34:21	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x06addd…
08-07 21:36:48	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by august 31 20260720003950635	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc2be21…
08-06 21:27:48	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc6215d…
08-06 21:16:50	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x93d7e2…
08-06 21:11:33	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x42f8b3…
08-06 21:11:06	rodrigo paz out as president of bolivia by october 31 2026 20260730195849336	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc6c502…
08-05 23:37:14	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x87d162…
08-05 23:34:47	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x057e36…
08-04 22:03:48	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4ce1b0…
08-02 19:49:42	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd21ffa…
08-02 11:49:56	will trump praise allah again by august 31 20260730192606732	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x00e6bd…
08-02 11:48:12	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa73b2b…
08-02 11:44:54	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xfa5394…
08-02 01:03:44	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xa07dcd…
08-02 01:01:57	will trump meet with elon musk in august 2026 20260731154202616	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6964b7…
08-02 01:01:39	will trump speak to elon musk in august 20260731154203530	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1610d5…
08-01 17:36:18	will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x138002…
08-01 17:35:41	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb733c1…
08-01 17:35:36	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x1ef101…
08-01 17:34:51	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x17e102…
08-01 17:34:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xa190a0…
08-01 17:34:00	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xf0ad2e…
08-01 17:33:56	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc1cd65…
08-01 17:32:14	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdf171f…
08-01 17:31:56	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xabaa0a…
08-01 17:31:42	us x china tariff agreement by august 31 20260730193605176	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x57c3b8…
08-01 17:29:21	will ethereum dip to 1400 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x48fa3e…
08-01 17:29:12	will ethereum dip to 1500 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9cc358…
08-01 17:26:42	Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xdaa44e…
08-01 13:10:18	will bitcoin dip to 50k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x22129c…
08-01 13:10:05	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x46ef92…
08-01 13:09:56	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2dcd95…
08-01 13:08:06	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa1b738…
08-01 13:07:32	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x6249ce…
08-01 13:07:21	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd8caac…
08-01 13:07:18	will wti reach 120 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb1d3cd…
07-28 00:00:57	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0744c5…
07-28 00:00:42	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6a6460…
07-27 23:57:00	nato downs another russian drone by july 31 20260726215001930	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2fed0a…
07-27 23:55:45	NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x0c82a4…
07-21 22:50:19	will israel election happen as scheduled 20260720204824362	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x28b60a…
07-21 22:50:15	will israel election happen as scheduled 20260720204824362	No	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x592cda…
07-21 22:49:57	will israel election happen as scheduled 20260720204824362	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe9479a…
07-20 23:49:07	will spider man die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259199	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x18f834…
07-20 23:48:28	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by august 31 20260720003950635	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xcef144…
07-20 23:48:25	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x474ad9…
07-20 23:44:54	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc7c3f6…
07-20 23:44:18	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x31c1c6…
07-20 23:43:04	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x0e1ddd…
07-20 23:42:58	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x0c1add…
07-20 23:42:36	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf01de8…
07-20 23:42:28	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3c7580…
07-20 23:42:21	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfa2bbc…
07-20 23:42:15	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xef0a48…
07-20 23:42:15	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x273f99…
07-11 19:25:11	will trump praise allah again by july 31 20260709192527504	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x805774…
07-10 21:55:11	Will The Weeknd perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x99dfe4…
07-10 21:54:56	Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xcc5911…
07-10 21:54:55	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xdca53c…
07-08 11:12:14	another world cup card reversed 20260706193823524	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x78f8a7…
07-08 11:12:13	another world cup card reversed 20260706193823524	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xed068e…
07-08 11:09:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xadd20c…
07-08 11:08:44	viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x51e899…
07-07 23:18:47	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc5281b…
07-07 23:13:29	will gas hit 5pt00 high by july 31 20260630204749447	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf714d1…
07-07 23:07:31	will lionel messi score 12 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232542062	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe05aab…
07-07 23:07:28	will lionel messi score 13 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232556159	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x55d435…
07-07 23:05:38	will trump pardon anyone by july 31 20260707005101355	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb4a58a…
07-05 23:32:34	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd69cf7…
07-05 19:35:43	will thor die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259191	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb67c4c…
07-05 19:35:37	will ant man die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259197	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7326f5…
07-05 19:22:47	us bank failure by july 31 20260630183502534	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa9023b…
07-05 13:58:46	Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xd931cf…
07-05 13:58:43	Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x4f86b7…
07-05 13:58:38	Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1f3c1f…
07-04 11:27:35	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x13672e…
07-04 11:26:04	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3a1ed7…
07-04 11:25:59	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x89617e…
07-04 11:24:41	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x912db4…
07-04 11:24:35	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6a8061…
07-04 11:24:31	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x337883…
07-04 11:20:19	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbd0e8a…
07-04 11:19:20	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x521402…
07-04 11:12:43	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x54fb00…
07-04 11:12:02	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbd1a75…
07-04 11:03:50	Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x948b59…
07-04 11:03:38	Will Lady Gaga perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xeee3aa…
07-04 11:03:28	Will Ed Sheeran perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc2ba6a…
07-04 11:03:02	Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x09bc3a…
06-29 20:28:26	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x7fd2f4…
06-29 20:23:34	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x807e30…
06-28 16:26:07	Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbf8915…
06-27 23:55:22	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8624ae…
06-27 23:54:08	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x1fee26…
06-27 23:51:32	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x221412…
06-25 23:22:04	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xa07b6d…