Realized P&L
+$761
Unrealized P&L
-$283
Hit rate
68.4%
Resolved
164
Trades
4,509
lifetime
Volume
$25.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$916
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-27 12:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Politics
48% 55% +$798
Other
46% 43% -$237
Sports
7% 68% +$201
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,480 $162 3¢ $167 +$5 10-21 10:16
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -160 -$54 97¢ $-155 -$101 05-06 00:18
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100,000 $79 0¢ $150 +$71 10-25 22:39
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +160 $109 68¢ $110 +$1 10-26 01:51
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -720 -$64 15¢ $-105 -$41 08-03 18:39
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -443 -$50 13¢ $-58 -$8 08-07 06:28
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +80 $26 46¢ $37 +$11 10-06 03:14
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,182 $19 1¢ $32 +$13 10-27 13:37
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +11,877 -$12 0¢ $30 +$42 10-27 12:14
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +1,285 $145 2¢ $21 -$125 10-27 07:56
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,136 $14 0¢ $12 -$1 10-25 05:58
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -200 -$6 4¢ $-7 -$2 06-10 01:50
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes +80 $19 8¢ $7 -$12 10-27 07:58
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -200 -$5 2¢ $-5 $0 10-10 13:15
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +337 $5 1¢ $5 $0 10-27 07:50
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -200 -$4 2¢ $-4 $0 06-10 01:50
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -200 -$1 2¢ $-4 -$3 06-10 01:50
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +40 $3 10¢ $4 +$1 09-28 05:29
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,000 $4 0¢ $3 -$1 10-06 03:02
Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -705 -$5 0¢ $-1 +$4 06-01 03:09
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -600 $136 0¢ $-1 -$137 06-10 01:33
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 -$1 17¢ $0 +$1 07-19 04:54