Realized P&L
+$68
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
48.1%
Resolved
175
Trades
1,287
lifetime
Volume
$3.74K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$93
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-17
last 10-18 05:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Sports
43% 64% +$27
Other
41% 57% +$31
Politics
12% 72% +$9
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Tech
1% 100% +$1
Crypto
1% 50% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 09-11 12:46
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? No +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$1 09-01 08:12
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +6 $4 91¢ $6 +$2 09-04 03:38
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$1 08-20 16:49
Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 08-11 04:14
Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 09-01 14:20
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +6 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 08-30 13:53
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? No +6 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 08-05 19:16
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 08-13 05:02
Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 06-20 12:52
will dune part three be nominated for best picture at the 99th academy awards Yes — +6 $5 82¢ $5 +$0 08-14 16:35
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? No +6 $5 73¢ $4 -$1 08-07 12:34
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? No +8 $3 51¢ $4 +$1 09-19 08:11
Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Yes +6 $5 53¢ $3 -$2 09-11 02:29
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 92¢ $3 +$1 06-27 16:08
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? No +3 $2 98¢ $3 +$1 07-01 20:17
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? No +6 $5 42¢ $3 -$2 09-12 07:44
Will Chengdu Rongcheng win Chinese Super League? Yes — +2 -$1 80¢ $2 +$3 07-09 14:48
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-18 18:06
Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026? No +2 -$1 74¢ $2 +$2 09-06 18:48
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? No +2 $0 92¢ $1 +$1 06-27 05:19
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 07-06 01:49
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-17 19:08
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Yes +7 $5 17¢ $1 -$4 09-04 05:00
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 07-27 19:28
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? No +1 $0 98¢ $1 +$0 08-06 05:52
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 07-09 08:25
Will Sean O'Malley be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$1 07-25 16:57
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-10 12:39
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No +0 -$2 98¢ $0 +$2 07-28 04:04