Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
302
lifetime
Volume
$888
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$60
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-17
last 07-08 02:08
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Sports
45%
Politics
29%
Other
22%
Crypto
2%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Boston Red Sox clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 07-08 02:08
Will the Indiana Fever make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +7 $4 76¢ $5 +$1 06-25 17:48
Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +7 $5 68¢ $5 +$0 06-20 18:31
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? Yes +7 $5 52¢ $4 $-1 06-29 18:37
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7? No +5 $3 76¢ $4 +$1 06-18 09:25
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B? No +5 $3 82¢ $4 +$0 06-18 07:06
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +5 $3 75¢ $4 +$1 06-17 21:00
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $4 70¢ $4 +$0 07-01 02:15
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 78¢ $3 +$1 06-27 16:08
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win more than 87.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 87.5 +5 $3 52¢ $3 $-0 06-22 21:38
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? No +3 $2 78¢ $2 +$0 07-01 20:17
Will Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? Yes +2 $1 74¢ $2 +$1 06-29 18:28
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +2 $2 83¢ $2 +$0 06-18 18:06
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No +2 $2 84¢ $2 +$0 06-18 12:59
Spain snap election called in 2026? No +2 $2 70¢ $2 $-1 06-19 13:11
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? No +2 $0 94¢ $1 +$1 06-27 05:19
Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027? No +1 $0 82¢ $1 +$1 06-27 12:22
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 07-06 01:49
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026? No +2 $2 70¢ $1 $-0 06-25 13:06
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-20 04:21
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-19 20:26
Japan recession in 2026? No +1 $0 90¢ $1 +$0 07-07 08:31
Over $1.2B crypto hack value in 2026? Yes +1 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 07-02 03:11
Will the Chicago Sky make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 07-07 04:51
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +1 $-0 74¢ $1 +$1 06-28 05:09
Will the Buffalo Bills make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Yes +1 $1 77¢ $1 +$0 07-02 14:37
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? No +1 $0 93¢ $1 +$0 07-04 07:47
Will the Phoenix Mercury make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +1 $1 64¢ $0 $-0 06-29 08:57
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? Yes +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-21 13:29
Another US debt downgrade before 2027? No +0 $0 80¢ $0 $-0 06-22 03:45