Will the San Francisco Giants win more than 82.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
open
Total volume
$746
Trades
46
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$910
End date
2026-10-05
First seen
2026-06-10
last 08-16 20:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $2 | $361 | $359 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $18 | $96 | $78 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $14 | $30 | $16 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $38 | $38 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $160 | $160 |
| Below median | 4 | $2 | $77 | $75 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $1 | $63 | $63 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $38 | $38 |
| unranked | 9 | $19 | $111 | $91 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strict-Blind 0xffaf…b675 | U 82.5 | +136 | $118 | $118 | 6 | 08-16 19:57 |
| Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | O 82.5 | +98 | $-9 | $34 | 6 | 08-16 20:47 |
| Tangible-Ingrate 0x9cbb…dab4 | O 82.5 | +50 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-10 23:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | O 82.5 | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-16 20:09 |
| Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 82.5 | +50 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 06-10 23:04 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | U 82.5 | +40 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 08-16 19:31 |
| Dishonest-Classification 0x4e87…179b | U 82.5 | +27 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 08-13 07:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 82.5 | +26 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 08-15 15:42 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | O 82.5 | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-13 07:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ea4…a547 | O 82.5 | +15 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 08-16 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | U 82.5 | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-16 19:31 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | U 82.5 | +1 | $-1 | $66 | 4 | 08-16 20:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 20:47:06 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | O 82.5 | SELL | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x3a6918… |
| 08-16 20:47:06 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | U 82.5 | SELL | 40 | 92¢ | $37 | 0x3a6918… |
| 08-16 20:41:49 | (anonymous) 0x2ea4…a547 | O 82.5 | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x06d0fe… |
| 08-16 20:41:49 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | O 82.5 | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x06d0fe… |
| 08-16 20:41:42 | (anonymous) 0x2ea4…a547 | O 82.5 | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb5b315… |
| 08-16 20:41:42 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | O 82.5 | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb5b315… |
| 08-16 20:09:52 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | U 82.5 | SELL | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0xb4815f… |
| 08-16 20:09:52 | (anonymous) 0x2ea4…a547 | O 82.5 | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xb4815f… |
| 08-16 20:09:52 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | O 82.5 | SELL | 155 | 11¢ | $18 | 0xb4815f… |
| 08-16 20:09:52 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | U 82.5 | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xb4815f… |
| 08-16 20:09:52 | Hasty-Rhinoceros 0xcc36…d35d | U 82.5 | SELL | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0xb4815f… |
| 08-16 20:09:52 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | O 82.5 | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xb4815f… |
| 08-16 19:57:19 | Strict-Blind 0xffaf…b675 | U 82.5 | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x8444b5… |
| 08-16 19:57:19 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | U 82.5 | SELL | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x8444b5… |
| 08-16 19:57:18 | Strict-Blind 0xffaf…b675 | U 82.5 | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0xad4ac6… |
| 08-16 19:57:18 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | U 82.5 | SELL | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0xad4ac6… |
| 08-16 19:57:13 | Strict-Blind 0xffaf…b675 | U 82.5 | BUY | 40 | 81¢ | $32 | 0x9d84ee… |
| 08-16 19:57:13 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | U 82.5 | SELL | 40 | 81¢ | $32 | 0x9d84ee… |
| 08-16 19:57:10 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | U 82.5 | SELL | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0xf37385… |
| 08-16 19:57:10 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | U 82.5 | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0xf37385… |
| 08-16 19:57:07 | Strict-Blind 0xffaf…b675 | U 82.5 | BUY | 9 | 81¢ | $7 | 0xe5c70b… |
| 08-16 19:57:07 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | U 82.5 | SELL | 40 | 81¢ | $32 | 0xe5c70b… |
| 08-16 19:57:07 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | U 82.5 | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0xe5c70b… |
| 08-16 19:57:07 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | U 82.5 | BUY | 11 | 81¢ | $9 | 0xe5c70b… |
| 08-16 19:31:22 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | O 82.5 | SELL | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x01d5ee… |
| 08-16 19:31:22 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | O 82.5 | BUY | 26 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x01d5ee… |
| 08-16 19:31:22 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | U 82.5 | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x01d5ee… |
| 08-16 19:31:19 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | U 82.5 | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x21d7d1… |
| 08-16 19:31:19 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | U 82.5 | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x21d7d1… |
| 08-16 19:31:19 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | U 82.5 | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x21d7d1… |
| 08-16 19:31:19 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | U 82.5 | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x21d7d1… |
| 08-16 19:31:19 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | U 82.5 | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x21d7d1… |
| 08-16 19:31:19 | Hasty-Rhinoceros 0xcc36…d35d | U 82.5 | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x21d7d1… |
| 08-16 19:31:19 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | U 82.5 | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x21d7d1… |
| 08-16 19:31:19 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | U 82.5 | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x21d7d1… |
| 08-16 19:31:19 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | O 82.5 | BUY | 277 | 4¢ | $11 | 0x21d7d1… |
| 08-16 19:31:19 | Concerned-Nylon 0xc8ca…0097 | O 82.5 | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x21d7d1… |
| 08-15 15:42:27 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 82.5 | BUY | 19 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xeed291… |
| 08-15 15:42:27 | Strict-Blind 0xffaf…b675 | U 82.5 | BUY | 26 | 98¢ | $26 | 0xeed291… |
| 08-15 15:41:34 | Strict-Blind 0xffaf…b675 | U 82.5 | BUY | 21 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x23f62d… |
| 08-15 15:41:34 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | O 82.5 | BUY | 21 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x23f62d… |
| 08-13 07:03:37 | Concerned-Nylon 0xc8ca…0097 | O 82.5 | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x935bf1… |
| 08-13 07:03:37 | Dishonest-Classification 0x4e87…179b | U 82.5 | BUY | 27 | 94¢ | $25 | 0x935bf1… |
| 08-13 07:03:37 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | O 82.5 | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x935bf1… |
| 06-10 23:04:55 | Tangible-Ingrate 0x9cbb…dab4 | O 82.5 | BUY | 50 | 24¢ | $12 | 0xdc44b1… |
| 06-10 23:04:55 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 82.5 | BUY | 50 | 76¢ | $38 | 0xdc44b1… |