Realized P&L
+$2.40K
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
70.5%
Resolved
5,872
Trades
24,319
lifetime
Volume
$9.76K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$20
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 11-11 12:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 206 days
Categories
Other
78% 29% +$2,042
Sports
9% 24% +$195
Crypto
7% 24% -$26
Politics
3% 48% +$72
Tech
2% 63% +$98
Pop-Culture
1% 78% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Robert Hamberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen? Yes +5 $2 99¢ $5 +$3 10-26 06:31
Will Dave Carroll win the 2026 Brantford—Brant South by-election? Yes +28 $0 11¢ $3 +$3 11-08 13:51
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 21? No +66 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 11-10 07:33
Will Robert Hamberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen? No +125 $2 1¢ $2 -$1 11-11 06:09
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 0%-5%? Yes +75 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 11-06 17:25
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 10%-15%? No +19 $1 5¢ $1 $0 11-05 14:11
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 15%-20%? No +29 $1 2¢ $1 $0 11-09 21:46
Will AfD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? Yes +19 $0 3¢ $1 +$1 11-11 13:15
Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 21? Yes +19 $0 3¢ $1 +$0 11-10 01:22
Will "Lies - Zach Bryan feat. Lana Del Rey" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 21? Yes +20 $0 3¢ $1 +$0 11-10 01:22
Will "Take Me Home (4 Christmas) - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 21? Yes +19 $0 3¢ $1 +$0 11-10 01:22
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 0%-5%? Yes +60 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-06 17:25
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 5% or more? Yes +90 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-06 17:24
Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? Yes -26 -$2 2¢ $-0 +$2 10-19 06:52
Will "Been by Now - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 21? Yes +19 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-10 01:22
Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 21? Yes +19 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-10 01:22
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer at APEC? Yes +1 $0 24¢ $0 +$0 11-11 13:50
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No +7 -$2 4¢ $0 +$2 11-05 19:39
Will "Expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 21? Yes +9 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-10 01:22
Will Grüne be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? No +5 $0 4¢ $0 $0 11-07 21:26
Will Joe Bartolozzi win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 $0 11-04 23:34
Will Trump and Xi only be photographed shaking hands at APEC? Yes +6 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 11-11 05:31
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 21? Yes +29 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-10 01:22
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 10%-15%? Yes +42 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-08 01:59
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner Ground Zero Gaming +46 $1 0¢ $0 $0 11-11 10:45
Will StableRonaldo win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards? Yes +6 $0 2¢ $0 $0 11-11 12:48
Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on November 30? Yes +2 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 11-08 13:42
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 15%-20%? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 $0 11-08 07:41
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 4 Winner Frank Esports +5 -$2 1¢ $0 +$2 11-11 12:29
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? Yes -22 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-18 04:11