Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.82K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

6.0%

Resolved

695

Trades

5,022

lifetime

Volume

$102.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-24

last 10-30 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Other

53% 7% -$1,092

Politics

33% 3% -$557

Crypto

8% 11% -$34

Sports

3% 7% -$46

Tech

2% 6% -$88

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+60	$5	5¢	$3	-$2	10-21 07:09
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$2	95¢	$0	-$2	09-22 12:25
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	8¢	$0	$0	10-22 01:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	7	$679	377	377	+0	open	—	09-17 15:27
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	8	$581	315	315	+0	open	—	09-12 05:27
Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	3	$381	198	198	+0	open	—	09-29 11:17
LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	4	$375	198	198	+0	No	-$3	09-19 11:27
UK Recession in 2026?	7	$373	297	297	+0	open	—	09-23 14:57
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	6	$371	297	297	+0	open	—	09-13 02:27
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	13	$364	260	260	+0	open	—	09-22 09:57
Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	4	$360	198	198	+0	open	—	10-26 00:27
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	14	$348	270	270	+0	open	—	10-22 19:27
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?	9	$343	260	260	+0	No	-$5	09-21 17:47
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	4	$331	199	199	+0	open	—	09-19 07:06
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	6	$325	175	175	+0	open	—	09-06 18:57
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	14	$317	250	250	+0	open	—	09-14 12:57
Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?	6	$316	179	179	+0	Yes	-$6	09-18 14:07
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?	8	$301	338	338	+0	open	—	10-11 05:37
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	10	$300	200	200	+0	open	—	10-23 17:27
Macron out by December 31, 2026?	7	$299	160	160	+0	open	—	09-16 18:17
Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?	6	$294	161	161	+0	No	-$5	09-17 05:27
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	5	$289	156	156	+0	open	—	10-21 12:37
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	6	$280	160	160	+0	open	—	09-20 02:27
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	7	$272	152	152	+0	open	—	09-22 04:07
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	6	$270	238	238	+0	Yes	-$3	09-21 15:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	4	$262	149	149	+0	open	—	09-01 18:07
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	8	$261	194	194	+0	open	—	09-16 15:37
Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$260	139	139	+0	open	—	10-24 05:17
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	11	$251	220	220	+0	Yes	-$6	09-11 17:47
Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	4	$244	139	139	+0	open	—	10-23 15:47
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	5	$244	139	139	+0	open	—	10-24 05:57
will futuro nazionale get at least 3 of the vote in the next italian general elections 20260609164706854	4	$238	139	139	+0	open	—	10-20 20:47
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	10	$237	270	270	+0	open	—	09-22 09:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:47:24	Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x03be9b…
10-30 16:42:28	Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x91615e…
10-30 07:07:15	Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?	No	SELL	60	83¢	$50	0xbe79d9…
10-30 05:27:19	Will UNI dip to $3.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	84¢	$34	0xf18db9…
10-30 05:21:16	Will UNI dip to $3.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$37	0x9925d3…
10-29 19:19:12	Will Connor Bedard record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x37709f…
10-29 19:15:15	Will Neutrl launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x844df5…
10-29 19:14:27	Will Neutrl launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xbd35f0…
10-29 19:07:28	Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x82244b…
10-29 17:50:41	Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x901419…
10-29 17:48:37	Will Connor Bedard record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x92224f…
10-29 17:47:32	Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0x1ea028…
10-29 17:39:10	Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x4317f9…
10-29 17:07:22	Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xfd2f45…
10-29 17:05:07	Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x415dce…
10-29 14:57:17	Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	16	88¢	$15	0x94bf9f…
10-29 14:56:20	Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	16	90¢	$15	0xddda8e…
10-28 14:14:47	Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	99	4¢	$4	0xfe67ec…
10-28 08:06:28	Cambria FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x03a521…
10-28 08:04:20	Cambria FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x1f3c37…
10-28 08:03:19	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?	No	SELL	99	8¢	$8	0x79fc5f…
10-28 08:00:10	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?	No	BUY	99	8¢	$8	0x8e7138…
10-28 04:37:22	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xc599bb…
10-28 04:35:22	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x158b33…
10-28 04:24:07	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?	No	SELL	99	5¢	$5	0x668883…
10-28 04:21:20	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?	No	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xc5385b…
10-28 04:21:20	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?	No	BUY	88	5¢	$4	0x968289…
10-27 18:57:23	Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x0a875d…
10-27 18:47:21	Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$16	0x14f5b2…
10-27 18:45:24	Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x20f28e…
10-27 14:27:21	Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?	No	SELL	99	89¢	$88	0xe9d66a…
10-27 14:24:57	Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?	No	BUY	99	92¢	$91	0x59d6c0…
10-27 13:47:21	Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0xfc9379…
10-27 13:47:11	Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	90	4¢	$4	0xb63f86…
10-27 06:47:18	Greenland snap election called by December 31?	Yes	SELL	99	1¢	$1	0x17c562…
10-27 04:37:18	Will the Philadelphia Eagles win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	O 10.5	SELL	37	4¢	$1	0xd21378…
10-27 04:29:29	Will the Philadelphia Eagles win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	O 10.5	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x246744…
10-27 04:29:29	Will the Philadelphia Eagles win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	O 10.5	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x0f8645…
10-26 22:47:18	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x1584d7…
10-26 22:43:18	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x1f15f5…
10-26 22:07:27	Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	99	91¢	$90	0x45a75a…
10-26 22:05:32	Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	99	94¢	$93	0x13cfa4…
10-26 15:27:20	Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0xaad510…
10-26 15:27:20	Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?	No	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0x480389…
10-26 15:24:03	Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x942938…
10-26 15:24:03	Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x645586…
10-26 15:23:56	Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xc9a709…
10-26 11:47:21	Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	No	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x426aba…
10-26 11:45:06	Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	No	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x627584…
10-26 11:17:14	Will the Mississippi 2026 Senate race be within 1%?	No	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0xbe8c24…
10-26 10:52:15	Greenland snap election called by December 31?	Yes	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0x311908…
10-26 10:51:35	Will the Mississippi 2026 Senate race be within 1%?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x536d74…
10-26 01:27:18	Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0x413eb6…
10-26 00:39:02	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0xd47cdb…
10-26 00:39:00	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x56a357…
10-26 00:37:18	Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xfff2af…
10-26 00:36:05	Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xaa110b…
10-26 00:27:20	Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	No	SELL	99	90¢	$89	0x2f7b5e…
10-26 00:20:38	Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	No	BUY	99	92¢	$91	0xc5b847…
10-26 00:07:21	Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?	No	SELL	28	88¢	$25	0x1cb91f…
10-26 00:00:36	Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0xcc19fe…
10-25 23:33:33	Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x5d6b53…
10-25 21:37:26	Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x48be15…
10-25 21:37:05	Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xc42b46…
10-25 20:57:21	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?	No	SELL	24	95¢	$22	0x302db3…
10-25 20:57:11	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xf50343…
10-25 20:27:15	Will Ra'am win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0x359893…
10-25 20:26:50	Will Ra'am win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x60864f…
10-25 19:17:18	Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	99	86¢	$85	0xc5f9df…
10-25 17:27:21	Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xf88218…
10-25 17:20:11	Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xe29d87…
10-25 16:57:09	Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xf3b0c4…
10-25 16:57:06	Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0xa6b8ac…
10-25 16:53:08	Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x010a2d…
10-25 16:21:32	Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	99	92¢	$91	0x6de264…
10-25 03:17:17	First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?	Yes	SELL	4	70¢	$2	0x5bb221…
10-25 02:37:21	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	99	2¢	$2	0xcfd1b0…
10-25 00:47:24	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x13a8db…
10-25 00:37:21	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x968830…
10-25 00:23:21	First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0xd05e1f…
10-25 00:07:24	Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	99	1¢	$1	0xd245a1…
10-24 20:07:17	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	73¢	$29	0x72e422…
10-24 19:13:30	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x1e8453…
10-24 17:33:26	Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x93458a…
10-24 17:32:36	Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	99	4¢	$4	0xa7aa1b…
10-24 17:31:02	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	99	3¢	$3	0x347f17…
10-24 13:57:18	Will Democrats win white voters in the Texas Senate election?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x1d297c…
10-24 13:52:29	Will Democrats win white voters in the Texas Senate election?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0xcd3b9d…
10-24 10:57:21	Will Team Secret Whales Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	99	98¢	$98	0x2757e9…
10-24 10:55:02	Will Team Secret Whales Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x664474…
10-24 10:37:21	Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0x7f0862…
10-24 10:32:36	Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xaa7595…
10-24 10:32:33	Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x874b34…
10-24 10:29:39	Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x42de87…
10-24 10:27:15	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0xb7f56b…
10-24 10:17:50	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x405fb7…
10-24 08:27:20	Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	SELL	90	91¢	$82	0x088fdf…
10-24 08:18:53	Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	90	93¢	$84	0x4cd05e…
10-24 05:57:15	Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	99	86¢	$86	0x03d214…
10-24 05:17:20	Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	99	94¢	$93	0xb00c59…