Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$981
Trades
52
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$9,452
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-06-09
last 07-22 22:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | — | $127 | $127 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $1 | $214 | $212 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $1 | $302 | $301 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $23 | — | +$23 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | $144 | $143 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $0 | $163 | $163 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 7 | $3 | $183 | $180 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $79 | $79 |
| unranked | 4 | $21 | $73 | $53 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accomplished-Keyboarding 0x3493…50fb | Yes | +357 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 07-22 11:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | +100 | $91 | $91 | 3 | 07-22 13:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | +87 | $73 | $73 | 3 | 07-22 22:50 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +60 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-22 17:20 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-22 11:13 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 3 | 07-16 15:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x240e…9f68 | Yes | +41 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-13 12:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ddd…80c6 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 07-22 22:50 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-13 12:25 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-22 22:50 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +1 | $-0 | $1 | 2 | 07-20 09:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 22:50:57 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x539377… |
| 07-22 22:50:57 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | BUY | 42 | 88¢ | $37 | 0x539377… |
| 07-22 22:50:57 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 19 | 88¢ | $17 | 0x539377… |
| 07-22 22:50:57 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x539377… |
| 07-22 17:26:40 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | BUY | 35 | 81¢ | $28 | 0xf36500… |
| 07-22 17:26:40 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 35 | 81¢ | $28 | 0xf36500… |
| 07-22 17:20:24 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 60 | 80¢ | $48 | 0xc5a947… |
| 07-22 17:20:24 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 90 | 80¢ | $72 | 0xc5a947… |
| 07-22 17:20:24 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 19 | 80¢ | $15 | 0xc5a947… |
| 07-22 17:20:24 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | BUY | 11 | 80¢ | $9 | 0xc5a947… |
| 07-22 14:00:09 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 35 | 90¢ | $31 | 0x7c36cb… |
| 07-22 14:00:09 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x7c36cb… |
| 07-22 14:00:09 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | SELL | 65 | 10¢ | $7 | 0x7c36cb… |
| 07-22 13:20:28 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $45 | 0xd0eee8… |
| 07-22 13:20:28 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | SELL | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd0eee8… |
| 07-22 13:20:28 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 38 | 91¢ | $35 | 0xd0eee8… |
| 07-22 11:13:55 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x905645… |
| 07-22 11:13:55 | Accomplished-Keyboarding 0x3493…50fb | Yes | BUY | 161 | 6¢ | $10 | 0x905645… |
| 07-22 11:13:55 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 61 | 91¢ | $55 | 0x905645… |
| 07-22 11:13:55 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x905645… |
| 07-22 11:13:03 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x2a2d5b… |
| 07-22 11:13:03 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x2a2d5b… |
| 07-22 11:13:03 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x2a2d5b… |
| 07-22 11:13:03 | Accomplished-Keyboarding 0x3493…50fb | Yes | BUY | 197 | 4¢ | $8 | 0x2a2d5b… |
| 07-22 11:13:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x2a2d5b… |
| 07-22 11:13:03 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2a2d5b… |
| 07-20 09:13:19 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x213d22… |
| 07-20 09:13:19 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x213d22… |
| 07-19 18:23:25 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf10623… |
| 07-19 18:23:25 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf10623… |
| 07-19 18:23:25 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf10623… |
| 07-16 15:38:58 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x2de415… |
| 07-16 15:38:58 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x2de415… |
| 07-16 15:24:04 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 25 | 95¢ | $24 | 0x490831… |
| 07-16 15:24:04 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x490831… |
| 07-16 15:24:04 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 32 | 95¢ | $30 | 0x490831… |
| 07-15 16:33:19 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x6e3c02… |
| 07-15 16:33:19 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x6e3c02… |
| 07-13 12:34:19 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x63e5b9… |
| 07-13 12:34:19 | (anonymous) 0x240e…9f68 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x63e5b9… |
| 07-13 12:25:50 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xf88d51… |
| 07-13 12:25:50 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xf88d51… |
| 07-13 12:25:50 | (anonymous) 0x240e…9f68 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf88d51… |
| 07-06 09:02:44 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x3ce278… |
| 07-06 09:02:44 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x3ce278… |
| 07-04 11:58:44 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x5f0e1d… |
| 07-04 11:58:44 | (anonymous) 0x5ddd…80c6 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5f0e1d… |
| 07-04 11:58:44 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5f0e1d… |
| 06-16 23:04:23 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x67702d… |
| 06-16 23:04:23 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x67702d… |
| 06-09 11:38:28 | Defensive-Gallery 0x744b…8d31 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xa72406… |
| 06-09 11:38:28 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xa72406… |