Defensive-Gallery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$752

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

78.4%

Resolved

452

Trades

1,060

lifetime

Volume

$23.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-04

last 10-26 07:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Other

58% 50% -$105

Politics

29% 47% -$581

Sports

10% 41% +$49

Crypto

3% 67% -$115

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes		+1,000	$1	0¢	$2	+$0	10-25 17:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$1.5K	866	866	+0	open	—	10-26 07:17
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$1.3K	1,110	339	+771	No	+$109	06-23 09:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$1.0K	537	537	+0	Yes	+$26	06-17 16:41
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?	6	$927	477	477	+0	No	+$17	05-23 14:27
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	2	$802	405	405	+0	No	+$2	05-17 09:37
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	6	$696	726	26	+699	No	+$49	04-28 20:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$683	714	714	+0	Yes	-$679	04-08 09:04
atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	3	$535	529	529	+0	cancelled	-$5	06-05 17:03
highest temperature in milan on april 3 2026 23corhigher	4	$492	271	270	+1	No	+$9	04-03 17:30
highest temperature in nyc on march 25 2026 50 51f	6	$452	289	241	+48	Yes	-$7	03-25 20:02
highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 16corbelow	3	$438	226	226	+1	No	+$13	04-07 12:04
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	2	$405	206	206	+0	Yes	+$5	03-22 19:57
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$388	201	201	+0	No	+$14	03-31 13:29
highest temperature in paris on march 29 2026 10c	4	$348	178	178	+0	No	+$2	03-29 12:19
will uae strike iran by march 31	3	$332	172	172	+0	No	+$11	03-31 21:24
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	5	$321	323	323	+0	open	—	10-26 07:17
highest temperature in madrid on march 24 2026 18c	5	$272	147	147	+0	Yes	+$21	03-24 20:32
will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	2	$272	153	153	+0	No	+$2	06-11 05:53
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2	$261	161	161	+0	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	+$61	05-28 14:01
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$253	238	238	+0	No	-$157	06-01 12:32
highest temperature in london on april 8 2026 20c	2	$247	126	126	+0	No	+$2	04-07 15:48
highest temperature in milan on april 2 2026 21c	2	$246	127	126	+0	No	+$7	04-02 16:57
will mathieu van der poel win the 2026 paris roubaix hauts de france	2	$245	125	124	+0	No	+$4	04-12 14:38
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	5	$230	1,297	297	+1,000	Yes	-$16	04-29 16:18
highest temperature in paris on april 1 2026 15c	2	$226	116	116	+0	No	+$4	04-01 13:05
will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	5	$219	165	165	+0	No	+$105	03-17 11:45
highest temperature in nyc on march 31 2026 68 69f	2	$217	112	112	+0	No	+$5	03-31 06:23
highest temperature in milan on april 9 2026 21c	2	$206	107	106	+0	No	+$7	04-09 14:36
highest temperature in paris on march 30 2026 11c	2	$206	106	106	+0	No	+$6	03-30 09:40
will catherine trautmann be the next mayor of strasbourg	2	$206	106	106	+0	Yes	+$6	03-22 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 07:17:20	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	754	78¢	$587	0xe3a1ba…
10-26 07:17:12	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	161	89¢	$144	0xf99b44…
10-26 07:16:14	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	162	10¢	$16	0x01e6b7…
10-26 07:16:08	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	23	41¢	$10	0x7db5b5…
10-26 07:16:03	Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x075962…
10-26 07:15:57	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	57	13¢	$7	0x9d042e…
10-26 07:15:54	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	54	11¢	$6	0x0f665d…
10-26 07:15:48	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	78	7¢	$5	0x0dbbfb…
10-26 07:15:36	Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0x3d2feb…
10-26 07:15:30	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x55bebf…
10-26 07:15:26	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xc44e2b…
10-25 17:53:42	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x24074c…
10-25 17:53:26	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xd2ea6b…
10-24 19:32:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0xc6f038…
10-24 19:31:45	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	58	33¢	$19	0xe1e5bc…
10-23 08:49:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	48	77¢	$37	0x6ad26b…
10-23 08:49:26	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$37	0x6b0586…
10-12 16:47:50	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xf36f47…
10-12 16:46:48	Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	49	89¢	$43	0x1399c7…
10-12 16:16:02	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xf8834b…
10-12 16:15:48	Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x4bbe23…
10-11 21:47:26	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xbc997a…
10-10 04:35:13	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	162	13¢	$21	0x4efd6a…
10-08 14:37:36	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0xeeb4ab…
10-08 14:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc7418c…
10-08 14:29:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x07874e…
10-08 14:28:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x409863…
10-08 14:27:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1db583…
10-08 14:26:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xddaede…
10-08 14:26:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf20b6f…
10-08 14:19:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x480af9…
10-08 14:17:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfd45e6…
10-08 14:10:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x544732…
10-08 14:10:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf289d5…
10-08 14:09:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x66e324…
10-08 14:06:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x34658b…
10-08 13:56:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe13e49…
10-08 13:56:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x29d00a…
10-08 13:50:41	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xd59163…
10-08 13:50:21	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x896823…
10-08 13:47:18	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd1c031…
10-08 13:45:45	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xe0db0a…
10-08 13:45:32	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x37cf05…
10-08 13:42:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xedac7d…
10-08 13:42:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x45db04…
10-08 13:40:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x3ee1a7…
10-08 13:40:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5b8192…
10-08 13:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$0	0x388d1d…
10-08 13:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x151af4…
10-08 13:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7affdb…
10-08 06:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1f5d26…
10-07 20:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5801d3…
10-07 20:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2f3957…
10-07 20:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x09304f…
10-07 20:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3342e3…
10-07 20:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa07483…
10-07 20:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcbbeef…
10-07 20:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa8ef22…
10-07 20:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0ac17d…
10-07 20:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x21e688…
10-07 20:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb7f77a…
10-04 19:49:31	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	41	98¢	$41	0x4a4958…
10-04 06:24:01	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xc89d9b…
09-27 13:54:56	National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xe360c3…
09-27 13:53:59	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0x4bda52…
09-27 11:36:32	Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x6e80cb…
09-20 20:36:32	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0x2fc59d…
09-20 19:41:02	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x0d9abd…
09-20 14:26:37	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x3a8d82…
09-20 14:05:01	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	78	9¢	$7	0xa3389d…
09-20 14:04:15	Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$11	0x35cc9e…
09-17 20:57:40	Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0xe09500…
09-14 05:47:49	Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe0229f…
09-13 15:17:46	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	64	83¢	$53	0x90d8bb…
09-12 04:41:34	Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x11100e…
09-12 04:41:15	Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$21	0x0004cf…
09-11 06:13:55	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	44	87¢	$38	0x0d837a…
09-11 06:13:18	Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	41	94¢	$39	0xdbe56a…
09-11 05:18:07	Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xea3ecd…
09-11 05:17:31	Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x346d81…
09-05 06:59:31	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xa22ac5…
09-05 06:57:07	Will Marseille qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	SELL	36	50¢	$18	0xe80b9e…
08-30 20:35:13	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0d00e5…
08-29 10:50:21	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	54	13¢	$7	0x0943b7…
08-29 10:50:15	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xaf4c29…
08-29 10:49:55	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	34	47¢	$16	0x9081e4…
08-29 10:47:22	Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x3b8b95…
08-27 09:46:04	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x4ddaec…
08-27 06:39:49	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x1d8894…
08-27 06:14:58	Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x4a26e8…
08-24 12:11:36	Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xc4745a…
08-23 06:15:09	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x2ee98d…
08-22 15:27:33	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x576534…
08-21 12:27:12	will marseille qualify for the 2027 28 uefa champions league	No	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xb7041f…
08-21 12:22:58	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-08-21?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x56f270…
08-15 17:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xecddea…
08-14 08:46:36	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xff01c9…
08-14 05:07:09	will jean luc mlenchon advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x6c92bd…
08-13 19:57:51	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x2c6e59…
08-13 06:52:16	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	754	93¢	$700	0xce6cd7…