Defensive-Gallery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.4%

Resolved

Trades

737

lifetime

Volume

$16.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 08-11 17:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% — —

Politics

33% 100% +$4

Sports

4% 33% $-50

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$1.0K	537	537	+0	open	—	06-17 16:41
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	6	$696	726	26	+699	open	—	04-28 20:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$683	714	714	+0	open	—	04-08 09:04
atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	3	$535	529	529	+0	open	—	06-05 17:03
highest temperature in milan on april 3 2026 23corhigher	4	$492	271	270	+1	open	—	04-03 17:30
highest temperature in nyc on march 25 2026 50 51f	6	$452	289	241	+48	open	—	03-25 20:02
highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 16corbelow	3	$438	226	226	+1	open	—	04-07 12:04
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	2	$405	206	206	+0	open	—	03-22 19:57
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$388	201	201	+0	open	—	03-31 13:29
highest temperature in paris on march 29 2026 10c	4	$348	178	178	+0	open	—	03-29 12:19
will uae strike iran by march 31	3	$332	172	172	+0	open	—	03-31 21:24
highest temperature in madrid on march 24 2026 18c	5	$272	147	147	+0	open	—	03-24 20:32
will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	2	$272	153	153	+0	open	—	06-11 05:53
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2	$261	161	161	+0	open	—	05-28 14:01
highest temperature in london on april 8 2026 20c	2	$247	126	126	+0	open	—	04-07 15:48
highest temperature in milan on april 2 2026 21c	2	$246	127	126	+0	open	—	04-02 16:57
will mathieu van der poel win the 2026 paris roubaix hauts de france	2	$245	125	124	+0	open	—	04-12 14:38
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$238	211	238	-27	open	—	06-01 12:32
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	5	$230	1,297	297	+1,000	open	—	04-29 16:18
highest temperature in paris on april 1 2026 15c	2	$226	116	116	+0	open	—	04-01 13:05
will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	5	$219	165	165	+0	open	—	03-17 11:45
highest temperature in nyc on march 31 2026 68 69f	2	$217	112	112	+0	open	—	03-31 06:23
highest temperature in milan on april 9 2026 21c	2	$206	107	106	+0	open	—	04-09 14:36
highest temperature in paris on march 30 2026 11c	2	$206	106	106	+0	open	—	03-30 09:40
will catherine trautmann be the next mayor of strasbourg	2	$206	106	106	+0	open	—	03-22 20:43
will franck allisio win the marseille mayor election	2	$206	106	106	+0	open	—	03-22 19:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$206	106	106	+0	open	—	04-29 13:15
highest temperature in madrid on april 10 2026 26c	2	$203	103	103	+0	open	—	04-10 14:14
highest temperature in paris on march 18 2026 15c	3	$203	103	103	+0	open	—	03-18 20:07
highest temperature in paris on april 10 2026 18corbelow	2	$202	103	103	+0	open	—	04-10 09:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 18:59:24	btc updown 5m 1786474500	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x633349…
08-11 17:57:07	btc updown 5m 1786470900	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbf3d20…
08-11 15:01:24	btc updown 5m 1786460400	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc9e7d9…
08-11 14:59:07	btc updown 5m 1786460100	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa1fb84…
08-11 11:34:57	btc updown 5m 1786447800	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x344fa9…
08-11 11:32:21	btc updown 5m 1786447800	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf27e77…
08-10 20:40:01	btc updown 5m 1786394400	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xccc206…
08-10 20:35:10	btc updown 5m 1786394100	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x704de5…
08-10 20:29:57	btc updown 5m 1786393800	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x35d702…
08-10 17:52:49	btc updown 5m 1786384200	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x90aa52…
08-10 17:24:07	btc updown 5m 1786382400	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc5cded…
08-10 17:17:48	btc updown 5m 1786382100	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x20ecac…
08-10 17:04:37	btc updown 5m 1786381200	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x00772b…
08-10 17:02:30	btc updown 5m 1786381200	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x50ace3…
08-10 16:29:39	btc updown 5m 1786379100	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf59240…
08-10 16:27:13	btc updown 5m 1786379100	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa4ac3b…
08-09 20:19:46	eth updown 5m 1786306500	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xc67efe…
08-09 20:19:25	eth updown 5m 1786306500	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3d783d…
08-09 20:18:00	btc updown 5m 1786306500	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfa9f42…
08-09 20:17:28	btc updown 5m 1786306500	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1e5018…
08-07 18:42:51	btc updown 5m 1786128000	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb48c18…
08-06 06:24:23	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Up	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0xe3c047…
08-06 06:24:20	dogecoin up or down on august 6 2026	Down	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x0a2d30…
08-06 06:24:17	solana up or down on august 6 2026	Down	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x4ddf17…
08-06 06:24:11	xrp up or down on august 6 2026	Down	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x92f43c…
08-06 06:24:08	ethereum up or down on august 6 2026	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x2618a0…
08-05 18:43:23	btc updown 5m 1785955200	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x717f30…
08-05 18:40:05	btc updown 5m 1785955200	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2039bf…
08-05 16:06:11	dogecoin up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xede0e7…
08-05 16:05:45	xrp up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7b88b9…
08-05 16:05:12	ethereum up or down on august 6 2026	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xcfca70…
08-05 16:04:35	solana up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xcff0a3…
08-05 16:03:50	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7db8c3…
08-05 16:03:36	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfb6722…
08-05 16:03:20	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf92fd5…
08-04 20:50:12	bnb up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfd1e28…
08-04 20:48:56	xrp up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x27bdb0…
08-04 20:47:44	dogecoin up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xae8c66…
08-04 20:29:06	btc updown 5m 1785875100	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x96f49d…
08-04 20:26:05	xrp updown 5m 1785875100	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x67104c…
08-04 20:24:41	eth updown 5m 1785875100	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x841cc4…
08-04 17:56:32	ethereum up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4f91c4…
08-04 16:11:08	bitcoin up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x343845…
08-02 15:54:12	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6d2af8…
07-14 11:54:40	Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	188	5¢	$10	0x285192…
07-14 11:54:35	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	101	76¢	$77	0xa009ca…
07-14 11:54:31	Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	25	57¢	$14	0x63fb4e…
07-08 14:13:11	Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	188	8¢	$15	0xf06d5c…
07-08 14:12:35	Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	28	53¢	$15	0xff862f…
06-23 09:23:08	will 3 matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610211249340	No	SELL	36	20¢	$7	0x02fbae…
06-23 09:22:38	will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	Yes	SELL	53	61¢	$32	0xd412d0…
06-22 13:46:13	will 3 matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610211249340	No	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0x4f05dd…
06-18 17:42:05	will 3 matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610211249340	No	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x915362…
06-17 19:23:40	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xefc8e1…
06-17 16:41:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	537	100¢	$536	0x0a9db7…
06-16 14:13:22	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8a3519…
06-15 17:41:36	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x071a8c…
06-15 11:33:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	537	95¢	$510	0x76596b…
06-15 10:56:18	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9695b9…
06-14 09:31:49	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	Germany	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xaecf39…
06-11 12:06:03	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Switzerland	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x4d4f78…
06-11 05:53:13	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	No	SELL	153	89¢	$137	0xdcb173…
06-10 14:01:45	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x206d0c…
06-09 11:38:40	Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x67728d…
06-09 11:38:37	Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xee3009…
06-09 11:38:28	Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa72406…
06-09 11:38:25	Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x92ef62…
06-09 11:38:21	Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf3a5a9…
06-09 11:38:16	Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x957f11…
06-09 11:38:12	Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7c6100…
06-09 11:38:09	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x330a3c…
06-09 11:38:04	Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xb0a66d…
06-08 12:25:39	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	No	BUY	153	88¢	$135	0xe6a140…
06-08 05:37:03	will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x4683b4…
06-05 17:03:43	atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	529	50¢	$265	0x6ec037…
06-05 16:56:01	atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	490	51¢	$250	0xa4441b…
06-05 16:54:16	atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xfa7ef8…
06-01 12:32:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	238	20¢	$48	0x400190…
06-01 08:04:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	211	90¢	$190	0x2db0e2…
05-28 14:01:29	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0x3a57fe…
05-28 13:14:51	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x74fbc9…
05-28 05:14:39	Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x9cdd0d…
05-14 12:01:33	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x236a27…
05-13 12:33:09	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x926a2c…
05-13 12:32:44	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdb610f…
05-13 12:31:55	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xe009e3…
05-10 04:42:38	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x386ec4…
05-10 04:30:49	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x966983…
05-09 09:48:43	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa34a95…
05-09 09:48:08	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	Yes	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0x509f15…
05-09 09:47:18	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	Yes	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x6e61e6…
05-09 09:03:08	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x53ba68…
05-09 09:02:42	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0x13cf99…
05-09 05:15:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1aefb5…
05-08 18:45:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x8bee8b…
05-08 18:04:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x4bfab1…
04-30 14:26:48	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0x91b4e3…
04-29 20:47:40	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x3ff909…
04-29 16:18:30	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x991b13…
04-29 15:57:40	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcf47f8…