Defensive-Gallery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

19.4%

Resolved

Trades

694

lifetime

Volume

$16.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$103

11 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 07-14 11:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% — —

Politics

33% 100% +$4

Sports

4% 33% $-50

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	-101	$-77	70¢	$-71	+$6	07-14 11:54
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	-29	$-14	64¢	$-19	$-4	07-14 11:54
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	-7	$-6	84¢	$-6	+$0	06-09 11:38
Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	-1	$-1	98¢	$-1	$-0	06-09 11:38
Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	-1	$-1	99¢	$-1	$-0	06-09 11:38
Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	-1	$-1	96¢	$-1	$-0	06-09 11:38
Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	-1	$-1	92¢	$-1	$-0	06-09 11:38
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-1	$-1	83¢	$-1	+$0	06-09 11:38
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	-1	$-1	94¢	$-1	$-0	06-09 11:38
Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	-1	$-1	90¢	$-1	+$0	06-09 11:38
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	-1	$-1	70¢	$-1	+$0	06-09 11:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$1.0K	537	537	+0	open	—	06-17 16:41
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	6	$696	726	26	+699	open	—	04-28 20:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$683	714	714	+0	open	—	04-08 09:04
atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	3	$535	529	529	+0	open	—	06-05 17:03
highest temperature in milan on april 3 2026 23corhigher	4	$492	271	270	+1	open	—	04-03 17:30
highest temperature in nyc on march 25 2026 50 51f	6	$452	289	241	+48	open	—	03-25 20:02
highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 16corbelow	3	$438	226	226	+1	open	—	04-07 12:04
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	2	$405	206	206	+0	open	—	03-22 19:57
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$388	201	201	+0	open	—	03-31 13:29
highest temperature in paris on march 29 2026 10c	4	$348	178	178	+0	open	—	03-29 12:19
will uae strike iran by march 31	3	$332	172	172	+0	open	—	03-31 21:24
highest temperature in madrid on march 24 2026 18c	5	$272	147	147	+0	open	—	03-24 20:32
will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	2	$272	153	153	+0	open	—	06-11 05:53
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2	$261	161	161	+0	open	—	05-28 14:01
highest temperature in london on april 8 2026 20c	2	$247	126	126	+0	open	—	04-07 15:48
highest temperature in milan on april 2 2026 21c	2	$246	127	126	+0	open	—	04-02 16:57
will mathieu van der poel win the 2026 paris roubaix hauts de france	2	$245	125	124	+0	open	—	04-12 14:38
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$238	211	238	-27	open	—	06-01 12:32
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	5	$230	1,297	297	+1,000	open	—	04-29 16:18
highest temperature in paris on april 1 2026 15c	2	$226	116	116	+0	open	—	04-01 13:05
will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	5	$219	165	165	+0	open	—	03-17 11:45
highest temperature in nyc on march 31 2026 68 69f	2	$217	112	112	+0	open	—	03-31 06:23
highest temperature in milan on april 9 2026 21c	2	$206	107	106	+0	open	—	04-09 14:36
highest temperature in paris on march 30 2026 11c	2	$206	106	106	+0	open	—	03-30 09:40
will catherine trautmann be the next mayor of strasbourg	2	$206	106	106	+0	open	—	03-22 20:43
will franck allisio win the marseille mayor election	2	$206	106	106	+0	open	—	03-22 19:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$206	106	106	+0	open	—	04-29 13:15
highest temperature in madrid on april 10 2026 26c	2	$203	103	103	+0	open	—	04-10 14:14
highest temperature in paris on march 18 2026 15c	3	$203	103	103	+0	open	—	03-18 20:07
highest temperature in paris on april 10 2026 18corbelow	2	$202	103	103	+0	open	—	04-10 09:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 11:54:40	Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	188	5¢	$10	0x285192…
07-14 11:54:35	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	101	76¢	$77	0xa009ca…
07-14 11:54:31	Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	25	57¢	$14	0x63fb4e…
07-08 14:13:11	Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	188	8¢	$15	0xf06d5c…
07-08 14:12:35	Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	28	53¢	$15	0xff862f…
06-23 09:23:08	will 3 matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610211249340	No	SELL	36	20¢	$7	0x02fbae…
06-23 09:22:38	will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	Yes	SELL	53	61¢	$32	0xd412d0…
06-22 13:46:13	will 3 matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610211249340	No	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0x4f05dd…
06-18 17:42:05	will 3 matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610211249340	No	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x915362…
06-17 19:23:40	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xefc8e1…
06-17 16:41:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	537	100¢	$536	0x0a9db7…
06-16 14:13:22	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8a3519…
06-15 17:41:36	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x071a8c…
06-15 11:33:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	537	95¢	$510	0x76596b…
06-15 10:56:18	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9695b9…
06-14 09:31:49	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	Germany	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xaecf39…
06-11 12:06:03	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Switzerland	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x4d4f78…
06-11 05:53:13	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	No	SELL	153	89¢	$137	0xdcb173…
06-10 14:01:45	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x206d0c…
06-09 11:38:40	Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x67728d…
06-09 11:38:37	Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xee3009…
06-09 11:38:28	Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa72406…
06-09 11:38:25	Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x92ef62…
06-09 11:38:21	Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf3a5a9…
06-09 11:38:16	Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x957f11…
06-09 11:38:12	Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7c6100…
06-09 11:38:09	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x330a3c…
06-09 11:38:04	Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xb0a66d…
06-08 12:25:39	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	No	BUY	153	88¢	$135	0xe6a140…
06-08 05:37:03	will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x4683b4…
06-05 17:03:43	atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	529	50¢	$265	0x6ec037…
06-05 16:56:01	atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	490	51¢	$250	0xa4441b…
06-05 16:54:16	atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xfa7ef8…
06-01 12:32:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	238	20¢	$48	0x400190…
06-01 08:04:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	211	90¢	$190	0x2db0e2…
05-28 14:01:29	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0x3a57fe…
05-28 13:14:51	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x74fbc9…
05-28 05:14:39	Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x9cdd0d…
05-14 12:01:33	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x236a27…
05-13 12:33:09	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x926a2c…
05-13 12:32:44	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdb610f…
05-13 12:31:55	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xe009e3…
05-10 04:42:38	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x386ec4…
05-10 04:30:49	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x966983…
05-09 09:48:43	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa34a95…
05-09 09:48:08	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	Yes	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0x509f15…
05-09 09:47:18	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	Yes	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x6e61e6…
05-09 09:03:08	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x53ba68…
05-09 09:02:42	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0x13cf99…
05-09 05:15:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1aefb5…
05-08 18:45:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x8bee8b…
05-08 18:04:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x4bfab1…
04-30 14:26:48	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0x91b4e3…
04-29 20:47:40	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x3ff909…
04-29 16:18:30	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x991b13…
04-29 15:57:40	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcf47f8…
04-29 13:15:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	106	99¢	$106	0xd9c863…
04-29 12:53:38	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x5771d8…
04-28 20:46:34	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xaee386…
04-28 06:29:02	Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x9452a1…
04-27 19:32:22	Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0xe5c8e1…
04-27 19:16:00	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x6b7369…
04-27 08:07:26	Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x2555ec…
04-27 07:24:30	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xadda48…
04-27 07:24:26	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xd89283…
04-27 07:24:24	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x36d17f…
04-27 07:18:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	297	36¢	$107	0xeb5fa3…
04-27 06:19:22	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x778956…
04-27 05:55:22	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	48	43¢	$20	0x2b0820…
04-27 05:55:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	59¢	$20	0x7d9f34…
04-26 22:15:12	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x69d6d4…
04-26 20:42:14	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x6ad0dc…
04-26 20:29:46	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x60262e…
04-26 17:55:12	Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x4d4362…
04-26 10:02:24	Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x45ab4f…
04-25 19:52:10	Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa05177…
04-25 15:52:26	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xa3093b…
04-25 10:30:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x4c338a…
04-25 05:36:34	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x8209e8…
04-25 05:35:22	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0xb1d228…
04-25 05:24:18	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x6920b1…
04-25 04:21:08	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x7ada65…
04-25 04:21:00	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x860b62…
04-24 19:24:40	highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 22c	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6e54c8…
04-24 19:24:26	highest temperature in milan on april 24 2026 25c	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x93ae4f…
04-24 19:23:56	highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x86de43…
04-24 18:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x321d93…
04-24 18:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdb2b91…
04-24 18:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa4c438…
04-24 18:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7fe035…
04-24 18:38:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x671749…
04-24 18:38:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x78a8b7…
04-24 16:57:22	highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 19c	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x741bb0…
04-24 16:19:20	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0x1811cc…
04-24 13:20:08	highest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 22c	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x1ee058…
04-24 13:20:04	highest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 23c	Yes	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xa2f25d…
04-24 09:22:30	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xe08a69…
04-23 19:27:34	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x844db4…
04-23 19:08:08	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0ee5db…
04-23 18:52:34	highest temperature in milan on april 24 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x48945f…