Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$4,073
Trades
131
Unique wallets
45
Liquidity
$8,595
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-06-02
last 08-11 08:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+89.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $43
vs crowd: 11% YES on $3.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $3 | $320 | $317 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $67 | $944 | $877 |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $2 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $263 | $5 | +$258 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $43 | — | +$43 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $20 | $462 | $442 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $338 | $338 |
| Median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 11 | $260 | $529 | $270 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $21 | $21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $2 | $386 | $383 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | $178 | $178 |
| unranked | 13 | $9 | $836 | $827 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Animated-Precedent 0x4e94…41b6 | Yes | +1,583 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 08-06 12:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | +718 | $541 | $541 | 10 | 08-06 20:01 |
| Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | +451 | $43 | $43 | 3 | 07-05 08:48 |
| Stupendous-Eddy 0x29d3…b2ed | No | +398 | $330 | $330 | 5 | 08-06 12:05 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +200 | $184 | $184 | 2 | 08-06 12:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | +100 | $88 | $88 | 2 | 06-11 16:11 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +92 | $68 | $82 | 3 | 08-06 13:47 |
| Spotted-Fig 0xfd0e…d918 | No | +61 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 08-11 08:43 |
| Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | +60 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 08-06 12:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 08-06 12:05 |
| Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 08-06 12:05 |
| Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | +30 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 08-06 13:27 |
| Useful-Maelstrom 0x367b…2a13 | Yes | +25 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-11 08:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x734b…2a2c | No | +17 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 08-07 00:07 |
| Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 01:47 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +2 | $1 | $83 | 5 | 06-21 01:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 08:43:58 | Useful-Maelstrom 0x367b…2a13 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xc6a56a… |
| 08-11 08:43:58 | Carefree-Path 0x5314…5db9 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xc6a56a… |
| 08-11 08:43:58 | Spotted-Fig 0xfd0e…d918 | No | BUY | 18 | 80¢ | $15 | 0xc6a56a… |
| 08-07 00:07:11 | (anonymous) 0x734b…2a2c | No | BUY | 17 | 81¢ | $14 | 0x32f566… |
| 08-07 00:07:11 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x32f566… |
| 08-07 00:07:11 | Carefree-Path 0x5314…5db9 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x32f566… |
| 08-07 00:07:11 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 40 | 81¢ | $32 | 0x32f566… |
| 08-06 20:05:03 | Spotted-Fig 0xfd0e…d918 | No | BUY | 43 | 82¢ | $35 | 0x15b5b9… |
| 08-06 20:05:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x15b5b9… |
| 08-06 20:05:03 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x15b5b9… |
| 08-06 20:01:39 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 23 | 81¢ | $19 | 0xc9ffc6… |
| 08-06 20:01:39 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | BUY | 23 | 81¢ | $19 | 0xc9ffc6… |
| 08-06 17:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | BUY | 84 | 81¢ | $67 | 0xffed30… |
| 08-06 17:15:50 | Carefree-Path 0x5314…5db9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xffed30… |
| 08-06 17:15:50 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 31 | 80¢ | $24 | 0xffed30… |
| 08-06 17:15:50 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 40 | 81¢ | $32 | 0xffed30… |
| 08-06 13:47:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 80 | 77¢ | $62 | 0xd9cb37… |
| 08-06 13:47:14 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | No | SELL | 80 | 77¢ | $62 | 0xd9cb37… |
| 08-06 13:27:11 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0xf5a4f3… |
| 08-06 13:27:11 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 40 | 80¢ | $32 | 0xf5a4f3… |
| 08-06 13:27:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0xf5a4f3… |
| 08-06 13:07:12 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x900c96… |
| 08-06 13:07:12 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x900c96… |
| 08-06 12:37:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0xa273a7… |
| 08-06 12:37:05 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0xa273a7… |
| 08-06 12:36:42 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | BUY | 32 | 80¢ | $25 | 0xf900d2… |
| 08-06 12:36:42 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 32 | 80¢ | $25 | 0xf900d2… |
| 08-06 12:29:59 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 30 | 79¢ | $24 | 0xded5c5… |
| 08-06 12:29:59 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | BUY | 30 | 79¢ | $24 | 0xded5c5… |
| 08-06 12:06:05 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 60 | 94¢ | $56 | 0xce2e1f… |
| 08-06 12:06:05 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | No | BUY | 40 | 94¢ | $38 | 0xce2e1f… |
| 08-06 12:06:05 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xce2e1f… |
| 08-06 12:05:02 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa316d6… |
| 08-06 12:05:02 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xa316d6… |
| 08-06 12:05:02 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xa316d6… |
| 08-06 12:05:02 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 199 | 92¢ | $183 | 0xa316d6… |
| 08-06 12:05:02 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | No | BUY | 40 | 94¢ | $38 | 0xa316d6… |
| 08-06 12:05:02 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 60 | 94¢ | $56 | 0xa316d6… |
| 08-06 12:05:02 | Stupendous-Eddy 0x29d3…b2ed | No | BUY | 200 | 82¢ | $164 | 0xa316d6… |
| 08-06 12:05:02 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 40 | 94¢ | $38 | 0xa316d6… |
| 08-06 12:05:02 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xa316d6… |
| 08-06 12:05:02 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xa316d6… |
| 08-06 12:05:02 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xa316d6… |
| 08-06 12:05:02 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xa316d6… |
| 08-06 12:05:02 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | BUY | 60 | 92¢ | $55 | 0xa316d6… |
| 08-06 12:05:02 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | SELL | 56 | 22¢ | $12 | 0xa316d6… |
| 08-06 12:05:02 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0xa316d6… |
| 08-06 12:05:02 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | BUY | 199 | 60¢ | $119 | 0xa316d6… |
| 08-06 12:05:02 | Animated-Precedent 0x4e94…41b6 | Yes | BUY | 1,583 | 16¢ | $250 | 0xa316d6… |
| 08-06 12:05:02 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 116 | 94¢ | $109 | 0xa316d6… |
| 07-15 16:30:23 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x2352d7… |
| 07-15 16:30:23 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x2352d7… |
| 07-05 08:48:02 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x94c895… |
| 07-05 08:48:02 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x94c895… |
| 07-05 08:47:38 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x5aadc1… |
| 07-05 08:47:38 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5aadc1… |
| 07-05 08:47:38 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5aadc1… |
| 07-04 15:20:37 | (anonymous) 0x8e42…a043 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd98d47… |
| 07-04 15:20:37 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd98d47… |
| 07-04 06:11:22 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x77e9e2… |
| 07-04 06:11:22 | (anonymous) 0x8e42…a043 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x77e9e2… |
| 06-28 12:16:35 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x7bab7f… |
| 06-28 12:16:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0x7bab7f… |
| 06-28 08:30:14 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x9aae9e… |
| 06-28 08:30:14 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x9aae9e… |
| 06-28 08:29:23 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 47 | 88¢ | $41 | 0xede0c3… |
| 06-28 08:29:23 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | SELL | 134 | 12¢ | $16 | 0xede0c3… |
| 06-28 08:29:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 77 | 88¢ | $68 | 0xede0c3… |
| 06-28 08:29:23 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xede0c3… |
| 06-21 01:50:23 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x1262fa… |
| 06-21 01:50:23 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $8 | 0x1262fa… |
| 06-21 01:50:19 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd36c2e… |
| 06-21 01:50:19 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd36c2e… |
| 06-21 01:47:13 | Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x141e2d… |
| 06-21 01:47:13 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 80 | 86¢ | $69 | 0x141e2d… |
| 06-21 01:47:13 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $18 | 0x141e2d… |
| 06-21 01:47:13 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x141e2d… |
| 06-21 01:47:13 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | BUY | 121 | 86¢ | $104 | 0x141e2d… |
| 06-15 16:27:10 | Stupendous-Eddy 0x29d3…b2ed | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x1a09ff… |
| 06-15 16:27:10 | Beloved-Contract-Domain 0x8130…5a50 | No | SELL | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x1a09ff… |
| 06-15 05:26:55 | Beloved-Contract-Domain 0x8130…5a50 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0xa1ff73… |
| 06-15 05:26:55 | Major-Thesis 0x896a…cec5 | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xf0461d… |
| 06-15 05:26:55 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0xa1ff73… |
| 06-15 05:26:55 | Stupendous-Eddy 0x29d3…b2ed | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xf0461d… |
| 06-11 16:15:15 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 25 | 85¢ | $21 | 0x136241… |
| 06-11 16:15:15 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 25 | 85¢ | $21 | 0x136241… |
| 06-11 16:13:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 87¢ | $70 | 0xc40577… |
| 06-11 16:13:16 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 80 | 87¢ | $70 | 0xc40577… |
| 06-11 16:11:28 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xefb6e9… |
| 06-11 16:11:28 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xefb6e9… |
| 06-11 16:11:28 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 125 | 88¢ | $110 | 0x8ca7e7… |
| 06-11 16:11:28 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 125 | 88¢ | $110 | 0x8ca7e7… |
| 06-11 16:11:27 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 25 | 88¢ | $22 | 0x1b7929… |
| 06-11 16:11:27 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 247 | 88¢ | $218 | 0x1b7929… |
| 06-11 16:11:27 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 125 | 88¢ | $110 | 0x1b7929… |
| 06-11 16:11:27 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 96 | 88¢ | $84 | 0x1b7929… |
| 06-11 16:11:27 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x1b7929… |
| 06-09 07:49:13 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 4 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xbab705… |
| 06-09 07:49:13 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 24 | 88¢ | $21 | 0xbab705… |
| 06-09 07:49:13 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xbab705… |