Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$2,115
Trades
70
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$8,595
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-06-02
last 06-28 12:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+94.1¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $42
vs crowd: 6% YES on $1.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | — | $70 | $70 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $66 | $506 | $441 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $422 | $422 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $4 | $117 | $113 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $42 | — | +$42 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $20 | $32 | $12 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | $130 | $130 |
| Below median | 3 | $4 | $395 | $391 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $21 | $21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $348 | $348 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $70 | $70 |
| unranked | 4 | $3 | $119 | $116 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | +433 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-02 19:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | +131 | $112 | $112 | 2 | 06-21 01:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | +100 | $88 | $88 | 2 | 06-11 16:11 |
| Stupendous-Eddy 0x29d3…b2ed | No | +38 | $32 | $32 | 3 | 06-15 16:27 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-21 01:50 |
| Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 01:47 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +2 | $1 | $83 | 5 | 06-21 01:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 12:16:35 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x7bab7f… |
| 06-28 12:16:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0x7bab7f… |
| 06-28 08:30:14 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x9aae9e… |
| 06-28 08:30:14 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x9aae9e… |
| 06-28 08:29:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 77 | 88¢ | $68 | 0xede0c3… |
| 06-28 08:29:23 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | SELL | 134 | 12¢ | $16 | 0xede0c3… |
| 06-28 08:29:23 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 47 | 88¢ | $41 | 0xede0c3… |
| 06-28 08:29:23 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xede0c3… |
| 06-21 01:50:23 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x1262fa… |
| 06-21 01:50:23 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $8 | 0x1262fa… |
| 06-21 01:50:19 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd36c2e… |
| 06-21 01:50:19 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd36c2e… |
| 06-21 01:47:13 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 80 | 86¢ | $69 | 0x141e2d… |
| 06-21 01:47:13 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | BUY | 121 | 86¢ | $104 | 0x141e2d… |
| 06-21 01:47:13 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x141e2d… |
| 06-21 01:47:13 | Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x141e2d… |
| 06-21 01:47:13 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $18 | 0x141e2d… |
| 06-15 16:27:10 | Beloved-Contract-Domain 0x8130…5a50 | No | SELL | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x1a09ff… |
| 06-15 16:27:10 | Stupendous-Eddy 0x29d3…b2ed | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x1a09ff… |
| 06-15 05:26:55 | Stupendous-Eddy 0x29d3…b2ed | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xf0461d… |
| 06-15 05:26:55 | Beloved-Contract-Domain 0x8130…5a50 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0xa1ff73… |
| 06-15 05:26:55 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0xa1ff73… |
| 06-15 05:26:55 | Major-Thesis 0x896a…cec5 | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xf0461d… |
| 06-11 16:15:15 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 25 | 85¢ | $21 | 0x136241… |
| 06-11 16:15:15 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 25 | 85¢ | $21 | 0x136241… |
| 06-11 16:13:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 87¢ | $70 | 0xc40577… |
| 06-11 16:13:16 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 80 | 87¢ | $70 | 0xc40577… |
| 06-11 16:11:28 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xefb6e9… |
| 06-11 16:11:28 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 125 | 88¢ | $110 | 0x8ca7e7… |
| 06-11 16:11:28 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 125 | 88¢ | $110 | 0x8ca7e7… |
| 06-11 16:11:28 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xefb6e9… |
| 06-11 16:11:27 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 125 | 88¢ | $110 | 0x1b7929… |
| 06-11 16:11:27 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 96 | 88¢ | $84 | 0x1b7929… |
| 06-11 16:11:27 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 247 | 88¢ | $218 | 0x1b7929… |
| 06-11 16:11:27 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x1b7929… |
| 06-11 16:11:27 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 25 | 88¢ | $22 | 0x1b7929… |
| 06-09 07:49:13 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 24 | 88¢ | $21 | 0xbab705… |
| 06-09 07:49:13 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xbab705… |
| 06-09 07:49:13 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 4 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xbab705… |
| 06-07 09:58:01 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 24 | 87¢ | $21 | 0x923667… |
| 06-07 09:58:01 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 24 | 87¢ | $21 | 0x923667… |
| 06-07 09:58:00 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 67 | 86¢ | $58 | 0x788874… |
| 06-07 09:58:00 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 47 | 86¢ | $41 | 0x788874… |
| 06-07 09:58:00 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x788874… |
| 06-04 06:59:43 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x72c1a3… |
| 06-04 06:59:43 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x72c1a3… |
| 06-03 19:51:39 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x89a6d8… |
| 06-03 19:51:39 | Major-Thesis 0x896a…cec5 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x89a6d8… |
| 06-03 19:51:22 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0x7a701c… |
| 06-03 19:51:22 | Stupendous-Eddy 0x29d3…b2ed | No | BUY | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0x7a701c… |
| 06-03 19:49:25 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 30 | 85¢ | $26 | 0xa8eef5… |
| 06-03 19:49:25 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 19 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xa8eef5… |
| 06-03 19:49:25 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xa8eef5… |
| 06-03 19:49:25 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 69 | 85¢ | $58 | 0xa8eef5… |
| 06-03 19:49:21 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 22 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x53b1c7… |
| 06-03 19:49:21 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 22 | 85¢ | $19 | 0x53b1c7… |
| 06-02 20:55:37 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xe5928e… |
| 06-02 20:55:37 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 13 | 85¢ | $11 | 0xe5928e… |
| 06-02 20:12:38 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 33 | 15¢ | $5 | 0x77640f… |
| 06-02 20:12:38 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 33 | 85¢ | $28 | 0x77640f… |
| 06-02 19:51:27 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | BUY | 134 | 15¢ | $20 | 0x641e0a… |
| 06-02 19:51:27 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 121 | 15¢ | $18 | 0x641e0a… |
| 06-02 19:51:27 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 13 | 86¢ | $11 | 0x641e0a… |
| 06-02 19:48:52 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 12 | 91¢ | $11 | 0xd61aa5… |
| 06-02 19:48:52 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 33 | 90¢ | $30 | 0xd61aa5… |
| 06-02 19:48:52 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 73 | 90¢ | $65 | 0xd61aa5… |
| 06-02 19:48:52 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 200 | 90¢ | $180 | 0xd61aa5… |
| 06-02 19:48:52 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 93 | 91¢ | $85 | 0xd61aa5… |
| 06-02 19:48:52 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | BUY | 22 | 90¢ | $20 | 0xd61aa5… |
| 06-02 19:48:52 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | BUY | 433 | 10¢ | $42 | 0xd61aa5… |