Realized P&L
+$1.32K
Unrealized P&L
-$58
Hit rate
74.4%
Resolved
1,495
Trades
13,946
lifetime
Volume
$144.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$723
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 12:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 201 days
Categories
Other
53% 65% +$362
Politics
43% 65% +$932
Tech
2% 73% +$2
Pop-Culture
1% 69% +$35
Sports
0% 33% -$8
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 295 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes -228 -$176 72¢ $-164 +$11 08-05 03:26
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +370 $134 26¢ $98 -$36 09-21 17:29
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes -102 -$87 92¢ $-94 -$7 09-05 00:42
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$49 95¢ $-48 +$1 09-23 12:52
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +51 $43 80¢ $41 -$3 10-19 13:23
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No -33 -$24 89¢ $-29 -$5 08-16 14:36
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -25 -$23 93¢ $-23 -$1 06-04 01:24
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +101 $24 22¢ $22 -$2 10-21 20:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +32 $23 68¢ $22 -$1 07-30 07:48
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? Yes +21 $10 96¢ $20 +$11 10-16 22:28
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +201 $32 8¢ $17 -$15 10-26 11:33
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +22 $18 75¢ $16 -$2 09-14 21:45
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No -16 -$10 94¢ $-15 -$5 07-01 08:03
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? No +100 $69 13¢ $13 -$56 07-21 16:49
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +34 $9 38¢ $13 +$4 09-01 19:13
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +160 $15 6¢ $10 -$6 07-20 12:07
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +13 $8 72¢ $9 +$1 05-11 22:36
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No -12 -$11 70¢ $-8 +$2 08-09 15:24
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +41 $7 20¢ $8 +$1 10-27 08:44
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 No +10 $6 78¢ $8 +$1 07-16 18:58
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? Yes +95 $5 6¢ $6 +$1 08-06 23:19
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -6 -$6 96¢ $-6 $0 06-29 01:43
Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat? Yes -6 -$5 99¢ $-5 $0 09-23 12:46
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +12 $5 41¢ $5 $0 05-15 05:58
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes -7 -$6 64¢ $-4 +$1 09-29 11:29
saudi airspace closed by december 31 2026 Yes +21 $5 18¢ $4 -$1 09-20 23:22
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +64 -$37 6¢ $4 +$41 10-01 17:41
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +82 $3 4¢ $3 +$0 10-26 15:56
Blue wave in 2026? No -20 -$4 15¢ $-3 +$1 05-05 17:26
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +6 $0 46¢ $3 +$3 07-25 19:45