Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$78
Hit rate
85.5%
Resolved
14
Trades
929
lifetime
Volume
$8.47K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$721
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 00:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
51% 60% +$4
Politics
38% 75% $-2
Pop-Culture
6%
Tech
5%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
UK Recession in 2026? No +131 $62 74¢ $96 +$34 06-24 02:27
Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027? No +124 $93 73¢ $90 $-2 06-19 00:34
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.? No +100 $71 82¢ $82 +$12 06-22 15:37
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? No +60 $39 72¢ $43 +$5 06-28 22:08
Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? No -82 $-36 53¢ $-43 $-8 06-22 16:02
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes -28 $-23 99¢ $-27 $-4 06-16 19:21
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? Up +32 $24 82¢ $26 +$2 06-27 19:18
Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027? No +34 $28 78¢ $26 $-2 06-27 22:01
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? No +37 $22 68¢ $25 +$3 06-21 03:37
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No +53 $2 41¢ $22 +$20 06-20 10:58
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? Yes +84 $17 25¢ $21 +$4 06-21 19:24
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? No +24 $11 84¢ $20 +$9 06-05 20:55
Will SZA perform at Coachella 2027? No +31 $22 52¢ $16 $-6 05-28 21:06
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? No +47 $-1 33¢ $16 +$16 06-19 07:27
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No -20 $-13 79¢ $-15 $-3 06-06 02:20
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027? Yes -159 $-21 10¢ $-15 +$6 06-20 11:45
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No +18 $14 83¢ $15 +$1 06-18 22:07
Will DJ Khaled perform at Coachella 2027? No +28 $21 50¢ $14 $-7 05-28 21:07
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30? No -12 $-12 100¢ $-12 $-0 06-16 17:54
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -12 $-12 97¢ $-12 +$0 06-28 19:46
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -12 $-11 96¢ $-12 $-1 06-04 01:24
Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? Yes +25 $12 47¢ $12 $-0 06-28 23:47
Will Bad Bunny perform at Coachella 2027? No +20 $16 54¢ $11 $-5 06-07 19:02
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +13 $9 78¢ $10 +$1 06-04 21:54
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.? Yes +38 $7 23¢ $9 +$2 06-25 21:47
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? Yes +34 $6 18¢ $6 $-0 06-21 18:43
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -6 $-6 94¢ $-6 $-0 06-29 01:43
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation? Yes +55 $6 11¢ $6 $-0 06-26 01:21
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -156 $-6 $-6 $-0 06-09 15:14
UK Recession in 2026? Yes -21 $-9 26¢ $-6 +$3 06-05 06:23