Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$68
Hit rate
85.5%
Resolved
14
Trades
1,467
lifetime
Volume
$14.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$531
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 04:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
61% 60% +$4
Politics
29% 75% $-2
Tech
6%
Pop-Culture
4%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.? No +100 $71 87¢ $87 +$17 06-22 15:37
Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027? No +124 $93 64¢ $80 $-13 06-19 00:34
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No -40 $-37 91¢ $-37 +$0 07-18 19:46
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -37 $-35 90¢ $-33 +$2 07-20 15:53
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? No +43 $22 64¢ $27 +$6 07-04 11:36
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? Up +32 $24 78¢ $25 +$1 06-27 19:18
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass? Yes +116 $20 17¢ $20 $-1 07-19 10:15
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No +53 $2 31¢ $17 +$15 06-20 10:58
Will SZA perform at Coachella 2027? No +31 $22 50¢ $15 $-7 05-28 21:06
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No -20 $-13 77¢ $-15 $-3 06-06 02:20
Will DJ Khaled perform at Coachella 2027? No +28 $21 51¢ $14 $-7 05-28 21:07
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? No +47 $-1 27¢ $13 +$14 06-19 07:27
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? Yes +43 $12 29¢ $12 $-0 07-13 06:17
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -12 $-12 97¢ $-12 +$0 06-28 19:46
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -14 $-11 82¢ $-11 +$0 07-01 08:46
UK Recession in 2026? No +13 $-33 84¢ $11 +$44 07-15 14:21
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? No +14 $6 74¢ $11 +$4 07-07 04:16
Will Bad Bunny perform at Coachella 2027? No +20 $16 52¢ $11 $-5 06-07 19:02
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -12 $-11 84¢ $-10 +$1 06-04 01:24
Japan recession in 2026? Yes +99 $11 10¢ $9 $-1 07-18 11:08
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? No +50 $8 16¢ $8 +$0 07-21 08:07
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation? Yes +75 $7 11¢ $8 +$0 07-09 09:55
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? Yes +19 $4 40¢ $7 +$3 07-13 22:51
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.? Yes +65 $10 11¢ $7 $-3 07-08 10:49
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -156 $-6 $-6 $-1 06-09 15:14
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -6 $-6 96¢ $-6 $-0 06-29 01:43
Will BLACKPINK perform at Coachella 2027? No +9 $7 54¢ $5 $-2 05-30 19:44
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? No +24 $2 20¢ $5 +$3 07-14 22:00
Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -122 $-5 $-4 +$1 06-25 14:51
Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.? No -4 $-4 95¢ $-4 $-0 05-29 02:51