Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
85.5%
Resolved
14
Trades
639
lifetime
Volume
$4.40K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$213
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 19:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
53% 60% +$4
Politics
30% 75% $-2
Pop-Culture
11%
Tech
6%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? No -132 $-52 31¢ $-41 +$11 05-31 00:59
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? No +55 $36 73¢ $40 +$4 06-03 18:53
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? No +24 $11 77¢ $18 +$7 06-05 20:55
Will SZA perform at Coachella 2027? No +31 $22 56¢ $17 $-5 05-28 21:06
Will DJ Khaled perform at Coachella 2027? No +28 $21 50¢ $14 $-7 05-28 21:07
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -12 $-11 90¢ $-11 $-0 06-04 01:24
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No -20 $-13 54¢ $-11 +$2 06-06 02:20
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +13 $9 78¢ $10 +$1 06-04 21:54
Will Bad Bunny perform at Coachella 2027? No +20 $16 49¢ $10 $-6 06-07 19:02
UK Recession in 2026? Yes -21 $-9 44¢ $-9 $-0 06-05 06:23
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +9 $8 87¢ $8 +$0 06-07 19:09
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -156 $-6 $-7 $-1 06-09 15:14
Will BLACKPINK perform at Coachella 2027? No +9 $7 57¢ $5 $-2 05-30 19:44
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? Yes -6 $-4 65¢ $-4 $-0 05-31 17:23
Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.? No -4 $-4 80¢ $-4 +$0 05-29 02:51
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No -5 $-1 26¢ $-1 $-1 06-07 03:06
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? No -2 $-1 75¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 10:04
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? No +5 $0 20¢ $1 +$1 06-03 02:19