Realized P&L (30d)
-$436
Unrealized P&L
-$58
Hit rate
59.5%
Resolved (30d)
304
Trades (30d)
4,081
14,666 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$43.3K
$152.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$829
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 18:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 206 days
Categories
Other
53% 66% +$477
Politics
43% 65% +$950
Tech
2% 75% +$12
Pop-Culture
1% 69% +$35
Sports
0% 33% -$8
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 295 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes -327 -$253 74¢ $-244 +$9 10-31 09:31
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes -102 -$87 90¢ $-93 -$5 09-05 00:42
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +370 $134 25¢ $93 -$41 09-21 17:29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +202 $76 32¢ $66 -$11 10-27 23:51
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$49 95¢ $-48 +$1 09-23 12:52
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +51 $43 82¢ $42 -$2 10-19 13:23
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No -33 -$24 84¢ $-28 -$3 08-16 14:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +32 $23 76¢ $24 +$2 07-30 07:48
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -25 -$23 95¢ $-24 -$1 06-04 01:24
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? No +100 $69 19¢ $19 -$50 07-21 16:49
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +22 $18 71¢ $16 -$3 09-14 21:45
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No -16 -$10 95¢ $-15 -$5 07-01 08:03
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +34 $9 36¢ $12 +$3 09-01 19:13
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +20 $10 60¢ $12 +$2 10-31 17:58
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +13 $8 74¢ $10 +$2 05-11 22:36
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +160 $15 6¢ $10 -$6 07-20 12:07
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes -13 -$11 68¢ $-9 +$2 09-24 21:17
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +20 $9 44¢ $9 $0 05-01 01:27
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No -12 -$11 68¢ $-8 +$3 08-09 15:24
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 No +10 $6 80¢ $8 +$1 07-16 18:58
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? Yes +95 $5 7¢ $7 +$2 08-06 23:19
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -6 -$6 96¢ $-6 $0 06-29 01:43
Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat? Yes -6 -$5 99¢ $-5 $0 09-23 12:46
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes -7 -$6 65¢ $-5 +$1 09-29 11:29
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +12 $5 34¢ $4 -$1 05-15 05:58
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +64 -$37 6¢ $4 +$41 10-01 17:41
saudi airspace closed by december 31 2026 Yes +21 $5 16¢ $3 -$2 09-20 23:22
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +82 $3 4¢ $3 +$0 10-26 15:56
Blue wave in 2026? No +31 $2 8¢ $3 +$1 10-29 10:00
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +6 $0 44¢ $3 +$3 07-25 19:45