Realized P&L
+$1.64K
Unrealized P&L
-$82
Hit rate
74.5%
Resolved
1,736
Trades
14,946
lifetime
Volume
$155.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$428
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 21:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 209 days
Categories
Other
53% 65% +$727
Politics
43% 66% +$873
Tech
2% 75% +$12
Pop-Culture
1% 69% +$35
Sports
0% 33% -$8
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 295 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +370 $134 25¢ $93 -$41 09-21 17:29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +202 $70 28¢ $56 -$15 11-03 07:54
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$49 96¢ $-48 +$0 09-23 12:52
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +51 $43 84¢ $43 -$1 10-19 13:23
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No -33 -$24 90¢ $-29 -$5 08-16 14:36
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -25 -$23 96¢ $-24 -$1 06-04 01:24
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? No +100 $69 21¢ $21 -$48 07-21 16:49
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat? Yes -21 -$8 99¢ $-21 -$13 11-03 15:29
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +22 $18 74¢ $16 -$2 09-14 21:45
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +34 $9 33¢ $11 +$2 09-01 19:13
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 No +10 $6 85¢ $8 +$2 07-16 18:58
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +20 $9 42¢ $8 $0 05-01 01:27
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +160 $15 5¢ $8 -$7 07-20 12:07
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes -7 -$6 98¢ $-7 -$1 09-29 11:29
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? Yes +95 $5 7¢ $6 +$1 08-06 23:19
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -6 -$6 97¢ $-6 $0 06-29 01:43
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? Yes +13 $3 26¢ $3 +$0 10-29 03:37
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +82 $3 3¢ $3 +$0 10-26 15:56
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +6 $0 46¢ $3 +$3 07-25 19:45
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +64 -$37 4¢ $3 +$40 10-01 17:41
saudi airspace closed by december 31 2026 Yes +21 $5 10¢ $2 -$3 09-20 23:22
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat? No -17 -$12 8¢ $-1 +$11 06-18 04:13
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 06-30 23:42
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$1 05-12 16:57
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? No +6 $3 22¢ $1 -$2 05-10 22:49
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -27 -$2 4¢ $-1 +$1 09-18 21:40
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +278 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 10-01 17:07
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +278 $4 0¢ $1 -$3 08-05 08:58
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +6 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 07-01 14:04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +9 -$2 3¢ $0 +$2 10-28 18:57