Realized P&L (7d)
-$572
Unrealized P&L
+$51
Hit rate
40.4%
Resolved (7d)
69
Trades (7d)
1,235
14,358 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$13.3K
$149.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$842
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 23:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 203 days
Categories
Other
54% 65% +$551
Politics
42% 65% +$911
Tech
2% 73% +$2
Pop-Culture
1% 69% +$35
Sports
0% 33% -$8
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 295 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes -228 -$176 68¢ $-156 +$19 08-05 03:26
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +101 $24 100¢ $100 +$76 10-21 20:22
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +370 $134 25¢ $93 -$41 09-21 17:29
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes -102 -$87 86¢ $-89 -$1 09-05 00:42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +202 $76 42¢ $86 +$10 10-27 23:51
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$49 95¢ $-48 +$1 09-23 12:52
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +51 $43 72¢ $37 -$7 10-19 13:23
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No -33 -$24 85¢ $-28 -$3 08-16 14:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +32 $23 74¢ $24 +$1 07-30 07:48
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -25 -$23 93¢ $-23 -$1 06-04 01:24
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? No +100 $69 18¢ $18 -$51 07-21 16:49
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No -16 -$10 94¢ $-15 -$5 07-01 08:03
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +22 $18 64¢ $14 -$4 09-14 21:45
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +34 $9 36¢ $12 +$3 09-01 19:13
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +20 $9 52¢ $10 +$2 05-01 01:27
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +160 $15 6¢ $10 -$6 07-20 12:07
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes -13 -$11 68¢ $-9 +$2 09-24 21:17
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +13 $8 68¢ $9 +$1 05-11 22:36
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No -12 -$11 68¢ $-8 +$3 08-09 15:24
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 No +10 $6 78¢ $8 +$1 07-16 18:58
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? Yes +95 $5 7¢ $7 +$2 08-06 23:19
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -6 -$6 94¢ $-6 +$0 06-29 01:43
Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat? Yes -6 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 09-23 12:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +9 -$2 51¢ $4 +$7 10-28 18:57
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +12 $5 36¢ $4 -$1 05-15 05:58
Blue wave in 2026? No +31 $2 14¢ $4 +$3 10-29 10:00
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes -7 -$6 57¢ $-4 +$2 09-29 11:29
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +64 -$37 6¢ $4 +$40 10-01 17:41
saudi airspace closed by december 31 2026 Yes +21 $5 16¢ $3 -$2 09-20 23:22
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +82 $3 4¢ $3 +$0 10-26 15:56