Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?
open
Total volume
$2,193
$30 in 24h
Trades
187
Unique wallets
48
Liquidity
$829
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-04 19:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-32.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $5
vs crowd: 33% YES on $1.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $81 | $713 | $632 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $268 | $81 | +$187 |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $76 | $168 | $91 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $46 | $17 | +$30 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $9 | $409 | $400 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $17 | $4 | +$14 |
| Median | 5 | $35 | $11 | +$24 |
| Below median | 7 | $64 | $34 | +$30 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $4 | $27 | $23 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $208 | $53 | +$155 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $59 | $308 | $250 |
| unranked | 14 | $76 | $127 | $51 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Downright-Website 0x836f…906e | No | +382 | $319 | $440 | 3 | 07-07 03:54 |
| Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | +223 | $50 | $50 | 13 | 07-12 14:46 |
| Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | No | +124 | $106 | $106 | 6 | 08-04 19:23 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +58 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 08-03 18:37 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-17 05:58 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +50 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-17 01:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x7091…cc89 | Yes | +42 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-25 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +39 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-18 00:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +33 | $4 | $6 | 5 | 08-03 08:55 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-17 05:59 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +28 | $2 | $28 | 14 | 08-04 14:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xe52d…b4db | Yes | +23 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-05 13:24 |
| Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | +22 | $4 | $35 | 6 | 08-01 20:49 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +20 | $8 | $30 | 8 | 06-18 16:28 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-17 01:41 |
| mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 08-03 08:41 |
| Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | +18 | $13 | $25 | 3 | 08-04 19:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $12 | 4 | 06-17 01:51 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-11 10:32 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 11:50 |
| Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 05:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | +4 | $4 | $5 | 2 | 07-18 22:15 |
| Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | +4 | $1 | $32 | 16 | 07-03 19:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:23:48 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 18 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x2a8a3d… |
| 08-04 19:23:48 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x2a8a3d… |
| 08-04 19:23:42 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 18 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xdc385d… |
| 08-04 19:23:42 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0xdc385d… |
| 08-04 19:23:42 | Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | No | BUY | 25 | 86¢ | $22 | 0xdc385d… |
| 08-04 14:22:47 | Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | No | BUY | 28 | 86¢ | $24 | 0x067a04… |
| 08-04 14:22:47 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 28 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x067a04… |
| 08-03 18:37:20 | Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | No | BUY | 38 | 85¢ | $32 | 0xea331d… |
| 08-03 18:37:20 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 38 | 15¢ | $6 | 0xea331d… |
| 08-03 08:55:06 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xd100c0… |
| 08-03 08:55:06 | Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | No | BUY | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xd100c0… |
| 08-03 08:41:59 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0xb139d0… |
| 08-03 08:41:59 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 12 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xb139d0… |
| 08-03 08:36:17 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xfcd9ee… |
| 08-03 08:36:17 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0xfcd9ee… |
| 08-02 22:20:36 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xa869fb… |
| 08-02 22:20:36 | Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | No | BUY | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xa869fb… |
| 08-02 22:05:29 | Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | No | BUY | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x61f9d1… |
| 08-02 22:05:29 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x61f9d1… |
| 08-01 20:49:41 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | SELL | 43 | 88¢ | $38 | 0x44a252… |
| 08-01 20:49:41 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | SELL | 43 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x44a252… |
| 08-01 20:48:57 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x9cc371… |
| 08-01 20:48:57 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x9cc371… |
| 08-01 20:48:57 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x9cc371… |
| 07-24 13:14:00 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x4be95e… |
| 07-24 13:14:00 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x4be95e… |
| 07-18 22:15:04 | (anonymous) 0x6d38…2104 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x7b1cd9… |
| 07-18 22:15:04 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x7b1cd9… |
| 07-18 22:15:04 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x7b1cd9… |
| 07-16 11:45:50 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x7eb52f… |
| 07-16 11:45:50 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x7eb52f… |
| 07-16 11:43:49 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x487f10… |
| 07-16 11:43:49 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x487f10… |
| 07-12 14:46:28 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x23757f… |
| 07-12 14:46:28 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x23757f… |
| 07-12 14:46:28 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x23757f… |
| 07-12 06:45:02 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x9b0e07… |
| 07-12 06:45:02 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x9b0e07… |
| 07-11 10:32:20 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0xc58e34… |
| 07-11 10:32:20 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0xc58e34… |
| 07-11 10:32:14 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xe83e82… |
| 07-11 10:32:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xe83e82… |
| 07-11 10:32:14 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0xe83e82… |
| 07-11 10:32:07 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x10ec80… |
| 07-11 10:32:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x10ec80… |
| 07-11 10:32:07 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x10ec80… |
| 07-11 03:54:34 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x93b7f6… |
| 07-11 03:54:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x93b7f6… |
| 07-10 16:09:17 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xab255b… |
| 07-10 16:09:17 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xab255b… |
| 07-10 16:07:47 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x586051… |
| 07-10 16:07:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x586051… |
| 07-10 16:07:47 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x586051… |
| 07-10 16:07:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xccdf0c… |
| 07-10 16:07:38 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xccdf0c… |
| 07-08 10:49:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 27 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xa00309… |
| 07-08 10:49:56 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 27 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xa00309… |
| 07-07 03:54:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5d4eab… |
| 07-07 03:54:56 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x5d4eab… |
| 07-07 03:54:56 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5d4eab… |
| 07-07 03:54:56 | Downright-Website 0x836f…906e | No | SELL | 55 | 93¢ | $51 | 0x5d4eab… |
| 07-05 21:47:22 | (anonymous) 0xe02d…bcff | Yes | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x50c1c5… |
| 07-05 21:47:22 | Downright-Website 0x836f…906e | No | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x50c1c5… |
| 07-05 21:47:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xbf042c… |
| 07-05 21:47:16 | (anonymous) 0xe02d…bcff | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xbf042c… |
| 07-05 21:47:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xa1dc5e… |
| 07-05 21:47:07 | (anonymous) 0xe02d…bcff | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xa1dc5e… |
| 07-03 19:28:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x453ac2… |
| 07-03 19:28:01 | (anonymous) 0xe02d…bcff | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x453ac2… |
| 07-03 19:27:52 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x3c91c4… |
| 07-03 19:27:52 | (anonymous) 0xe02d…bcff | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x3c91c4… |
| 07-02 17:51:29 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 400 | 85¢ | $340 | 0x352d5b… |
| 07-02 17:51:29 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x352d5b… |
| 07-02 17:51:29 | Downright-Website 0x836f…906e | No | BUY | 447 | 85¢ | $379 | 0x352d5b… |
| 07-02 17:51:29 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x352d5b… |
| 06-25 21:47:04 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 12 | 71¢ | $8 | 0xbef1a9… |
| 06-25 21:47:04 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | SELL | 12 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xbef1a9… |
| 06-25 20:34:25 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 12 | 76¢ | $9 | 0x0d9a21… |
| 06-25 20:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x0d9a21… |
| 06-25 20:34:25 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x0d9a21… |
| 06-25 20:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x7091…cc89 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 24¢ | $10 | 0x0d9a21… |
| 06-19 11:34:13 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x64ebcc… |
| 06-19 11:34:13 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x64ebcc… |
| 06-18 16:28:34 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | SELL | 11 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x809058… |
| 06-18 16:28:34 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 11 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x809058… |
| 06-18 16:28:26 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 14 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x953aa5… |
| 06-18 16:28:26 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 28¢ | $0 | 0x953aa5… |
| 06-18 16:28:26 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | SELL | 13 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x953aa5… |
| 06-18 16:27:46 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x0d6f48… |
| 06-18 16:27:46 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 12 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x0d6f48… |
| 06-18 16:27:38 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 16 | 28¢ | $4 | 0xf22773… |
| 06-18 16:27:38 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 22 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xf22773… |
| 06-18 16:27:38 | (anonymous) 0x0855…ae26 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xf22773… |
| 06-18 16:26:55 | (anonymous) 0x0855…ae26 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 27¢ | $8 | 0xff3932… |
| 06-18 16:26:55 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 30 | 27¢ | $8 | 0xff3932… |
| 06-18 16:23:29 | (anonymous) 0x0855…ae26 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x18c6d7… |
| 06-18 16:23:29 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 24 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x18c6d7… |
| 06-18 16:23:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x65b8df… |
| 06-18 16:23:26 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 46 | 27¢ | $12 | 0x65b8df… |
| 06-18 16:23:26 | (anonymous) 0x0855…ae26 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 27¢ | $10 | 0x65b8df… |