Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?
open
Total volume
$1,956
$30 in 24h
Trades
149
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$829
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-11 10:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-34.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $5
vs crowd: 35% YES on $1.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $75 | $713 | $639 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $262 | $81 | +$181 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $56 | $36 | +$20 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $53 | $12 | +$41 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $409 | $409 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $14 | $4 | +$10 |
| Median | 2 | $30 | — | +$30 |
| Below median | 5 | $61 | $17 | +$44 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $4 | $27 | $23 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $197 | $53 | +$144 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $64 | $308 | $244 |
| unranked | 13 | $77 | $19 | +$58 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Downright-Website 0x836f…906e | No | +382 | $319 | $440 | 3 | 07-07 03:54 |
| Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | +208 | $49 | $49 | 11 | 07-11 10:32 |
| Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | +65 | $10 | $30 | 5 | 07-08 10:49 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-17 05:58 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +50 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-17 01:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x7091…cc89 | Yes | +42 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-25 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +39 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-18 00:30 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-17 05:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xe52d…b4db | Yes | +23 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-05 13:24 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +20 | $8 | $30 | 8 | 06-18 16:28 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-17 01:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $9 | 2 | 06-17 02:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $12 | 4 | 06-17 01:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-11 10:32 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-11 10:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d38…2104 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 11:50 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 11:50 |
| Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 05:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-07 03:54 |
| Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | +4 | $1 | $32 | 16 | 07-03 19:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 10:32:20 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0xc58e34… |
| 07-11 10:32:20 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0xc58e34… |
| 07-11 10:32:14 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xe83e82… |
| 07-11 10:32:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xe83e82… |
| 07-11 10:32:14 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0xe83e82… |
| 07-11 10:32:07 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x10ec80… |
| 07-11 10:32:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x10ec80… |
| 07-11 10:32:07 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x10ec80… |
| 07-11 03:54:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x93b7f6… |
| 07-11 03:54:34 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x93b7f6… |
| 07-10 16:09:17 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xab255b… |
| 07-10 16:09:17 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xab255b… |
| 07-10 16:07:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x586051… |
| 07-10 16:07:47 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x586051… |
| 07-10 16:07:47 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x586051… |
| 07-10 16:07:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xccdf0c… |
| 07-10 16:07:38 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xccdf0c… |
| 07-08 10:49:56 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 27 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xa00309… |
| 07-08 10:49:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 27 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xa00309… |
| 07-07 03:54:56 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5d4eab… |
| 07-07 03:54:56 | Downright-Website 0x836f…906e | No | SELL | 55 | 93¢ | $51 | 0x5d4eab… |
| 07-07 03:54:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5d4eab… |
| 07-07 03:54:56 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x5d4eab… |
| 07-05 21:47:22 | Downright-Website 0x836f…906e | No | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x50c1c5… |
| 07-05 21:47:22 | (anonymous) 0xe02d…bcff | Yes | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x50c1c5… |
| 07-05 21:47:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xbf042c… |
| 07-05 21:47:16 | (anonymous) 0xe02d…bcff | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xbf042c… |
| 07-05 21:47:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xa1dc5e… |
| 07-05 21:47:07 | (anonymous) 0xe02d…bcff | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xa1dc5e… |
| 07-03 19:28:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x453ac2… |
| 07-03 19:28:01 | (anonymous) 0xe02d…bcff | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x453ac2… |
| 07-03 19:27:52 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x3c91c4… |
| 07-03 19:27:52 | (anonymous) 0xe02d…bcff | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x3c91c4… |
| 07-02 17:51:29 | Downright-Website 0x836f…906e | No | BUY | 447 | 85¢ | $379 | 0x352d5b… |
| 07-02 17:51:29 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x352d5b… |
| 07-02 17:51:29 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x352d5b… |
| 07-02 17:51:29 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 400 | 85¢ | $340 | 0x352d5b… |
| 06-25 21:47:04 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 12 | 71¢ | $8 | 0xbef1a9… |
| 06-25 21:47:04 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | SELL | 12 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xbef1a9… |
| 06-25 20:34:25 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x0d9a21… |
| 06-25 20:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x0d9a21… |
| 06-25 20:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x7091…cc89 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 24¢ | $10 | 0x0d9a21… |
| 06-25 20:34:25 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 12 | 76¢ | $9 | 0x0d9a21… |
| 06-19 11:34:13 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x64ebcc… |
| 06-19 11:34:13 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x64ebcc… |
| 06-18 16:28:34 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 11 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x809058… |
| 06-18 16:28:34 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | SELL | 11 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x809058… |
| 06-18 16:28:26 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 28¢ | $0 | 0x953aa5… |
| 06-18 16:28:26 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 14 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x953aa5… |
| 06-18 16:28:26 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | SELL | 13 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x953aa5… |
| 06-18 16:27:46 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 12 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x0d6f48… |
| 06-18 16:27:46 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x0d6f48… |
| 06-18 16:27:38 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 22 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xf22773… |
| 06-18 16:27:38 | (anonymous) 0x0855…ae26 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xf22773… |
| 06-18 16:27:38 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 16 | 28¢ | $4 | 0xf22773… |
| 06-18 16:26:55 | (anonymous) 0x0855…ae26 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 27¢ | $8 | 0xff3932… |
| 06-18 16:26:55 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 30 | 27¢ | $8 | 0xff3932… |
| 06-18 16:23:29 | (anonymous) 0x0855…ae26 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x18c6d7… |
| 06-18 16:23:29 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 24 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x18c6d7… |
| 06-18 16:23:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x65b8df… |
| 06-18 16:23:26 | (anonymous) 0x0855…ae26 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 27¢ | $10 | 0x65b8df… |
| 06-18 16:23:26 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 46 | 27¢ | $12 | 0x65b8df… |
| 06-18 11:15:46 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x379bcc… |
| 06-18 11:15:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x379bcc… |
| 06-18 11:15:44 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 11 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x3b9c61… |
| 06-18 11:15:44 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | SELL | 62 | 23¢ | $14 | 0x3b9c61… |
| 06-18 11:15:44 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 73 | 24¢ | $17 | 0x3b9c61… |
| 06-18 03:15:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x2be62c… |
| 06-18 03:15:19 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x2be62c… |
| 06-18 02:16:46 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | SELL | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x11b550… |
| 06-18 02:16:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x11b550… |
| 06-18 00:30:16 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 19¢ | $7 | 0x192667… |
| 06-18 00:30:16 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 39 | 19¢ | $7 | 0x192667… |
| 06-17 22:54:55 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 21¢ | $17 | 0x66ae64… |
| 06-17 22:54:55 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 80 | 21¢ | $17 | 0x66ae64… |
| 06-17 22:54:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x50e65b… |
| 06-17 22:54:44 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x50e65b… |
| 06-17 16:41:32 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x6fad75… |
| 06-17 16:41:32 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x6fad75… |
| 06-17 12:20:13 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x8960b2… |
| 06-17 12:20:13 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x8960b2… |
| 06-17 12:17:32 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xa4a8b9… |
| 06-17 12:17:32 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xa4a8b9… |
| 06-17 12:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x87ad3d… |
| 06-17 12:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x0855…ae26 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 23¢ | $11 | 0x87ad3d… |
| 06-17 12:09:35 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 65 | 23¢ | $15 | 0x87ad3d… |
| 06-17 12:09:35 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x87ad3d… |
| 06-17 09:27:01 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xe8c91f… |
| 06-17 09:27:01 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xe8c91f… |
| 06-17 07:05:13 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xb1656b… |
| 06-17 07:05:13 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xb1656b… |
| 06-17 06:03:22 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xd83fe1… |
| 06-17 06:03:22 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xd83fe1… |
| 06-17 06:00:14 | Ripe-Phase 0xb042…14f3 | No | SELL | 37 | 75¢ | $27 | 0x708cfe… |
| 06-17 06:00:14 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 56 | 25¢ | $14 | 0x708cfe… |
| 06-17 06:00:14 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 19 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x708cfe… |
| 06-17 05:59:59 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0x3d7bcd… |
| 06-17 05:59:59 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0x3d7bcd… |
| 06-17 05:59:58 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0xb3ad56… |
| 06-17 05:59:58 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 55 | 29¢ | $16 | 0xb3ad56… |