Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$209

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

51.2%

Resolved

390

Trades

1,718

lifetime

Volume

$5.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-12

last 07-16 19:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 53% -$117

Other

33% 58% -$112

Politics

15% 60% +$11

Tech

2% 33% -$6

Sports

2% 56% +$4

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		-2	-$2	82¢	$-2	$0	07-11 03:54
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-2	$0	18¢	$-0	+$0	07-11 03:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	15	$83	57	57	+0	Yes	+$31	06-21 12:57
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	16	$82	264	17	+246	Yes	-$65	06-21 20:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 02:10 UTC	21	$78	71	38	+33	Up	-$1	06-17 02:16
Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?	9	$78	258	258	+0	open	—	07-16 15:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 02:00 UTC	18	$75	55	41	+14	Down	+$7	06-17 02:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:30 UTC	18	$74	56	38	+19	Up	+$1	06-16 23:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 02:15 UTC	20	$73	64	35	+28	Down	-$3	06-17 02:20
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	3	$68	120	19	+101	No	-$48	07-11 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:40 UTC	8	$67	60	32	+28	Down	-$3	06-16 23:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:25 UTC	14	$63	37	37	+0	Up	+$11	06-16 23:31
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	13	$62	72	71	+1	No	-$5	07-16 18:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 03:05 UTC	19	$57	64	44	+21	Down	-$7	06-17 03:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 02:25 UTC	16	$56	54	26	+28	Up	-$4	06-17 02:30
atp bellucc svajda 2026 06 29	27	$53	106	0	+106	cancelled	+$0	06-28 18:55
fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 corners total 9pt5	6	$49	44	44	+0	Over	$0	06-21 21:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	18	$48	99	99	+0	Yes	+$0	06-21 11:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:15 UTC	11	$48	28	28	+0	Down	+$8	06-16 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 03:00 UTC	13	$47	34	24	+10	Down	$0	06-17 03:05
will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	20	$43	41	10	+30	Yes	+$4	06-22 20:07
wta sonmez bejlek 2026 06 24 set totals 2pt5	24	$43	82	3	+79	cancelled	$0	06-24 14:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:45 UTC	7	$43	58	13	+45	Down	-$17	06-17 00:00
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?	3	$43	34	34	+0	open	—	07-15 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 03:10 UTC	9	$42	35	26	+9	Down	+$10	06-17 03:15
Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	11	$39	22	22	+0	Yes	$0	07-11 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:15 UTC	4	$39	72	0	+72	Up	-$39	06-12 09:12
Will David Leslie win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?	24	$39	22	22	+0	No	-$1	07-14 21:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 03:25 UTC	9	$38	29	22	+6	Up	+$6	06-17 03:30
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	27	$38	33	33	+0	open	—	07-11 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 02:30 UTC	10	$37	30	19	+11	Down	+$1	06-17 02:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 03:20 UTC	12	$37	36	15	+21	Down	-$7	06-17 03:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 19:24:05	will the spacex starship launch from florida by december 31 2026 20260617154758584	No	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0xff141d…
07-16 19:24:04	Will Angela Murray come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	SELL	55	5¢	$3	0xb1c610…
07-16 19:24:04	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	No	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0xa68998…
07-16 19:24:04	Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?	Yes	SELL	41	19¢	$8	0x93f3e3…
07-16 19:24:04	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	SELL	28	27¢	$8	0x644917…
07-16 19:24:04	Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	34	24¢	$8	0x45550c…
07-16 19:24:04	will spider man brand new day score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026311	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$11	0x4324ce…
07-16 19:24:02	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	9¢	$9	0x74c18f…
07-16 18:58:44	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf95ab8…
07-16 18:51:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	10¢	$10	0x03378c…
07-16 18:47:13	Will Angela Murray come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	BUY	55	8¢	$4	0x5e6ded…
07-16 18:45:28	Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	BUY	34	28¢	$10	0xec201b…
07-16 18:37:10	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	SELL	21	41¢	$9	0xff60e9…
07-16 18:25:28	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x8aacaf…
07-16 18:09:05	Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x9ebe79…
07-16 18:08:17	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	SELL	23	37¢	$8	0x2760b4…
07-16 17:54:14	will leavitt say cdc or who during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953938 875	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x54865f…
07-16 17:48:28	Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x3006e1…
07-16 17:29:17	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x040ebc…
07-16 17:26:56	will leavitt say baby during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953940 493	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc1f90b…
07-16 17:26:46	will leavitt say baby during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953940 493	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x29d10c…
07-16 17:23:14	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	SELL	21	38¢	$8	0x570cb7…
07-16 17:21:59	will leavitt say cdc or who during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953938 875	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x915216…
07-16 17:08:32	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x7a0a5a…
07-16 15:08:01	Will Iowa have the closest Governor's race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	9¢	$5	0x667e4b…
07-16 15:07:41	Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?	Yes	SELL	141	16¢	$23	0x865dc3…
07-16 15:06:47	will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by december 31 20260626182136411	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x621d6f…
07-16 15:06:44	will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by december 31 20260626182136411	No	SELL	19	73¢	$14	0x0d0014…
07-16 09:03:59	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x1a5e53…
07-16 07:46:23	will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by december 31 20260626182136411	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x791b59…
07-16 07:45:31	will doctor strange die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259198	No	SELL	13	68¢	$9	0x7ea5b6…
07-16 07:45:26	will doctor strange die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259198	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xd12e09…
07-15 23:38:02	Will Texas have the closest Governor's race in 2026?	No	SELL	11	68¢	$7	0xc951e6…
07-15 23:34:05	Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?	Yes	BUY	64	15¢	$10	0x077114…
07-15 23:33:10	Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?	Yes	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x41344a…
07-15 23:33:07	Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?	Yes	SELL	54	11¢	$6	0x6b1a86…
07-15 23:33:02	Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?	Yes	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0xf95f52…
07-15 22:53:40	Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?	No	SELL	34	67¢	$23	0x196a77…
07-15 22:50:23	Will Iowa have the closest Governor's race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0x1ddc0e…
07-15 22:47:59	Will Texas have the closest Governor's race in 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x3341b2…
07-15 21:28:32	Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xf436e0…
07-15 21:28:23	Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?	Yes	SELL	54	14¢	$8	0x4e7443…
07-15 21:27:44	will thor die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259191	No	SELL	23	45¢	$10	0x60f680…
07-15 13:35:19	will thor die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259191	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xffca23…
07-15 09:31:05	will thor die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259191	No	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x68c597…
07-15 06:49:02	Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?	Yes	BUY	41	23¢	$10	0x7c254e…
07-15 02:13:14	Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x111f33…
07-15 00:00:59	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x8f13e7…
07-14 23:50:23	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x035494…
07-14 23:36:59	Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?	Yes	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0x542301…
07-14 23:32:05	will doctor strange die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259198	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xc41756…
07-14 23:31:26	will thor die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259191	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x3b17f3…
07-14 23:26:28	will spider man brand new day score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026311	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xde20d9…
07-14 23:18:01	Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x9803bf…
07-14 23:12:49	Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x5dcbe7…
07-14 22:00:50	Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x2c3c99…
07-14 21:58:02	Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	No	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x54d15f…
07-14 21:21:59	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x250aaa…
07-14 21:21:56	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x90f785…
07-14 21:21:56	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x6da771…
07-14 21:21:55	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x5cc9da…
07-14 21:21:53	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xac389f…
07-14 21:21:53	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x558aa1…
07-14 21:21:52	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xf6d92f…
07-14 21:21:49	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xffaff5…
07-14 21:21:49	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xa1ad62…
07-14 21:21:46	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x0c654b…
07-14 21:21:43	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x89823a…
07-14 21:21:40	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x51cf61…
07-14 21:21:37	Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xe3b079…
07-14 21:21:37	Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xdcee00…
07-14 21:21:37	untitled market 1 20260626145744786	No	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0xb7770e…
07-14 21:21:37	will waymo launch in london by december 31 2026 20260626202855281	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0xb3c78c…
07-14 21:21:37	Will Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x2ba597…
07-14 21:21:37	will doctor strange die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259198	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x240dbd…
07-14 21:21:37	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x12005d…
07-14 21:21:35	Will Rahm Emanuel be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xce7323…
07-14 21:21:35	Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xbf0ed0…
07-14 21:21:35	Will "Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0xb04e62…
07-14 21:21:35	Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?	Yes	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x731645…
07-14 21:21:35	Will Ro Khanna be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x1583c8…
07-14 21:21:34	Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xd57bde…
07-14 21:21:34	will thor die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259191	No	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xbdb1e5…
07-14 21:21:34	Will Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?	No	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x9fab99…
07-14 21:21:34	Will David Leslie win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x816198…
07-14 21:21:34	will the spacex starship launch from florida by december 31 2026 20260617154758584	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x408490…
07-14 21:21:34	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?	No	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x0d0b7c…
07-14 21:21:32	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xf122b5…
07-14 21:21:32	Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0xa278bf…
07-14 21:21:32	Will Monty Fritts win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x4e3a9f…
07-14 21:21:32	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x317557…
07-14 21:21:32	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x2d1906…
07-14 21:21:31	Will Kamala Harris be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xffa72b…
07-14 21:21:31	will the spacex starship launch from florida by december 31 2026 20260617154758584	No	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0xfe3349…
07-14 21:21:31	Will Andrew Oldham be the next Supreme Court nominee?	Yes	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0xf1cd8e…
07-14 21:21:31	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x5acc35…
07-14 21:21:31	will the fda reclassify bpc 157 to category 1 of the bulk drug substances list by december 31 2026 20260622202336522	Yes	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0x4a8178…
07-14 21:21:31	will spider man die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259199	No	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x3f982d…
07-14 21:21:29	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xfe14a1…
07-14 21:21:29	Will Minnesota have the closest Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xbb89e8…