Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$314
Trades
85
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$15
Latest YES mid
32¢
Latest NO mid
68¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-03
last 07-30 04:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $29 | $4 | +$26 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $8 | $34 | $26 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $28 | $95 | $67 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $9 | $28 | $18 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $49 | $8 | +$41 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| Median | 3 | $7 | $47 | $41 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $43 | $43 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $34 | $34 |
| unranked | 5 | $7 | $28 | $20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +81 | $29 | $29 | 3 | 06-28 07:16 |
| Wrong-Apprehension 0xdf81…697d | No | +60 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 06-04 14:25 |
| Suspicious-Strap 0xe65b…271b | No | +50 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 07-24 21:05 |
| Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | +43 | $22 | $73 | 28 | 07-04 11:36 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +40 | $9 | $30 | 4 | 07-24 21:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +13 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 07-24 21:05 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-24 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-24 21:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-30 04:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-28 22:08 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-30 04:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 04:02:35 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xc276ff… |
| 07-30 04:02:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xc276ff… |
| 07-24 21:08:13 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x3f6a61… |
| 07-24 21:08:13 | (anonymous) 0xa4ba…c5d8 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x3f6a61… |
| 07-24 21:05:31 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x11b383… |
| 07-24 21:05:31 | Suspicious-Strap 0xe65b…271b | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x11b383… |
| 07-24 21:04:33 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xe93a60… |
| 07-24 21:04:33 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 31¢ | $12 | 0xe93a60… |
| 07-24 21:04:33 | Suspicious-Strap 0xe65b…271b | No | BUY | 45 | 69¢ | $31 | 0xe93a60… |
| 07-23 16:02:04 | (anonymous) 0xa4ba…c5d8 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x73c7d0… |
| 07-23 16:02:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x73c7d0… |
| 07-11 03:59:59 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 9 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xe4e288… |
| 07-11 03:59:59 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 71¢ | $7 | 0xe4e288… |
| 07-11 03:58:55 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 73¢ | $12 | 0x840973… |
| 07-11 03:58:55 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 16 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x840973… |
| 07-11 03:54:26 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 25 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xed1315… |
| 07-11 03:54:26 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | SELL | 25 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xed1315… |
| 07-04 11:36:26 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x17a624… |
| 07-04 11:36:26 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x17a624… |
| 07-04 11:36:25 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 1 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x7f4a8b… |
| 07-04 11:36:25 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | SELL | 1 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x7f4a8b… |
| 07-04 11:36:23 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x87a2d6… |
| 07-04 11:36:23 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x87a2d6… |
| 07-04 11:36:22 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | SELL | 1 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xd91079… |
| 07-04 11:36:22 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 1 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xd91079… |
| 07-04 11:36:17 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xd60fa0… |
| 07-04 11:36:17 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xd60fa0… |
| 07-04 11:36:16 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | SELL | 1 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x9510a3… |
| 07-04 11:36:16 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 1 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x9510a3… |
| 07-04 11:36:14 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x591c44… |
| 07-04 11:36:14 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x591c44… |
| 07-04 11:36:11 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | SELL | 1 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xb5ec71… |
| 07-04 11:36:11 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 1 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xb5ec71… |
| 07-04 11:36:08 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x04e474… |
| 07-04 11:36:08 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x04e474… |
| 07-04 11:36:05 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | SELL | 1 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xc446bb… |
| 07-04 11:36:05 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 1 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xc446bb… |
| 07-04 11:36:02 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x8242d8… |
| 07-04 11:36:02 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x8242d8… |
| 07-04 11:35:58 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 1 | 66¢ | $0 | 0x758c31… |
| 07-04 11:35:58 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | SELL | 1 | 66¢ | $0 | 0x758c31… |
| 07-04 11:35:55 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xd8da64… |
| 07-04 11:35:55 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xd8da64… |
| 07-04 11:35:53 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | SELL | 1 | 66¢ | $0 | 0xad2675… |
| 07-04 11:35:53 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 1 | 66¢ | $0 | 0xad2675… |
| 07-04 11:35:52 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xae7fbc… |
| 07-04 11:35:52 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xae7fbc… |
| 07-04 11:35:49 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 1 | 66¢ | $0 | 0x42f1b0… |
| 07-04 11:35:49 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | SELL | 1 | 66¢ | $0 | 0x42f1b0… |
| 07-04 11:35:46 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x1ece7a… |
| 07-04 11:35:46 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x1ece7a… |
| 07-04 11:35:44 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 0 | 66¢ | $0 | 0xfd9dd5… |
| 07-04 11:35:44 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | SELL | 0 | 66¢ | $0 | 0xfd9dd5… |
| 07-04 11:35:43 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x5eb179… |
| 07-04 11:35:43 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x5eb179… |
| 07-04 11:35:40 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 0 | 66¢ | $0 | 0x5244d1… |
| 07-04 11:35:40 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | SELL | 0 | 66¢ | $0 | 0x5244d1… |
| 07-04 11:35:38 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x9d2547… |
| 07-04 11:35:38 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x9d2547… |
| 07-04 11:35:35 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | SELL | 0 | 66¢ | $0 | 0x7335f2… |
| 07-04 11:35:35 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 0 | 66¢ | $0 | 0x7335f2… |
| 07-04 11:35:34 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xa255e0… |
| 07-04 11:35:34 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xa255e0… |
| 07-04 11:35:31 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 0 | 66¢ | $0 | 0x35787d… |
| 07-04 11:35:31 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | SELL | 0 | 66¢ | $0 | 0x35787d… |
| 07-04 11:35:29 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xdbeef6… |
| 07-04 11:35:29 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xdbeef6… |
| 07-04 11:35:26 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x28145a… |
| 07-04 11:35:26 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x28145a… |
| 06-28 22:08:29 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xd77ca6… |
| 06-28 22:08:29 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | BUY | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0xd77ca6… |
| 06-28 22:08:26 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xfccdee… |
| 06-28 22:08:26 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0xfccdee… |
| 06-28 07:16:20 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 25 | 44¢ | $11 | 0x6501e4… |
| 06-28 07:16:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 44¢ | $11 | 0x6501e4… |
| 06-24 14:41:08 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x751af9… |
| 06-24 14:41:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x751af9… |
| 06-04 14:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 28¢ | $4 | 0xf339f5… |
| 06-04 14:25:43 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xf339f5… |
| 06-04 14:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xf339f5… |
| 06-04 14:25:43 | Wrong-Apprehension 0xdf81…697d | No | BUY | 60 | 72¢ | $43 | 0xf339f5… |
| 06-04 14:25:43 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xf339f5… |
| 06-03 18:53:18 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x937d6f… |
| 06-03 18:53:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 35¢ | $18 | 0x937d6f… |
| 06-03 18:53:18 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 55 | 65¢ | $36 | 0x937d6f… |