Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

190

Trades

31,026

lifetime

Volume

$270.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 02:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-8

Crypto

23% 52% +$5

Sports

23% 53% +$18

Politics

2% 50% +$15

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 340 359	81	$1.4K	5,192	3,625	+1,567	open	—	01-26 09:31
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 360 379	81	$1.3K	6,654	5,923	+731	open	—	01-26 08:42
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	63	$1.1K	5,473	4,681	+792	open	—	01-25 06:17
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 320 339	43	$1.0K	3,210	3,015	+195	open	—	01-25 06:02
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 115 139	68	$1.0K	3,996	3,156	+840	open	—	01-21 12:23
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 140 164	50	$944	1,929	1,807	+122	open	—	01-24 15:00
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	36	$821	684	684	+0	open	—	01-20 16:43
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 165 189	41	$753	2,088	2,071	+16	open	—	01-24 15:00
will trumps approval rating be less than 39pt0 on april 3 2026	16	$720	396	396	+0	open	—	04-02 12:41
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 90 114	56	$684	902	887	+14	open	—	01-21 12:21
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 24, 2026?	20	$653	331	331	+0	open	—	04-24 18:01
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 65 89	33	$635	437	402	+35	open	—	01-21 12:15
btc updown 15m 1767336300	165	$564	1,035	98	+936	open	—	01-02 06:57
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 90 114	37	$528	493	383	+110	open	—	01-26 09:10
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 560 579	52	$430	3,346	1,943	+1,403	open	—	01-20 16:31
will trumps approval rating be between 40pt0 and 40pt4 on april 17 2026	22	$414	268	266	+2	open	—	04-16 13:03
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	26	$414	536	422	+115	open	—	01-23 16:34
will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 10 2026	5	$411	208	208	+0	open	—	04-11 11:06
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 380 399	25	$407	259	240	+19	open	—	01-22 08:48
will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	13	$375	190	190	+0	open	—	04-16 13:05
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 400 419	29	$367	272	205	+67	open	—	01-22 17:32
nba lac det 2026 01 10	8	$364	327	282	+45	open	—	01-10 20:50
will trumps approval rating be between 39pt0 and 39pt4 on april 10 2026	5	$329	197	194	+2	open	—	04-11 09:47
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 480 499	13	$320	632	460	+171	open	—	01-23 16:38
will trumps approval rating be between 40pt0 and 40pt4 on january 30 2026	3	$319	190	190	+0	open	—	01-29 00:44
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 260 279	20	$301	2,870	2,870	+0	open	—	01-26 09:14
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	32	$294	834	807	+27	open	—	01-24 08:54
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 240 259	15	$286	144	144	+0	open	—	01-26 08:43
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 360 379	24	$281	217	125	+92	open	—	01-22 08:14
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	11	$279	173	173	+0	open	—	03-07 01:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 02:41:12	china ballistic missile launch by december 31 20260706145934670	Yes	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0x629540…
08-11 22:40:48	china ballistic missile launch by december 31 20260706145934670	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x01cbbf…
08-11 18:15:03	Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0xc23533…
08-11 06:25:55	will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x782f20…
08-11 02:25:10	will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x9a571d…
08-10 14:13:40	will trump say lincoln memorial in august 20260728181450080	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x98530d…
08-08 20:15:09	will trump say lincoln memorial in august 20260728181450080	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xfa8c32…
08-08 14:10:51	ukraine strikes another vessel in the black sea by august 8 2026 20260804183343484	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x235131…
08-08 07:30:18	ukraine strikes another vessel in the black sea by august 8 2026 20260804183343484	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0xb18050…
08-08 07:15:13	ukraine strikes another vessel in the black sea by august 8 2026 20260804183343484	Yes	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0xc964bb…
08-07 20:33:10	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x5959b1…
08-07 16:32:15	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd81a3c…
08-06 16:31:32	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	13¢	$3	0xfef6ef…
08-06 16:00:48	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x50d568…
08-06 16:00:47	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x8d11de…
08-03 20:19:05	will trump praise andy burnham in august 20260729192811601	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xea44f1…
08-03 19:34:56	will trump say pearl harbor this week 20260731171342116	Yes	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0xf96627…
08-03 18:32:00	will trump praise andy burnham in august 20260729192811601	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x75607b…
08-03 18:29:47	will trump say lincoln memorial in august 20260728181450080	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x75841c…
08-03 13:32:50	will trump say pearl harbor this week 20260731171342116	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xe04841…
08-03 11:37:23	tsn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 03 2026 1	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x09ea1c…
08-02 12:46:27	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x2ef85e…
08-02 08:45:42	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x77b557…
08-01 22:31:27	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x65c47c…
08-01 22:31:26	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0xb63a06…
08-01 18:30:56	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6e9834…
08-01 18:30:51	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x2f546e…
08-01 17:20:06	will trump say lincoln memorial in august 20260728181450080	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x4a87ce…
08-01 15:18:20	will blackrock blk q2 quarterly total net inflows be above 125b 20260618011532649	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc99be0…
08-01 15:13:11	will blackrock blk q2 quarterly total net inflows be above 125b 20260618011532649	Yes	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0xe12663…
08-01 14:30:08	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	No	SELL	11	41¢	$5	0x988eda…
08-01 01:25:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x23381c…
07-31 21:24:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa54258…
07-31 17:38:15	will trump say gianni or infantino this week 20260724154805104	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xf7c81f…
07-31 17:29:38	aapl above 300 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0xe96e63…
07-31 17:04:48	another frontier math problem solved by september 30 2026 20260728180257858	Yes	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x152259…
07-31 16:51:38	another frontier math problem solved by september 30 2026 20260728180257858	Yes	SELL	8	68¢	$6	0xbe20c9…
07-31 16:34:09	another frontier math problem solved by september 30 2026 20260728180257858	Yes	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x4beb02…
07-31 16:30:45	aapl above 300 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe1c40a…
07-31 13:35:18	aapl above 270 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0xf5df67…
07-31 03:00:59	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x1d4fe7…
07-31 00:03:15	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd46823…
07-31 00:01:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x5f34a1…
07-30 15:27:02	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	No	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x70a84b…
07-30 14:49:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x21d198…
07-30 14:03:42	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x16a0ee…
07-30 11:52:42	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe6e5ab…
07-30 10:48:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xba230d…
07-30 04:25:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x70af43…
07-30 03:14:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0x69a295…
07-30 00:25:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x864d6c…
07-29 23:14:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x73532d…
07-29 23:07:17	will john cornyn vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821983	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xec69f6…
07-29 20:30:33	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x66acdd…
07-29 17:24:50	will john cornyn vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821983	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x807da3…
07-29 17:14:50	will john cornyn vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821983	No	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x8aeaa0…
07-28 20:40:55	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xab3368…
07-28 13:35:46	next kimi k model released by september 30 2026 20260722183157725	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x53dd2f…
07-28 09:35:43	next kimi k model released by september 30 2026 20260722183157725	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x67eb3f…
07-27 22:38:18	next kimi k model released by september 30 2026 20260722183157725	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x1c5521…
07-27 21:54:28	will the house pass a reconciliation bill by december 31 20260626182353440	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xe2e006…
07-27 18:45:31	next kimi k model released by september 30 2026 20260722183157725	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xafd8c9…
07-27 13:51:51	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0x841a55…
07-27 09:50:54	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x0a8852…
07-26 23:36:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x0d7ae6…
07-26 22:10:15	will russia capture bilytske by september 30 2026 564	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x41808d…
07-26 19:35:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x47fc60…
07-26 19:23:27	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xedbd4b…
07-26 18:09:51	will russia capture bilytske by september 30 2026 564	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xdfda48…
07-26 15:23:25	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x47f25e…
07-25 23:01:01	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x4a2fbf…
07-25 19:21:18	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x87919e…
07-25 17:02:46	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	28	16¢	$5	0xcdba2b…
07-25 13:00:39	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x0bb538…
07-24 21:50:19	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xe42bea…
07-24 21:35:22	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by july 31 2026 20260626210612720	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x5890f2…
07-24 21:08:13	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x3f6a61…
07-24 20:45:15	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x1db86a…
07-24 18:13:24	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xd83c58…
07-24 17:21:43	will any state enact a data center moratorium by december 31 20260707003733282	Yes	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x84b929…
07-24 15:37:31	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 24 2026 20260721160302714	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x797736…
07-24 15:32:13	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 24 2026 20260721160302714	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x01de84…
07-24 15:24:31	btc updown 15m 1784906100	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xd84269…
07-24 14:12:33	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x4fb9fb…
07-24 14:09:39	btc updown 15m 1784901600	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb5218b…
07-24 13:24:48	btc updown 15m 1784898900	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x95ca60…
07-24 13:20:42	will any state enact a data center moratorium by december 31 20260707003733282	Yes	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x928fa9…
07-24 12:25:13	btc updown 15m 1784895300	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x89dadb…
07-24 09:53:52	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x99fc6a…
07-24 03:59:19	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0x8efc5f…
07-24 03:40:30	btc updown 15m 1784863800	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xf52d70…
07-23 23:58:51	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xca95fd…
07-23 16:02:12	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xd04f2e…
07-23 16:02:04	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x73c7d0…
07-23 15:50:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x6d196d…
07-23 13:54:30	btc updown 15m 1784814300	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x79ec80…
07-23 13:39:03	btc updown 15m 1784813400	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xb352bf…
07-23 08:08:00	will trump say uranium this week 20260719005322450	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xe3c47b…
07-23 03:10:01	btc updown 15m 1784775600	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xf543c7…
07-22 21:03:40	will the house pass a reconciliation bill by december 31 20260626182353440	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x7d207b…