Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
-$239
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
266
lifetime
Volume
$29.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$110
Open exposure
$2.14K
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-02
last 07-01 05:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
70%
Politics
17% 0% $-13
Sports
7%
Tech
6%
Pop-Culture
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +700 $551 79¢ $553 +$2 05-28 12:11
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No -650 $-327 68¢ $-442 $-115 06-20 22:40
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +480 $327 70¢ $333 +$6 07-01 08:12
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +300 $222 68¢ $206 $-17 06-02 15:02
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -159 $-141 77¢ $-123 +$19 06-25 06:13
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes +5,160 $332 $106 $-226 06-03 05:06
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? No +111 $88 84¢ $94 +$6 06-12 01:41
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes +303 $53 22¢ $68 +$15 05-28 12:05
Another US debt downgrade before 2027? Yes +294 $82 18¢ $53 $-29 06-03 05:02
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +60 $49 82¢ $50 +$0 06-04 17:04
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? No +60 $43 75¢ $45 +$2 06-04 14:25
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +463 $60 $39 $-21 06-01 03:29
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes +311 $31 $23 $-8 06-07 01:49
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? Yes -5 $-2 36¢ $-2 $-0 06-21 16:21
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +0 $-126 60¢ $0 +$126 06-22 01:57