Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
-$59
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
270
lifetime
Volume
$29.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$109
Open exposure
$2.29K
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-02
last 07-04 11:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
69%
Politics
17% 0% $-13
Sports
7%
Tech
6%
Pop-Culture
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +700 $551 88¢ $620 +$69 05-28 12:11
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No -650 $-327 72¢ $-465 $-138 06-20 22:40
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +327 $220 79¢ $258 +$38 07-04 11:57
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +300 $222 82¢ $248 +$25 06-02 15:02
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -159 $-141 88¢ $-139 +$2 06-25 06:13
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes +5,160 $332 $126 $-206 06-03 05:06
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes +303 $53 38¢ $114 +$60 05-28 12:05
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? No +111 $88 84¢ $94 +$6 06-12 01:41
Another US debt downgrade before 2027? Yes +294 $82 18¢ $54 $-28 06-03 05:02
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +60 $49 90¢ $54 +$5 06-04 17:04
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +463 $60 10¢ $46 $-14 06-01 03:29
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? No +60 $43 65¢ $39 $-4 06-04 14:25
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes +311 $31 10¢ $30 $-2 06-07 01:49
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? Yes -5 $-2 30¢ $-2 +$0 06-21 16:21
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +0 $-126 52¢ $0 +$126 06-22 01:57