Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
+$182
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
237
lifetime
Volume
$27.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$117
Open exposure
$5.04K
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-02
last 06-08 23:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
70%
Politics
18% 0% $-13
Sports
7%
Tech
4%
Pop-Culture
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30? No +955 $919 97¢ $930 +$11 05-29 22:49
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +1,500 $690 52¢ $788 +$98 06-02 01:11
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +969 $665 64¢ $620 $-45 06-04 03:32
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes +5,160 $332 11¢ $583 +$251 06-03 05:06
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +700 $551 78¢ $542 $-8 05-28 12:11
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No -610 $-300 62¢ $-381 $-81 06-04 18:10
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,600 $160 15¢ $232 +$72 06-02 21:45
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +300 $222 72¢ $216 $-6 06-02 15:02
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes +11,962 $241 $179 $-62 06-08 23:20
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +739 $85 16¢ $118 +$33 06-07 01:48
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes +303 $53 36¢ $109 +$56 05-28 12:05
Another US debt downgrade before 2027? Yes +294 $82 29¢ $85 +$3 06-03 05:02
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +463 $60 11¢ $51 $-9 06-01 03:29
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +60 $49 80¢ $48 $-1 06-04 17:04
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? No +60 $43 74¢ $44 +$1 06-04 14:25
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes +300 $69 12¢ $36 $-33 05-29 14:46
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes +311 $31 10¢ $33 +$2 06-07 01:49
Kash Patel out by June 30? Yes +294 $32 $26 $-6 06-02 22:03
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,061 $58 $14 $-44 06-04 14:11
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? No +912 $25 $2 $-23 05-30 17:59
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? No +612 $28 $1 $-27 05-29 03:18