Energetic-Gasp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$422

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.2%

Resolved

Trades

14,481

lifetime

Volume

$299.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-13 00:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

62% 12% $-386

Politics

22% 31% $-30

Sports

7% 0% $-5

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

4% 33% $-1

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 392 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	38	$3.1K	2,734	2,734	+0	open	—	06-12 07:09
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	45	$2.8K	2,748	2,748	+0	open	—	06-11 07:33
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	30	$2.5K	2,475	2,475	+0	open	—	06-09 21:57
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	25	$2.2K	2,054	2,054	+0	open	—	06-12 10:58
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	12	$1.3K	1,091	1,091	+0	open	—	06-12 11:40
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	14	$981	800	800	+0	open	—	03-17 07:58
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	11	$953	1,200	1,000	+200	open	—	06-09 01:23
will the atlanta hawks make the nba playoffs 928	30	$903	889	889	+0	open	—	03-31 17:47
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	14	$867	832	832	+0	open	—	06-12 09:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	37	$848	897	897	+0	open	—	06-12 08:08
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	18	$803	666	666	+0	Yes	$-10	04-22 07:07
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	8	$769	800	800	+0	open	—	06-14 20:16
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	8	$767	464	464	+0	open	—	04-21 12:29
will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	9	$752	650	650	+0	open	—	07-06 06:47
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	8	$736	800	800	+0	open	—	06-10 06:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	13	$730	815	815	+0	open	—	06-09 06:43
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$684	400	400	+0	open	—	06-03 22:10
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	11	$679	605	605	+0	open	—	06-11 20:00
will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	6	$656	600	600	+0	open	—	03-17 15:14
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	4	$648	400	400	+0	Yes	$-4	04-03 20:59
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	18	$644	796	796	+0	open	—	06-12 07:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$644	400	400	+0	open	—	06-11 19:41
will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	14	$643	707	707	+0	open	—	06-11 20:51
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	5	$625	350	550	-200	open	—	07-19 17:40
iran closes its airspace by june 15	9	$625	660	460	+200	open	—	06-07 23:16
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	7	$606	400	400	+0	open	—	03-14 02:27
will the orlando magic make the nba playoffs 794	20	$593	600	600	+0	open	—	04-02 09:57
pter magyar sextape released by march 31	4	$587	400	400	+0	open	—	03-04 17:33
will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	10	$572	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-12 07:20
will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	6	$564	600	600	+0	open	—	06-12 09:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 00:44:40	will jordan bardella advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0xecfd6d…
08-12 23:31:43	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	SELL	60	80¢	$48	0x502384…
08-12 23:29:54	Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xd5535b…
08-12 22:09:30	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	O 99.5	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x7a9ace…
08-12 22:02:25	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	O 99.5	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x6d03cb…
08-12 21:51:21	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 11 2026 20260722225036935	No	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xfb6a97…
08-12 21:45:09	stripchain fdv above 20m one day after launch 20260805194717734	No	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x43edaa…
08-12 21:05:54	will nous research launch a token by september 30 2027	No	SELL	45	82¢	$37	0xb897c3…
08-12 20:47:39	sachsen anhalt parliamentary election turnout up or down 20260806110617592	Down	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x09763c…
08-12 20:04:13	will perplexitys valuation hit high 19b by august 31 20260730185559506	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x646397…
08-12 20:02:04	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	68¢	$19	0x4fffbc…
08-12 19:43:46	will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31	No	SELL	70	54¢	$37	0xa71187…
08-12 19:29:31	fetterman leaves the democrats before the midterms 20260720221037014	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x60c37d…
08-12 19:18:10	will lambdas valuation hit high 12pt5b by december 31	No	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0x5115fb…
08-12 19:08:18	will cambria launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x3880a2…
08-12 18:58:24	will papertrade launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x43e658…
08-12 18:52:07	will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191456652	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x778c8f…
08-12 18:14:10	will matthew bronco williams advance from the ak al primary election	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x3a2367…
08-12 17:45:30	Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0xcd8ba4…
08-12 17:36:22	iran successfully targets shipping on august 21 2026 20260729163314541	Yes	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0x6cd784…
08-12 17:24:37	will douard philippe advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x70c653…
08-12 17:18:10	will nvda reach 232 in august 2026	No	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x0b58a3…
08-12 16:43:07	will openais astra model be released by september 30 2026 20260801214557732	No	BUY	80	20¢	$16	0x8c9892…
08-12 16:41:42	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 21 2026 20260724221849652	No	SELL	80	9¢	$8	0x8b30e0…
08-12 15:13:19	will epic games valuation hit high 17pt5b by december 31	Yes	BUY	46	7¢	$3	0xc1596d…
08-12 15:13:04	will chaos labs launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xa30f4a…
08-12 15:03:36	will aapl reach 344 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	76	5¢	$4	0xafda8a…
08-12 14:12:27	will googl dip to 330 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	60	56¢	$34	0xeebb11…
08-12 14:04:31	Will the Houston Astros clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	59	63¢	$37	0x60418a…
08-12 14:00:07	will ruben gallego vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926665	Yes	SELL	70	16¢	$11	0x8b7db9…
08-12 13:41:46	will tsla dip to 300 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	16	28¢	$5	0xab89f5…
08-12 13:41:46	will jio platforms ipo by december 31 2026 20260629175908109	Yes	SELL	36	55¢	$20	0x4e14c7…
08-12 13:32:36	Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	77¢	$34	0x140474…
08-12 13:14:12	will the iowa 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827325	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xc5e1e3…
08-12 12:24:19	will the iowa 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827325	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x541187…
08-12 11:58:51	will googl reach 400 in august 2026	No	BUY	80	94¢	$75	0xa363a0…
08-12 11:25:03	will tsla dip to 300 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x540d68…
08-12 11:24:57	will tsla dip to 300 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xf50c91…
08-12 11:13:01	will iran target a arab country on august 30 2026 20260801004719147	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x773877…
08-12 10:02:55	Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0x3f3728…
08-12 09:54:00	Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	37	7¢	$2	0xc481f5…
08-12 09:37:06	will alex padilla vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926673	No	BUY	79	86¢	$68	0x2ab622…
08-12 09:35:22	will the new mexico 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827331	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x603ea8…
08-12 06:58:36	Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x6c88de…
08-12 06:15:04	will ukraine re enter obratne or temyrivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xc765ba…
08-12 05:22:01	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x815a13…
08-12 05:17:06	will aapl reach 344 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0x4bacd1…
08-12 04:52:55	will iran target a arab country on august 25 2026 20260801004719142	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x1469f8…
08-12 04:49:31	will concrete launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xfa5f7c…
08-12 04:41:12	will the new mexico 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827331	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x9e44e9…
08-12 04:29:28	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xf8bd0d…
08-12 04:26:28	will douard philippe advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xd6d935…
08-12 04:22:58	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	67¢	$19	0xca3be3…
08-12 03:58:31	will iran target a arab country on august 25 2026 20260801004719142	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0xd0e62d…
08-12 03:58:10	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923	Yes	SELL	40	55¢	$22	0x94821f…
08-12 03:31:19	as quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 18 2026 0pt1	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x0fa896…
08-12 02:59:04	Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xb9c225…
08-12 02:59:03	Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x7234ee…
08-12 01:41:18	Will the Atlanta Dream make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0x2063e7…
08-12 01:04:49	ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x8f1f4c…
08-12 00:34:04	ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x3b5249…
08-12 00:17:09	Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x596627…
08-11 23:35:37	will kai or speed be eliminated by suffocation 20260807142948642	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x246d28…
08-11 22:11:31	iran successfully targets shipping on august 16 2026 20260729163314536	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x9f457b…
08-11 21:35:28	will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	Yes	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0x09d98e…
08-11 21:16:48	Multipli.fi FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x12f0ce…
08-11 20:40:37	will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xa23360…
08-11 20:32:45	will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x20c789…
08-11 20:31:28	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3bdf8d…
08-11 20:31:27	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	BUY	34	86¢	$29	0xece835…
08-11 20:31:27	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0xbe72c0…
08-11 18:42:10	ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	No	BUY	70	53¢	$37	0xc734aa…
08-11 18:41:57	will concrete launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	80	16¢	$13	0xda38fd…
08-11 18:23:45	will gas hit 4pt50 high by august 31 20260728213741795	No	SELL	60	85¢	$51	0xe38ce1…
08-11 18:11:49	will stripchain launch a token by december 31 2026 20260805194003348	Yes	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x4652cc…
08-11 17:52:37	Fuse FDV above $6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x0027b9…
08-11 17:08:19	will nvda dip to 192 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0903b8…
08-11 16:44:21	Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	70	29¢	$20	0x6921a9…
08-11 13:53:27	saturn fdv above 500m one day after launch 20260623191424372	No	BUY	18	86¢	$15	0x7a97ce…
08-11 12:26:07	will virginia reach d4 exceptional drought by august 31 2026 20260721193543607	Yes	BUY	46	7¢	$3	0xd6002c…
08-11 12:13:27	Will the Minnesota Twins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	80	23¢	$18	0x9e2df5…
08-11 12:13:00	Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x4ce19a…
08-11 12:12:27	saturn fdv above 100m one day after launch 20260623191424368	No	SELL	8	43¢	$4	0x0893b4…
08-11 10:57:54	Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xc850fb…
08-11 10:29:22	Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xad6ab2…
08-11 10:09:13	spce quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt64	No	SELL	38	8¢	$3	0xb371fa…
08-11 10:03:28	Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xf6b46e…
08-11 08:47:07	Cambria FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x62ade4…
08-11 07:58:01	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0xef87ef…
08-11 06:25:12	will junior caminero hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210646856	Yes	SELL	52	59¢	$31	0xdb63fd…
08-11 05:20:27	will junior caminero hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210646856	Yes	BUY	52	76¢	$40	0xaf0789…
08-11 01:55:51	will meta dip to 500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x94ebcc…
08-11 01:10:15	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 300b hkd 20260727205430942	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe45a21…
08-11 00:57:04	will russia enter mykolaivka by december 31 2026 20260805154948091	Yes	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x31e71c…
08-11 00:39:54	next mythos class model released by september 30 2026 695	No	BUY	80	29¢	$23	0x1ecd95…
08-11 00:27:12	will ken martin cease to be dnc chair by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0xb595ca…
08-11 00:09:01	Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	SELL	58	89¢	$52	0xad5b47…
08-10 23:10:12	will fhenix launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	70	69¢	$48	0xf7e167…
08-10 22:36:40	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 25 2026 20260722225036949	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x1c1d0d…
08-10 21:58:43	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 21 2026 20260724221849652	No	BUY	80	17¢	$14	0x29514c…