Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb22…89f030
whale 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$421
Unrealized P&L
-$156
Hit rate
10.4%
Resolved
93
Trades
9,517
lifetime
Volume
$196.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$1.35K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
64% 12% $-386
Politics
23% 31% $-30
Sports
6% 0% $-5
Tech
5% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 385 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -200 $-148 76¢ $-153 $-5 06-02 19:59
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes -200 $-120 72¢ $-145 $-25 05-28 09:17
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Yes +200 $73 36¢ $71 $-1 06-09 23:43
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? No -80 $-63 84¢ $-68 $-5 05-28 00:42
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes +200 $70 34¢ $67 $-3 06-10 03:13
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes -100 $-20 64¢ $-64 $-44 05-31 19:51
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No +92 $39 62¢ $58 +$19 05-27 21:32
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -80 $-54 71¢ $-57 $-2 06-01 19:59
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026? No -58 $-48 97¢ $-57 $-8 05-31 01:05
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 20 million barrels per day in May? No -50 $-45 99¢ $-49 $-4 06-01 09:54
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +100 $61 48¢ $48 $-14 06-09 17:00
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes +50 $44 86¢ $43 $-1 06-08 18:12
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No -50 $-31 83¢ $-42 $-10 06-01 07:52
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +47 $41 84¢ $40 $-1 06-06 08:42
Will The MongolZ make a roster change before July? No -50 $-24 74¢ $-37 $-12 05-29 03:00
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No -40 $-36 90¢ $-36 $-0 05-28 14:23
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No -39 $-34 91¢ $-36 $-2 06-04 16:23
City Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +54 $34 64¢ $34 +$0 06-10 03:18
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30? No -40 $-12 73¢ $-29 $-17 05-31 22:04
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -40 $-20 72¢ $-29 $-8 06-01 23:36
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +50 $27 48¢ $24 $-3 06-10 02:08
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? Yes -60 $-38 35¢ $-21 +$17 06-07 13:46
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -42 $-12 48¢ $-20 $-8 05-29 08:03
Will the St. Louis Cardinals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes -60 $-15 31¢ $-19 $-4 05-29 21:05
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -20 $-17 92¢ $-18 $-1 06-08 11:56
Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No -20 $-16 90¢ $-18 $-2 05-28 04:14
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes -28 $-17 60¢ $-17 $-1 05-31 23:44
Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -18 $-16 95¢ $-17 $-0 05-28 12:50
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July? Yes +35 $16 48¢ $17 +$1 06-10 00:53
Will any AI model reach 1540 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes -70 $-6 23¢ $-16 $-10 06-05 23:19