Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb22…89f030
whale 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$421
Unrealized P&L
-$59
Hit rate
10.4%
Resolved
93
Trades
10,444
lifetime
Volume
$222.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$1.33K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-13 04:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
63% 12% $-386
Politics
25% 31% $-30
Sports
6% 0% $-5
Tech
5% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 392 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes -200 $-120 72¢ $-145 $-25 05-28 09:17
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -200 $-148 51¢ $-102 +$46 06-02 19:59
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +100 $91 92¢ $92 +$0 06-13 08:03
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No -78 $-67 88¢ $-68 $-1 06-10 18:46
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? No -80 $-63 82¢ $-65 $-3 05-28 00:42
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No +92 $39 66¢ $61 +$22 05-27 21:32
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -80 $-54 70¢ $-56 $-2 06-01 19:59
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026? No -58 $-48 96¢ $-56 $-8 05-31 01:05
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes +50 $44 92¢ $46 +$2 06-08 18:12
Will The MongolZ make a roster change before July? No -50 $-24 90¢ $-45 $-21 05-29 03:00
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? No -50 $-40 86¢ $-43 $-4 06-11 17:11
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No -50 $-31 82¢ $-41 $-10 06-01 07:52
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +47 $41 87¢ $41 $-0 06-06 08:42
Will the Chicago White Sox clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +65 $40 62¢ $40 +$0 06-12 04:03
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes -100 $-20 39¢ $-39 $-19 05-31 19:51
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No -40 $-36 91¢ $-36 $-1 05-28 14:23
Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July? No +50 $46 72¢ $36 $-10 06-13 11:43
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No -39 $-34 91¢ $-35 $-2 06-04 16:23
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? No -40 $-34 88¢ $-35 $-1 06-12 02:10
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -40 $-20 73¢ $-29 $-9 06-01 23:36
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30? No -40 $-12 72¢ $-29 $-16 05-31 22:04
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? Yes -60 $-38 45¢ $-27 +$11 06-07 13:46
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -80 $-29 33¢ $-26 +$3 06-10 10:44
Will the St. Louis Cardinals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes -60 $-15 35¢ $-21 $-6 05-29 21:05
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $20 34¢ $21 +$1 06-13 11:55
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +20 $19 93¢ $19 $-0 06-12 00:02
Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +28 $23 66¢ $19 $-4 06-12 00:35
Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No -20 $-16 90¢ $-18 $-2 05-28 04:14
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -20 $-17 89¢ $-18 $-1 06-08 11:56
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes -28 $-17 61¢ $-18 $-1 05-31 23:44