Realized P&L
-$422
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
12.2%
Resolved
96
Trades
13,260
lifetime
Volume
$278.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$1.49K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-23 18:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
62% 12% $-386
Politics
22% 31% $-30
Sports
8% 0% $-5
Tech
4%
Crypto
3% 33% $-1
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 392 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes -200 $-112 67¢ $-134 $-22 07-19 17:40
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026? No +80 $76 94¢ $76 $-0 07-15 22:47
Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch? No +80 $69 89¢ $71 +$2 07-23 06:07
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +100 $85 66¢ $66 $-18 06-15 03:47
Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +80 $71 82¢ $65 $-6 07-15 08:48
Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +122 $98 52¢ $63 $-35 07-08 17:14
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -80 $-54 76¢ $-60 $-6 06-01 19:59
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No -78 $-67 70¢ $-55 +$13 06-10 18:46
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +68 $58 80¢ $54 $-4 07-22 14:34
Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +62 $57 87¢ $54 $-3 07-17 11:51
SlingshotDAO FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +63 $57 85¢ $54 $-3 07-22 04:20
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +57 $48 82¢ $47 $-1 07-14 22:01
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +50 $46 92¢ $46 $-0 07-10 03:18
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? No -50 $-40 89¢ $-44 $-5 06-11 17:11
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +51 $45 86¢ $44 $-1 07-20 21:36
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +50 $41 86¢ $43 +$2 07-20 21:59
X banned in any European country by December 31? No -50 $-40 86¢ $-43 $-3 06-17 17:25
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? No +50 $46 84¢ $42 $-4 07-22 00:37
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -200 $-148 21¢ $-42 +$106 06-02 19:59
Remote IPO before 2027? No -50 $-40 82¢ $-41 $-0 06-23 05:12
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No -40 $-36 98¢ $-39 $-3 05-28 14:23
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No -50 $-31 78¢ $-39 $-8 06-16 16:15
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No -39 $-34 98¢ $-38 $-4 06-04 16:23
Huddle FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +40 $32 92¢ $37 +$5 06-24 17:05
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? No -40 $-34 89¢ $-35 $-1 06-12 02:10
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +50 $39 70¢ $35 $-4 06-29 14:47
Aligned FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +34 $31 95¢ $32 +$2 07-09 12:14
Valantis FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +38 $32 84¢ $31 $-1 07-15 14:16
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? Yes +41 $35 72¢ $30 $-6 07-14 09:38
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? No +30 $28 95¢ $28 +$0 07-23 12:26