Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 680,000 and 720,000?
open
Total volume
$4,632
Trades
417
Unique wallets
101
Liquidity
$558
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-26
last 10-31 08:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-20.7¢
(top1%: 7% YES on $943
vs crowd: 28% YES on $3.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 44 | $534 | $2.1K | $1.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 35 | $195 | $486 | $291 |
| 🐟 Fish | 18 | $365 | $250 | +$116 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $4 | $2 | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 27 | $68 | $875 | $807 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $26 | $22 | +$3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
| Below median | 13 | $365 | $232 | +$133 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $35 | $68 | $33 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 16 | $60 | $305 | $245 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 31 | $544 | $1.3K | $784 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +881 | $212 | $212 | 27 | 10-31 08:16 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +623 | $459 | $459 | 22 | 10-31 00:11 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +466 | $326 | $329 | 31 | 10-30 02:48 |
| Liquid-Argument 0x39a5…87f2 | Yes | +343 | $43 | $43 | 11 | 09-28 13:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | Yes | +323 | $118 | $118 | 2 | 10-30 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ffa…ebc5 | Yes | +235 | $16 | $379 | 5 | 10-30 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | No | +200 | $121 | $121 | 3 | 10-30 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +162 | $144 | $144 | 8 | 10-29 02:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +153 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 10-30 02:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +153 | $115 | $115 | 1 | 10-29 02:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x227d…901a | Yes | +150 | $19 | $19 | 8 | 10-27 19:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +110 | $38 | $38 | 4 | 10-30 02:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +110 | $75 | $75 | 5 | 10-30 02:48 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +94 | $40 | $47 | 7 | 10-31 08:16 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +94 | $55 | $55 | 5 | 10-31 08:16 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | +85 | $45 | $45 | 3 | 10-30 10:42 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +80 | $62 | $62 | 4 | 10-29 02:18 |
| Trustworthy-Faculty 0x3bf2…70a4 | Yes | +77 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 10-26 14:48 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +76 | $9 | $9 | 9 | 10-24 16:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | +72 | $22 | $23 | 3 | 10-31 08:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +70 | $59 | $59 | 3 | 09-29 07:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x96bf…403e | No | +60 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 10-27 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +58 | $10 | $10 | 5 | 10-08 09:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +58 | $49 | $49 | 3 | 10-08 08:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x96bf…403e | Yes | +57 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 10-27 16:55 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +55 | $52 | $52 | 5 | 09-20 02:03 |
| Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | +47 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-30 23:41 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +47 | $39 | $39 | 3 | 10-13 13:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +45 | $38 | $39 | 5 | 10-02 12:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +45 | $8 | $9 | 5 | 10-08 09:14 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | +44 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 10-30 06:58 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | +42 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 10-29 17:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | Yes | +41 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 10-30 02:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | No | +41 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 10-30 02:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +40 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 10-30 06:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | No | +40 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 10-29 02:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +40 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 10-30 02:48 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +40 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 10-24 16:39 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +40 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 10-27 16:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +35 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 10-30 02:48 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +34 | $32 | $32 | 3 | 10-29 23:09 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +34 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 10-29 11:48 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-30 02:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5eef…4fe1 | No | +24 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 09-28 13:32 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +22 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-27 16:55 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +21 | $5 | $10 | 4 | 10-28 16:55 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +21 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-27 19:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | +20 | $16 | $19 | 4 | 10-08 14:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-08 08:15 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-27 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-12 16:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-12 09:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-26 15:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-27 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-29 02:18 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-27 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1b1…6a83 | No | +20 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-30 02:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x8268…e7fd | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-08 08:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cfc…7f6b | Yes | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-30 02:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | +19 | $11 | $21 | 3 | 10-31 08:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 08:16:58 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x3a140d… |
| 10-31 08:16:58 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x3a140d… |
| 10-31 08:16:55 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 32¢ | $0 | 0xb7fda7… |
| 10-31 08:16:55 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x8620fc… |
| 10-31 08:16:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x8620fc… |
| 10-31 08:16:55 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | SELL | 16 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xb7fda7… |
| 10-31 08:16:55 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 31¢ | $8 | 0xb7fda7… |
| 10-31 08:16:55 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | No | BUY | 8 | 68¢ | $5 | 0xb7fda7… |
| 10-31 00:11:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 0 | 52¢ | $0 | 0x11cda5… |
| 10-31 00:11:25 | (anonymous) 0x0cfc…7f6b | No | SELL | 0 | 52¢ | $0 | 0x11cda5… |
| 10-30 23:41:55 | Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | BUY | 47 | 24¢ | $11 | 0x917312… |
| 10-30 23:41:55 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 24¢ | $11 | 0x917312… |
| 10-30 19:51:52 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 40 | 69¢ | $28 | 0x5cf456… |
| 10-30 19:51:52 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | No | BUY | 40 | 69¢ | $28 | 0x5cf456… |
| 10-30 19:51:46 | (anonymous) 0x6ffa…ebc5 | Yes | SELL | 531 | 31¢ | $163 | 0x2a2945… |
| 10-30 19:51:46 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 31¢ | $62 | 0x2a2945… |
| 10-30 19:51:46 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 31¢ | $20 | 0x2a2945… |
| 10-30 19:51:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 180 | 70¢ | $126 | 0x2a2945… |
| 10-30 19:51:46 | (anonymous) 0x6ffa…ebc5 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x7fd8d8… |
| 10-30 19:51:46 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 31¢ | $15 | 0x2a2945… |
| 10-30 19:51:46 | (anonymous) 0x01f1…bceb | Yes | SELL | 3 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x7fd8d8… |
| 10-30 19:51:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 37 | 71¢ | $26 | 0xdbc832… |
| 10-30 19:51:45 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | No | BUY | 37 | 71¢ | $26 | 0xdbc832… |
| 10-30 19:51:09 | (anonymous) 0x6ffa…ebc5 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 42¢ | $19 | 0x554570… |
| 10-30 19:51:09 | (anonymous) 0x01f1…bceb | Yes | SELL | 0 | 34¢ | $0 | 0x3bc8e4… |
| 10-30 19:51:09 | (anonymous) 0x28a6…d399 | No | SELL | 0 | 66¢ | $0 | 0x3bc8e4… |
| 10-30 19:51:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 42¢ | $19 | 0x554570… |
| 10-30 10:42:07 | (anonymous) 0x28a6…d399 | No | SELL | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xf19beb… |
| 10-30 10:42:07 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xf19beb… |
| 10-30 06:58:57 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | BUY | 16 | 46¢ | $7 | 0x9286a2… |
| 10-30 06:58:57 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 19 | 45¢ | $9 | 0xee9e34… |
| 10-30 06:58:57 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | No | BUY | 19 | 55¢ | $10 | 0xee9e34… |
| 10-30 06:58:57 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 16 | 54¢ | $8 | 0x9286a2… |
| 10-30 06:58:57 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 4 | 46¢ | $2 | 0xc3346a… |
| 10-30 06:58:57 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 46¢ | $2 | 0xc3346a… |
| 10-30 06:58:55 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x2fa753… |
| 10-30 06:58:55 | Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x2fa753… |
| 10-30 06:58:55 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0x2fa753… |
| 10-30 06:58:55 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | BUY | 19 | 46¢ | $9 | 0x2fa753… |
| 10-30 06:58:55 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 69 | 54¢ | $37 | 0x2fa753… |
| 10-30 03:09:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 55 | 53¢ | $29 | 0xffe750… |
| 10-30 03:09:22 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 35 | 53¢ | $19 | 0xffe750… |
| 10-30 03:09:22 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0xffe750… |
| 10-30 02:48:24 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x91678b… |
| 10-30 02:48:24 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 32 | 51¢ | $16 | 0x91678b… |
| 10-30 02:48:24 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | SELL | 12 | 51¢ | $6 | 0x91678b… |
| 10-30 02:48:19 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | SELL | 1 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xac8559… |
| 10-30 02:48:19 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xac8559… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x706461… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | BUY | 153 | 45¢ | $69 | 0x6fb11f… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | BUY | 31 | 53¢ | $17 | 0x96e1d6… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 30 | 52¢ | $16 | 0x2eba29… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 30 | 55¢ | $16 | 0x6fb11f… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | (anonymous) 0xa1b1…6a83 | No | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0x96e1d6… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 41 | 49¢ | $20 | 0xb21e33… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | Yes | BUY | 41 | 51¢ | $21 | 0xb21e33… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | These-Woodshed 0xd7b6…2ccd | No | BUY | 4 | 52¢ | $2 | 0xddd2da… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | BUY | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x16c8c4… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0x16c8c4… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 52¢ | $34 | 0x147e39… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 50 | 54¢ | $27 | 0x16c8c4… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | (anonymous) 0x0cfc…7f6b | No | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0x16c8c4… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 13 | 54¢ | $7 | 0x16c8c4… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 47¢ | $24 | 0x96e1d6… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | (anonymous) 0x0cfc…7f6b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x706461… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 13 | 48¢ | $6 | 0x147e39… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 10 | 52¢ | $5 | 0xa2ca02… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | No | BUY | 22 | 48¢ | $11 | 0x147e39… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | Yes | BUY | 123 | 46¢ | $56 | 0x16c8c4… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | (anonymous) 0xa1b1…6a83 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x2f0eb2… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 48¢ | $14 | 0x2eba29… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | BUY | 18 | 53¢ | $9 | 0x706461… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | No | BUY | 18 | 48¢ | $9 | 0x2f0eb2… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0xa2ca02… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 48¢ | $14 | 0x147e39… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | No | BUY | 123 | 55¢ | $68 | 0x6fb11f… |
| 10-30 02:48:18 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | BUY | 4 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xddd2da… |
| 10-30 02:14:55 | (anonymous) 0x28a6…d399 | No | BUY | 11 | 54¢ | $6 | 0x1549a8… |
| 10-30 02:14:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x1549a8… |
| 10-29 23:09:51 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0xd6fd61… |
| 10-29 23:09:51 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xd6fd61… |
| 10-29 21:44:36 | (anonymous) 0xa2a2…fae9 | No | SELL | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0xf84472… |
| 10-29 21:44:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0xf84472… |
| 10-29 17:36:20 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0x982c15… |
| 10-29 17:36:20 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 25 | 67¢ | $17 | 0x982c15… |
| 10-29 17:36:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 33¢ | $19 | 0x982c15… |
| 10-29 17:17:50 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x86905c… |
| 10-29 17:17:50 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 21 | 36¢ | $8 | 0xc87826… |
| 10-29 17:17:50 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 9 | 64¢ | $6 | 0xc87826… |
| 10-29 17:17:50 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | SELL | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x86905c… |
| 10-29 17:17:49 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | BUY | 21 | 66¢ | $14 | 0x05c99c… |
| 10-29 17:17:49 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | SELL | 57 | 67¢ | $38 | 0x05c99c… |
| 10-29 17:17:49 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 12 | 67¢ | $8 | 0x05c99c… |
| 10-29 17:17:47 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 60 | 68¢ | $41 | 0xe8920c… |
| 10-29 17:17:47 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 30 | 68¢ | $20 | 0xe8920c… |
| 10-29 17:17:47 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 12 | 68¢ | $8 | 0xe8920c… |
| 10-29 17:17:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 32¢ | $33 | 0xe8920c… |
| 10-29 17:17:47 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 18 | 67¢ | $12 | 0xb49571… |
| 10-29 17:17:47 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 33¢ | $10 | 0xb49571… |
| 10-29 12:22:32 | Stable-Administration 0x2f54…252c | No | SELL | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0xa9148c… |