Realized P&L
-$47
Unrealized P&L
+$38
Hit rate
93.8%
Resolved
575
Trades
1,598
lifetime
Volume
$27.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$940
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-21
last 10-26 05:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Other
53% 77% -$40
Sports
22% 96% +$191
Politics
20% 80% -$243
Tech
4% 89% +$10
Pop-Culture
1% 69% +$9
Crypto
0% 83% +$26
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 176 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +146 $145 100¢ $146 +$0 09-27 00:11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +82 $81 100¢ $82 +$0 10-02 12:30
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +77 $26 98¢ $76 +$50 09-23 17:45
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No +66 $66 99¢ $66 $0 09-24 16:03
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +63 $61 94¢ $59 -$2 09-27 00:14
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? No +49 $48 100¢ $49 +$0 09-23 15:15
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +48 $47 95¢ $45 -$2 09-27 00:33
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +45 $42 92¢ $42 -$1 09-24 11:47
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +39 $39 99¢ $39 +$0 10-03 05:45
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? No +39 $38 99¢ $38 $0 09-29 16:35
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +39 $38 95¢ $37 -$1 09-22 22:29
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? No +27 $27 99¢ $27 $0 09-25 13:20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +28 $8 95¢ $27 +$19 09-30 20:09
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +31 $12 82¢ $26 +$14 09-23 05:35
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +34 $27 70¢ $24 -$3 09-22 21:48
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +22 $22 98¢ $22 $0 10-03 14:00
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 09-27 00:03
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +18 $18 87¢ $16 -$2 09-24 10:09
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? No +14 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 09-29 02:20
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 $0 09-30 20:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +250 $50 4¢ $10 -$40 10-02 12:30
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? No +9 $6 99¢ $9 +$3 09-27 02:34
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +9 $9 93¢ $8 $0 10-03 23:48
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 $0 09-25 05:42
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 09-26 00:18
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 +$0 09-29 03:15
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +7 $6 100¢ $7 +$0 09-24 16:03
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 $0 09-27 09:53
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +72 $3 8¢ $6 +$3 10-04 12:46
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? No +6 $5 83¢ $5 +$0 10-03 09:50