(anonymous) 0x5eef4e…9c4fe1
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Realized P&L (7d)
-$216
Unrealized P&L
+$76
Hit rate
65.4%
Resolved (7d)
24
Trades (7d)
4
1,598 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$10
$27.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$856
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-21
last 10-26 05:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
53% 77% -$85
Sports
22% 96% +$193
Politics
20% 80% -$243
Tech
4% 89% +$10
Pop-Culture
1% 69% +$9
Crypto
0% 83% +$26
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 176 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +146 $145 100¢ $146 +$0 09-27 00:11
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +77 $26 99¢ $76 +$50 09-23 17:45
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No +66 $66 99¢ $66 $0 09-24 16:03
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +63 $61 94¢ $59 -$2 09-27 00:14
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? No +49 $48 100¢ $49 +$0 09-23 15:15
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +48 $47 95¢ $45 -$2 09-27 00:33
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +45 $42 94¢ $42 $0 09-24 11:47
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +39 $39 98¢ $38 -$1 10-03 05:45
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? No +39 $38 98¢ $38 $0 09-29 16:35
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +39 $38 93¢ $36 -$2 09-22 22:29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +28 $8 99¢ $28 +$20 09-30 20:09
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 $0 09-25 13:20
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +31 $12 78¢ $25 +$12 09-23 05:35
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +34 $27 72¢ $24 -$2 09-22 21:48
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +22 $22 99¢ $22 +$0 10-03 14:00
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 09-27 00:03
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +18 $18 88¢ $16 -$2 09-24 10:09
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? No +14 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 09-29 02:20
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 $0 09-30 20:12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +72 $3 16¢ $12 +$9 10-04 12:46
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? No +9 $6 99¢ $9 +$3 09-27 02:34
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 $0 09-25 05:42
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 09-26 00:18
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +9 $9 82¢ $7 -$1 10-03 23:48
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +7 $7 99¢ $7 +$0 09-29 03:15
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +7 $6 100¢ $7 +$0 09-24 16:03
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 $0 09-27 09:53
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 $0 10-03 09:50
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +9 $3 21¢ $2 -$1 10-03 00:36
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +8 $7 7¢ $1 -$6 09-30 20:08