(anonymous) 0x227d3f…d1901a Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$170
Unrealized P&L
+$1.96K
Hit rate
66.4%
Resolved
412
Trades
3,642
lifetime
Volume
$39.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$4.15K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-15
last 11-06 12:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Politics
54% 31% +$407
Other
43% 34% -$110
Sports
2% 20% -$373
Tech
0% 25% -$95
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 180 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg? Yes +500 $290 95¢ $476 +$186 08-14 20:41
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +450 $186 66¢ $299 +$113 08-11 21:23
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more? No +255 $215 92¢ $235 +$20 10-15 13:32
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000? Yes — +235 $71 94¢ $222 +$151 09-28 22:43
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000? Yes +200 $66 96¢ $191 +$125 10-19 10:27
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 450,000 and 500,000? Yes +200 $80 92¢ $183 +$103 10-15 14:38
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000? Yes +200 $82 90¢ $180 +$98 10-27 17:57
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 825,000 and 900,000? Yes +200 $18 90¢ $179 +$161 10-25 01:17
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000? Yes +190 $47 91¢ $172 +$126 10-24 10:50
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000? Yes +200 $46 82¢ $165 +$119 10-31 19:44
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be 1,050,000 or more? No +146 $109 99¢ $145 +$36 10-02 13:04
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,250,000 and 8,500,000? Yes +152 $25 92¢ $140 +$115 09-15 10:20
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more? No +138 $126 98¢ $136 +$10 10-15 15:54
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +160 $75 84¢ $133 +$59 08-14 21:01
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be less than 1,200,000? No +114 $109 100¢ $114 +$5 10-30 10:41
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,100,000 and 4,300,000? Yes +120 $29 94¢ $113 +$84 10-20 02:07
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,350,000 and 1,400,000? Yes +200 $40 53¢ $107 +$67 09-17 16:20
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000? Yes +200 $64 52¢ $105 +$41 10-30 11:24
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 700,000 and 750,000? Yes +200 $46 50¢ $100 +$54 09-14 16:45
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 680,000 and 720,000? Yes +150 $19 64¢ $97 +$77 10-27 19:11
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 900,000 and 1,000,000? No +96 $94 100¢ $96 +$2 11-03 20:43
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,750,000 and 2,900,000? Yes +96 $23 94¢ $90 +$68 10-20 14:42
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000? Yes +262 $38 34¢ $88 +$50 09-11 18:18
Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? Yes +200 $74 40¢ $81 +$7 09-14 14:24
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000? Yes +130 $45 62¢ $81 +$36 11-01 05:04
Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award? Yes +100 $72 72¢ $72 $0 10-16 17:18
Will Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election? Yes — +90 $37 68¢ $61 +$24 10-25 17:09
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,600,000 and 10,000,000? Yes +100 $19 49¢ $49 +$30 10-08 03:02
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000? Yes +25 $2 96¢ $24 +$22 09-17 19:40
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes — +160 $51 13¢ $21 -$30 08-17 17:37