Realized P&L
-$284
Unrealized P&L
+$2.31K
Hit rate
66.1%
Resolved
414
Trades
3,661
lifetime
Volume
$40.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$5.24K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-15
last 11-09 07:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Politics
55% 31% +$407
Other
42% 34% -$224
Sports
2% 20% -$373
Tech
0% 25% -$95
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 180 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg? Yes +500 $290 95¢ $476 +$186 08-14 20:41
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be between 2,300,000 and 2,450,000? No +339 $329 93¢ $315 -$14 11-06 20:36
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +450 $186 68¢ $308 +$122 08-11 21:23
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000? Yes +373 $67 71¢ $265 +$197 11-01 14:06
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be 2,450,000 or more? No +335 $304 75¢ $251 -$53 11-06 20:27
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more? No +255 $215 97¢ $248 +$33 10-15 13:32
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000? Yes +235 $71 94¢ $222 +$151 09-28 22:43
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000? Yes +200 $66 99¢ $199 +$133 10-19 10:27
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 450,000 and 500,000? Yes +200 $80 97¢ $194 +$114 10-15 14:38
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be between 375,000 and 400,000? Yes +200 $50 93¢ $185 +$135 10-19 09:16
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000? Yes +190 $47 95¢ $181 +$134 10-24 10:50
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000? Yes +200 $82 90¢ $180 +$98 10-27 17:57
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be 475,000 or more? No +164 $163 100¢ $164 +$1 11-03 17:53
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000? Yes +200 $46 73¢ $146 +$100 10-31 19:44
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 825,000 and 900,000? Yes +200 $18 72¢ $145 +$127 10-25 01:17
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be 1,050,000 or more? No +146 $109 99¢ $145 +$36 10-02 13:04
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,250,000 and 8,500,000? Yes +152 $25 92¢ $140 +$115 09-15 10:20
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 680,000 and 720,000? Yes +150 $19 92¢ $137 +$118 10-27 19:11
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000? Yes +150 $19 91¢ $136 +$117 09-14 12:54
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +160 $75 85¢ $136 +$61 08-14 21:01
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more? No +138 $126 98¢ $136 +$10 10-15 15:54
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be less than 1,200,000? No +114 $109 100¢ $114 +$5 10-30 10:41
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,100,000 and 4,300,000? Yes +120 $29 94¢ $113 +$84 10-20 02:07
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,350,000 and 1,400,000? Yes +200 $40 53¢ $107 +$67 09-17 16:20
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000? Yes +200 $64 52¢ $105 +$41 10-30 11:24
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 700,000 and 750,000? Yes +200 $46 50¢ $101 +$55 09-14 16:45
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 600,000 and 650,000? Yes +102 $83 99¢ $101 +$18 11-06 21:24
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000? Yes +130 $45 77¢ $101 +$56 11-01 05:04
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 900,000 and 1,000,000? No +96 $94 100¢ $96 +$2 11-03 20:43
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,750,000 and 2,900,000? Yes +108 $34 86¢ $93 +$59 11-06 21:19