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Realized P&L
-$54
Unrealized P&L
+$124
Hit rate
53.2%
Resolved
3,191
Trades
12,095
lifetime
Volume
$43.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$619
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-22
last 11-06 02:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
68% 45% -$97
Politics
14% 49% -$44
Sports
14% 48% +$55
Crypto
2% 65% +$20
Tech
1% 57% +$3
Pop-Culture
1% 71% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 1246 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +63 $42 98¢ $62 +$20 10-27 20:26
Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027? No — +72 $56 84¢ $60 +$4 10-31 04:35
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026? Yes +52 $47 79¢ $41 -$6 11-03 21:45
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +36 $29 96¢ $35 +$6 11-04 10:31
Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +39 $29 86¢ $34 +$5 10-30 07:35
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $540 in November? Yes +75 $6 37¢ $27 +$21 11-02 22:52
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? No +28 $24 96¢ $27 +$2 10-30 12:31
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027? Yes +38 $29 68¢ $26 -$3 11-01 06:52
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? Yes +25 $18 98¢ $25 +$7 11-03 13:43
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +40 $20 60¢ $24 +$4 10-29 22:08
Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government? No +23 $17 77¢ $18 +$1 10-28 08:50
Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +20 $17 88¢ $18 +$1 11-05 18:40
Will "Runway" from The Devil Wears Prada 2 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards? No +22 $14 74¢ $16 +$2 10-29 05:09
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +40 $21 40¢ $16 -$4 10-29 23:53
Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes — +89 $13 16¢ $15 +$2 11-05 21:03
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $26.25B by November 30? Yes +42 $6 34¢ $14 +$8 11-05 16:36
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 25%-30%? Yes +18 $5 75¢ $13 +$8 10-27 11:43
Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? Yes +13 $6 99¢ $13 +$7 11-04 00:45
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027? No +38 $9 32¢ $12 +$4 10-30 05:36
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Huntsmen - Game 2 Winner Huntsmen — +20 $6 58¢ $12 +$6 11-06 02:13
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? Yes +12 $8 99¢ $12 +$4 10-30 01:41
Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds dip to 4% by December 31? Yes +24 $6 48¢ $12 +$6 11-05 19:14
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? Yes +22 $8 52¢ $11 +$3 11-01 23:32
Will the Opportunity Party win 7-9 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +19 $2 61¢ $11 +$9 11-05 03:41
Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026? No +16 $11 70¢ $11 +$0 10-29 19:29
Will CDT Real Oruro win on 2026-11-07? Yes +19 $6 57¢ $11 +$5 11-05 10:39
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +17 $4 64¢ $11 +$6 11-04 03:25
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? No +22 $4 48¢ $11 +$7 11-03 11:59
Will Japan win Group F at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? No -11 -$3 96¢ $-11 -$8 10-24 08:02
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 10%-15%? Yes -25 -$6 42¢ $-11 -$5 10-24 06:58