(anonymous) 0x8268f4…46e7fd
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Realized P&L
-$586
Unrealized P&L
+$49
Hit rate
24.6%
Resolved
411
Trades
5,936
lifetime
Volume
$62.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.09K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-16
last 10-26 12:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Other
64% 29% -$474
Politics
25% 23% -$83
Tech
5% 9% -$21
Sports
3% 50% -$1
Crypto
1% 42% -$5
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 1107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +127 $96 80¢ $101 +$5 10-15 09:29
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +170 $100 59¢ $100 +$0 10-25 16:02
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? No +100 $84 97¢ $97 +$13 10-19 09:53
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +100 $74 88¢ $88 +$14 10-19 06:51
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +80 $68 94¢ $76 +$8 10-07 18:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +76 $63 94¢ $71 +$8 10-07 17:57
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +170 $71 41¢ $70 -$2 10-25 16:27
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +72 $51 72¢ $52 +$1 10-25 20:16
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +51 $42 82¢ $42 +$0 10-08 20:52
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +50 $38 78¢ $39 +$1 10-08 18:11
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +40 $35 96¢ $39 +$3 10-07 21:00
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +127 $34 20¢ $26 -$8 10-09 11:27
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? No +72 $27 28¢ $20 -$7 10-25 20:18
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? No +20 $18 98¢ $20 +$1 10-02 03:07
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +20 $16 97¢ $19 +$4 10-07 18:55
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +20 $18 96¢ $19 +$2 10-06 20:30
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +20 $17 92¢ $19 +$1 10-07 19:30
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +20 $17 88¢ $18 +$1 10-15 08:06
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +20 $14 86¢ $17 +$3 10-07 22:05
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +20 $14 82¢ $16 +$2 10-07 21:14
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +20 $15 82¢ $16 +$1 10-08 01:09
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +20 $14 77¢ $15 +$2 10-06 09:54
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +20 $12 74¢ $15 +$3 10-07 03:40
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +20 $16 74¢ $15 -$2 10-25 16:36
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +25 $13 58¢ $15 +$1 10-25 19:55
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +20 $5 67¢ $13 +$9 10-12 11:04
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +20 $8 66¢ $13 +$5 10-19 17:29
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +16 $18 77¢ $12 -$5 10-26 05:03
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +100 $26 12¢ $12 -$14 10-19 10:09
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +25 $12 42¢ $11 -$1 10-25 19:57