(anonymous) 0xdd236f…78af75 Create alert
5L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$180
Unrealized P&L
+$2.00K
Hit rate
12.2%
Resolved
96
Trades
3,984
lifetime
Volume
$82.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$7.22K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-29
last 11-06 14:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Politics
76% 18% -$142
Other
20% 23% -$40
Sports
3% 67% +$15
Pop-Culture
1% 0% $0
Tech
0% 0% -$9
Crypto
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 693 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 10%-15%? Yes — +591 $193 99¢ $588 +$395 10-29 05:14
Will Tony Pollard have 999.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +800 $576 71¢ $568 -$8 11-05 07:39
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? Yes +428 $168 97¢ $415 +$247 10-31 19:03
Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2027? No +398 $351 90¢ $356 +$5 10-30 03:29
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +334 $312 98¢ $328 +$16 10-26 20:46
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +400 $118 80¢ $318 +$200 10-31 10:22
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? Yes +300 $181 92¢ $275 +$94 10-29 06:46
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 20%-25%? No +272 $190 99¢ $269 +$80 10-31 21:56
Will Porto finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase? No +680 $401 39¢ $265 -$136 11-04 12:17
Will Drake Maye have 4,049.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +800 $336 32¢ $256 -$80 11-05 06:27
Will Tony Pollard have 999.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +800 $240 29¢ $232 -$8 11-05 07:39
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000? Yes +242 $80 94¢ $228 +$149 10-30 05:22
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 10%-15%? No +225 $160 97¢ $218 +$59 10-28 02:10
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-07 House election by 40%-45%? Yes +238 $71 90¢ $215 +$145 10-29 15:16
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 0%-3%? Yes +281 $80 75¢ $211 +$131 10-30 16:28
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 680,000 and 720,000? Yes +323 $118 64¢ $208 +$90 10-30 19:51
Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races? Yes +201 $72 100¢ $200 +$128 10-29 05:42
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher? Yes +200 $185 100¢ $199 +$14 10-28 23:44
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000? Yes — +200 $84 94¢ $189 +$105 10-27 22:53
Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections? No +182 $46 96¢ $175 +$129 10-31 14:47
Will Brock Purdy have 3,549.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +800 $224 22¢ $172 -$52 11-05 07:39
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? Yes +166 $129 97¢ $161 +$33 10-16 09:18
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 45%-50%? Yes +305 $83 52¢ $157 +$74 10-31 11:39
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-06 House election by 15%-20%? No +158 $111 97¢ $153 +$42 10-30 12:01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 45%-50%? No +310 $226 48¢ $150 -$76 10-31 11:39
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 35%-40%? Yes +180 $50 82¢ $147 +$96 10-27 14:36
Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City? Yes +197 $123 75¢ $146 +$23 10-25 12:26
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat? No +157 $59 91¢ $143 +$84 10-29 09:45
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026? No +201 $107 70¢ $142 +$35 10-28 03:02
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? No +200 $142 66¢ $131 -$11 10-29 14:17