Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 65%-70%?
open
Total volume
$4,935
$1,527 in 24h
Trades
304
Unique wallets
75
Liquidity
$21,026
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-12
last 10-27 00:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.4¢
(top1%: 15% YES on $210
vs crowd: 20% YES on $3.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 25 | $214 | $1.7K | $1.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 30 | $495 | $864 | $370 |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $27 | $323 | $296 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $17 | $21 | $4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 12 | $31 | $178 | $147 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $6 | $127 | $120 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | $14 | $13 |
| Median | 2 | $197 | — | +$197 |
| Below median | 9 | $30 | $111 | $81 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $22 | $240 | $218 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 13 | $93 | $506 | $414 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 22 | $241 | $1.7K | $1.4K |
| unranked | 4 | $131 | $82 | +$49 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x8314…0b88 | Yes | +1,006 | $191 | $191 | 1 | 10-26 22:21 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +374 | $256 | $256 | 13 | 10-27 00:29 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +313 | $68 | $68 | 14 | 10-07 14:56 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +268 | $56 | $56 | 3 | 10-26 22:21 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +268 | $245 | $514 | 6 | 10-26 23:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x261f…1709 | No | +177 | $135 | $135 | 1 | 10-21 10:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | Yes | +154 | $13 | $31 | 5 | 09-20 17:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | +139 | $113 | $113 | 1 | 10-26 22:21 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +120 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 10-03 18:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +115 | $29 | $34 | 8 | 10-21 15:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +115 | $90 | $90 | 8 | 10-21 15:52 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +108 | $89 | $148 | 6 | 10-26 22:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | +73 | $58 | $58 | 3 | 10-26 22:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | +73 | $17 | $17 | 4 | 10-26 22:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | +64 | $64 | $190 | 5 | 10-26 22:21 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | +60 | $47 | $47 | 3 | 10-26 22:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +60 | $46 | $46 | 5 | 10-21 13:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +60 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 10-21 13:19 |
| Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | +56 | $14 | $15 | 2 | 10-01 14:14 |
| Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | +56 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 10-01 13:29 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | +53 | $42 | $42 | 3 | 10-26 22:21 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +52 | $43 | $43 | 3 | 09-24 23:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | +40 | $31 | $31 | 3 | 10-26 22:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | +40 | $13 | $32 | 5 | 10-21 10:20 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +40 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-21 15:52 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 10-21 15:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | +40 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 10-03 18:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | +40 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 10-03 18:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | +40 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 10-21 10:20 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | +40 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 10-26 22:21 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +33 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 10-03 18:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +31 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 10-26 22:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1b1…6a83 | No | +30 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 10-26 22:21 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +30 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-21 15:52 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +30 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 10-21 15:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | +30 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 10-23 23:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +30 | $25 | $70 | 3 | 10-26 22:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb90…2335 | Yes | +27 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-21 15:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +24 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-26 22:21 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | +24 | $18 | $49 | 3 | 10-26 22:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-03 18:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-03 18:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x9530…5699 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-11 13:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-21 10:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xc671…a37a | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-26 22:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x9530…5699 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-11 13:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-07 14:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +20 | $18 | $218 | 4 | 10-21 13:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-22 08:06 |
| Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | +17 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-03 23:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | +17 | $5 | $10 | 3 | 10-04 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa314…5ba7 | Yes | +15 | $4 | $12 | 5 | 10-26 22:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +13 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-14 17:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1b1…6a83 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-21 15:52 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +4 | $2 | $11 | 3 | 10-05 18:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xd661…87c6 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-03 18:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 00:29:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 40 | 65¢ | $26 | 0x466195… |
| 10-27 00:29:35 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | SELL | 40 | 65¢ | $26 | 0x466195… |
| 10-27 00:27:08 | (anonymous) 0xb1f5…4853 | No | SELL | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x629a8a… |
| 10-27 00:27:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x629a8a… |
| 10-26 23:45:23 | (anonymous) 0xe661…f84a | No | SELL | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0xaa1e0c… |
| 10-26 23:45:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0xaa1e0c… |
| 10-26 23:28:32 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 16 | 62¢ | $10 | 0xeb00e8… |
| 10-26 23:28:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 100 | 62¢ | $62 | 0xeb00e8… |
| 10-26 23:28:32 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 116 | 62¢ | $72 | 0xeb00e8… |
| 10-26 22:51:02 | (anonymous) 0x28a6…d399 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x61ca44… |
| 10-26 22:51:02 | (anonymous) 0xe661…f84a | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x61ca44… |
| 10-26 22:51:02 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 24 | 72¢ | $17 | 0x61ca44… |
| 10-26 22:51:02 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 71 | 72¢ | $51 | 0x61ca44… |
| 10-26 22:28:57 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | SELL | 30 | 75¢ | $22 | 0x270e74… |
| 10-26 22:28:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 25¢ | $8 | 0x270e74… |
| 10-26 22:21:18 | (anonymous) 0xa314…5ba7 | No | BUY | 15 | 76¢ | $11 | 0xc4f0a7… |
| 10-26 22:21:18 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0x61ef76… |
| 10-26 22:21:18 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 23¢ | $7 | 0x61ef76… |
| 10-26 22:21:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 62 | 77¢ | $47 | 0x61ef76… |
| 10-26 22:21:18 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 15 | 76¢ | $11 | 0xc4f0a7… |
| 10-26 22:21:14 | (anonymous) 0xf768…f7d2 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x960470… |
| 10-26 22:21:14 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x960470… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x8577fd… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | (anonymous) 0x8314…0b88 | Yes | BUY | 1,006 | 19¢ | $191 | 0x8577fd… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | BUY | 40 | 81¢ | $32 | 0x8577fd… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 108 | 19¢ | $20 | 0x8577fd… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 139 | 81¢ | $113 | 0x8577fd… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x8577fd… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x8577fd… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 400 | 81¢ | $324 | 0x8577fd… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | (anonymous) 0xa1b1…6a83 | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x1d8769… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 31 | 81¢ | $25 | 0x8577fd… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | BUY | 40 | 81¢ | $32 | 0x8577fd… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | (anonymous) 0xa314…5ba7 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x8577fd… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | BUY | 40 | 81¢ | $32 | 0x8577fd… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 24 | 81¢ | $19 | 0x8577fd… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x1d8769… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | (anonymous) 0xc671…a37a | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x8577fd… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x8577fd… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 108 | 80¢ | $86 | 0x1d8769… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | (anonymous) 0xb1f5…4853 | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x8577fd… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | BUY | 64 | 81¢ | $52 | 0x8577fd… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 198 | 20¢ | $40 | 0x1d8769… |
| 10-26 22:21:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x1d8769… |
| 10-23 23:49:12 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x7b9477… |
| 10-23 23:49:12 | (anonymous) 0xdc05…9a76 | No | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x7b9477… |
| 10-23 23:49:12 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x6b16c6… |
| 10-23 23:49:12 | (anonymous) 0xdc05…9a76 | No | SELL | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x6b16c6… |
| 10-22 09:57:32 | (anonymous) 0xf768…f7d2 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x02ef44… |
| 10-22 09:57:32 | (anonymous) 0xfec3…7f04 | No | SELL | 13 | 80¢ | $11 | 0x02ef44… |
| 10-22 08:06:53 | (anonymous) 0xdc05…9a76 | No | SELL | 0 | 82¢ | $0 | 0x077d09… |
| 10-22 08:06:53 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x077d09… |
| 10-21 16:13:05 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | SELL | 10 | 84¢ | $9 | 0xa987ef… |
| 10-21 16:13:05 | (anonymous) 0xe661…f84a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xa987ef… |
| 10-21 15:53:00 | (anonymous) 0xa1b1…6a83 | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0xdaafb5… |
| 10-21 15:53:00 | (anonymous) 0xe661…f84a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xdaafb5… |
| 10-21 15:52:57 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0xcea921… |
| 10-21 15:52:57 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0xcea921… |
| 10-21 15:52:54 | (anonymous) 0xf768…f7d2 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xf42290… |
| 10-21 15:52:54 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x9b8d8e… |
| 10-21 15:52:54 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 122 | 21¢ | $26 | 0xf42290… |
| 10-21 15:52:54 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x9b8d8e… |
| 10-21 15:52:54 | (anonymous) 0xa1b1…6a83 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x9b8d8e… |
| 10-21 15:52:54 | (anonymous) 0xa314…5ba7 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0xf42290… |
| 10-21 15:52:54 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xf42290… |
| 10-21 15:52:54 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x21dad9… |
| 10-21 15:52:54 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xf42290… |
| 10-21 15:52:54 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xf42290… |
| 10-21 15:52:54 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | SELL | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0xf42290… |
| 10-21 15:52:54 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x21dad9… |
| 10-21 15:23:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0xd46465… |
| 10-21 15:23:39 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0xd46465… |
| 10-21 15:17:53 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 22¢ | $6 | 0x57b3ad… |
| 10-21 15:17:53 | (anonymous) 0xbb90…2335 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 22¢ | $6 | 0x57b3ad… |
| 10-21 14:24:36 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | SELL | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0xcf9fef… |
| 10-21 14:24:36 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x28cb30… |
| 10-21 14:24:36 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0xcf9fef… |
| 10-21 14:24:36 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x28cb30… |
| 10-21 14:03:02 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | SELL | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x3565c3… |
| 10-21 14:03:02 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x3565c3… |
| 10-21 13:38:23 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x3edfa8… |
| 10-21 13:38:23 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | SELL | 50 | 75¢ | $38 | 0x3edfa8… |
| 10-21 13:38:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 25¢ | $8 | 0x3edfa8… |
| 10-21 13:30:30 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | SELL | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0xb95885… |
| 10-21 13:30:30 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 22¢ | $11 | 0x8900b3… |
| 10-21 13:30:30 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0xb95885… |
| 10-21 13:30:30 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 22¢ | $11 | 0x8900b3… |
| 10-21 13:24:17 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 22¢ | $11 | 0x95197a… |
| 10-21 13:24:17 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | SELL | 48 | 78¢ | $38 | 0x95197a… |
| 10-21 13:21:14 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 88 | 22¢ | $19 | 0xb0ac65… |
| 10-21 13:21:14 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | SELL | 88 | 78¢ | $69 | 0xb0ac65… |
| 10-21 13:19:17 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x5b0697… |
| 10-21 13:19:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x5b0697… |
| 10-21 13:19:08 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xb23bbd… |
| 10-21 13:19:08 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | SELL | 41 | 77¢ | $31 | 0xb23bbd… |
| 10-21 13:19:08 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | SELL | 11 | 23¢ | $3 | 0xb23bbd… |
| 10-21 13:19:08 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0xb23bbd… |
| 10-21 13:19:03 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | BUY | 48 | 81¢ | $39 | 0x0f7928… |
| 10-21 13:19:03 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 20¢ | $7 | 0x0f7928… |
| 10-21 13:19:03 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x0f7928… |