(anonymous) 0xb1f590…4a4853
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$552
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
24.8%
Resolved
278
Trades
3,310
lifetime
Volume
$41.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$7.20K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 10-30 17:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Other
58% 41% -$483
Politics
34% 33% -$4
Tech
7% 12% -$52
Sports
1% 0% -$10
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$3
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 626 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,073 $860 72¢ $767 -$93 10-30 15:29
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +656 $609 94¢ $613 +$4 10-30 04:43
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +534 $495 94¢ $499 +$4 10-29 16:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +576 $435 68¢ $394 -$41 10-30 18:36
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +533 $372 72¢ $381 +$9 10-30 13:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +375 $352 92¢ $347 -$5 10-30 16:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,073 $223 29¢ $306 +$83 10-30 15:29
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +306 $299 97¢ $298 -$1 10-30 18:39
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +359 $256 70¢ $253 -$2 10-30 18:43
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +280 $215 78¢ $220 +$5 10-30 06:14
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +314 $204 63¢ $198 -$6 10-28 20:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +576 $145 32¢ $181 +$36 10-30 18:36
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +268 $185 68¢ $181 -$5 10-30 12:37
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +251 $177 70¢ $174 -$3 10-30 18:35
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +241 $186 72¢ $172 -$14 10-30 18:25
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +200 $162 86¢ $171 +$8 10-30 16:43
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +210 $165 80¢ $167 +$2 10-30 10:59
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +238 $187 70¢ $166 -$21 10-29 17:40
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +218 $152 70¢ $154 +$2 10-30 12:39
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +210 $155 73¢ $153 -$2 10-30 18:44
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $152 76¢ $153 +$0 10-30 11:33
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +533 $167 29¢ $152 -$15 10-30 13:55
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +280 $136 54¢ $150 +$14 10-30 12:23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +150 $124 96¢ $145 +$20 10-24 01:44
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +166 $145 87¢ $145 $0 10-30 08:39
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +150 $138 93¢ $140 +$2 10-28 20:01
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +190 $137 70¢ $132 -$5 10-29 14:04
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +140 $129 94¢ $131 +$2 10-30 12:35
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +280 $146 46¢ $130 -$16 10-30 12:23
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +134 $130 96¢ $130 $0 10-29 14:35