Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$472

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

35.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,073

lifetime

Volume

$16.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$528

30 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 10-27 10:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

40% 15% -$505

Politics

31% 0% -$71

Sports

17% 23% +$88

Crypto

10% 100% +$17

Tech

2% 0% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 278 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	+59	$50	74¢	$44	-$6	10-27 00:21
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+50	$38	68¢	$34	-$4	10-25 15:47
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+50	$34	58¢	$29	-$5	10-25 16:35
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	+50	$31	56¢	$28	-$3	10-25 15:24
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+50	$19	53¢	$26	+$8	10-25 16:02
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+50	$32	47¢	$24	-$8	10-25 16:02
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+50	$19	44¢	$22	+$3	10-25 15:24
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$16	42¢	$21	+$4	10-25 16:34
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$17	88¢	$18	+$0	10-22 06:04
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	+20	$17	88¢	$18	+$0	10-22 04:47
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	+20	$17	84¢	$17	$0	10-23 15:59
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$16	82¢	$17	+$1	10-26 20:18
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	Yes	+20	$18	82¢	$16	-$1	10-26 18:57
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$12	32¢	$16	+$4	10-25 15:48
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	+20	$17	80¢	$16	-$1	10-21 09:48
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	+59	$10	26¢	$15	+$6	10-27 00:22
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	+20	$13	76¢	$15	+$2	10-22 18:11
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+20	$13	74¢	$15	+$2	10-27 06:14
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+20	$16	72¢	$14	-$2	10-20 20:32
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+20	$13	66¢	$13	+$0	10-26 12:38
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+20	$13	64¢	$13	$0	10-25 22:26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+20	$13	63¢	$13	+$0	10-25 23:51
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$14	59¢	$12	-$2	10-25 08:20
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	+20	$10	56¢	$11	+$1	10-23 14:25
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+20	$8	55¢	$11	+$3	10-25 02:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+20	$10	55¢	$11	+$0	10-20 13:42
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$17	52¢	$10	-$6	10-22 17:36
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	+20	$9	51¢	$10	+$1	10-26 22:18
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	+20	$11	49¢	$10	-$1	10-26 22:18
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$4	48¢	$10	+$6	10-22 17:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 liv1	2	$1.8K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	-$12	04-08 09:10
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	15	$1.4K	984	984	+0	Yes	-$49	04-10 13:00
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$893	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$504	07-15 20:22
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	3	$821	1,826	1,826	+0	Yes	-$493	04-17 14:53
bitcoin above 74k on march 21	2	$416	209	209	+0	No	+$0	03-21 05:27
bitcoin above 74k on march 20	5	$414	209	209	+0	No	+$2	03-20 11:36
bitcoin above 76k on march 19	2	$399	207	207	+0	No	+$13	03-19 00:44
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$388	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$152	07-15 04:14
bitcoin above 68k on march 17	4	$384	193	193	+0	Yes	+$2	03-17 02:22
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$328	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$136	07-14 23:11
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	5	$251	395	395	+0	No	+$105	07-19 05:59
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$210	200	200	+0	No	-$2	03-09 11:51
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$200	1,200	0	+1,200	No	-$200	06-15 17:23
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	3	$191	126	126	+0	No	-$9	03-09 09:38
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$148	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	03-09 06:23
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$130	1,200	0	+1,200	No	-$130	06-15 04:58
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$100	200	200	+0	No	+$0	03-17 15:01
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$90	2,400	1,200	+1,200	No	-$56	07-09 18:14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 9?	9	$89	147	47	+100	Yes	+$3	10-09 05:08
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$80	1,200	0	+1,200	No	-$80	06-15 10:35
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$77	1,200	0	+1,200	No	-$77	06-15 11:22
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$71	4,200	0	+4,200	No	-$71	07-12 03:19
will clavicular be the top ranked chad by march 31	2	$68	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 07:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?	8	$68	98	19	+79	open	—	10-23 00:40
Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	10	$67	74	61	+12	open	—	10-24 21:28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 13?	11	$64	120	0	+120	No	-$4	10-12 09:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10?	7	$64	120	0	+120	No	-$4	10-09 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 8?	10	$64	103	23	+80	No	+$0	10-08 01:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 13?	10	$63	120	0	+120	No	-$3	10-12 11:27
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	8	$62	80	40	+40	No	-$1	10-22 15:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:45:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$0	0x2aa761…
10-27 09:42:05	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 3%-6%?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xda19a4…
10-27 09:24:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xc8b30d…
10-27 09:24:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x2ff54b…
10-27 09:19:17	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 430,000 and 460,000?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x83e4c0…
10-27 09:05:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x7d8209…
10-27 09:05:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x328d35…
10-27 09:02:35	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x9dc123…
10-27 09:02:33	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xdf840b…
10-27 08:58:30	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xe12ddb…
10-27 08:35:36	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xe3c581…
10-27 08:28:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0xf8b524…
10-27 08:16:06	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x6962c5…
10-27 07:42:38	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$17	0xd36519…
10-27 07:42:38	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x128eea…
10-27 07:29:24	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xfb9f99…
10-27 06:14:42	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xbf4d3a…
10-27 06:14:41	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x503564…
10-27 04:52:02	Will Brighton finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x23c1eb…
10-27 03:37:53	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xc5b577…
10-27 03:37:30	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x045c26…
10-27 03:37:30	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x00e503…
10-27 03:14:18	Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0xbec104…
10-27 02:45:24	Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x06ff5c…
10-27 02:29:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x39881b…
10-27 01:57:33	Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xd49f8b…
10-27 01:40:51	Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x34354e…
10-27 01:22:57	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xe0b499…
10-27 01:21:05	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$17	0x860d62…
10-27 01:21:05	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x75aa90…
10-27 00:51:11	Will Jackson Chourio win the 2026 World Series MVP?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x2daf79…
10-27 00:22:14	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x49a47f…
10-27 00:21:59	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xc734eb…
10-27 00:21:57	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	22	16¢	$4	0x5babba…
10-27 00:21:44	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-07 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xbdbda9…
10-27 00:01:23	Will Jackson Chourio win the 2026 World Series MVP?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x519424…
10-27 00:01:23	Will Jackson Chourio win the 2026 World Series MVP?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x2cdb22…
10-26 23:51:33	Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xc54be4…
10-26 23:50:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x84eeca…
10-26 23:48:11	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x507768…
10-26 23:35:47	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xd9b32a…
10-26 23:35:47	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0xc9e44a…
10-26 23:35:47	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x876271…
10-26 23:35:47	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7b9378…
10-26 23:28:44	Will Brentford qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xe2886c…
10-26 23:10:15	Will Brentford qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x9ac6b8…
10-26 22:45:12	Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	No	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xeaead9…
10-26 22:44:29	Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	No	BUY	22	16¢	$3	0xb3a6e7…
10-26 22:44:29	Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x23a213…
10-26 22:22:03	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?	No	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0xacd740…
10-26 22:21:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 65%-70%?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x8577fd…
10-26 22:18:44	Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0xd9ffbe…
10-26 22:18:30	Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xffccb3…
10-26 22:18:30	Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x01be92…
10-26 22:16:38	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x1d57b5…
10-26 22:14:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xdc63f7…
10-26 22:14:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x723a7d…
10-26 22:14:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x301aad…
10-26 22:04:48	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xb70299…
10-26 22:04:48	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x543727…
10-26 22:04:08	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 640,000 and 680,000?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x235443…
10-26 22:03:45	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 640,000 and 680,000?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$5	0xe78183…
10-26 22:03:45	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 640,000 and 680,000?	No	BUY	14	83¢	$11	0xdd00b8…
10-26 22:03:45	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 640,000 and 680,000?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x32746f…
10-26 22:03:44	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 640,000 and 680,000?	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x51f111…
10-26 21:51:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x705c43…
10-26 21:49:54	Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x129427…
10-26 21:49:35	Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xdfbd68…
10-26 21:49:35	Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xb9a759…
10-26 21:08:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xecae9c…
10-26 21:02:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-08 House election by 65%-70%?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x3f0392…
10-26 21:01:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-08 House election by 65%-70%?	Yes	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0xe59756…
10-26 21:01:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-08 House election by 65%-70%?	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xd3a4fb…
10-26 21:01:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x026105…
10-26 21:00:38	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x02588b…
10-26 21:00:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	21	74¢	$15	0xbbed79…
10-26 20:44:21	Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0xabaef0…
10-26 20:44:06	Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	BUY	21	36¢	$7	0x19acc0…
10-26 20:44:05	Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x902534…
10-26 20:43:53	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x838cd1…
10-26 20:43:32	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x9e046d…
10-26 20:43:32	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x41f154…
10-26 20:32:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 40%-45%?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x542576…
10-26 20:32:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x31d841…
10-26 20:32:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 40%-45%?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x02d69d…
10-26 20:25:20	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x9828db…
10-26 20:25:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0xad6e5c…
10-26 20:18:21	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x57cdc4…
10-26 20:17:59	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xede382…
10-26 20:17:59	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x57ed9d…
10-26 19:57:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x394ee2…
10-26 19:57:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0xd8ff28…
10-26 19:57:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x8ca761…
10-26 19:48:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0xafb6f0…
10-26 19:35:36	Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x63b425…
10-26 18:59:54	Will The Odyssey win Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x28872e…
10-26 18:57:23	Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x4893e9…
10-26 18:29:30	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0xe35406…
10-26 18:29:30	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x5d8a0d…
10-26 18:28:50	Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x9ec9d1…