Realized P&L
+$25
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
52.4%
Resolved
1,203
Trades
4,501
lifetime
Volume
$18.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$187
20 positions
First seen
2026-10-10
last 10-22 01:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
66% 42% -$39
Politics
17% 49% +$9
Sports
13% 51% +$15
Crypto
3% 68% +$36
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$3
Tech
0% 75% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 644 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +83 $67 89¢ $74 +$7 10-20 14:48
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +30 $25 70¢ $21 -$4 10-11 06:07
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +20 $15 84¢ $17 +$2 10-21 13:29
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +22 $13 68¢ $15 +$1 10-21 18:52
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +30 $9 30¢ $9 $0 10-11 04:50
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +83 $17 11¢ $9 -$8 10-20 13:57
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +8 $6 97¢ $8 +$2 10-22 00:56
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +22 $9 32¢ $7 -$2 10-21 18:13
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31? Yes +19 $10 23¢ $4 -$5 10-11 19:03
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes +7 $3 52¢ $4 +$1 10-22 01:05
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes +10 $5 34¢ $4 -$1 10-21 21:18
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +20 $6 16¢ $3 -$3 10-21 05:38
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +4 $2 78¢ $3 +$1 10-16 15:33
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +8 $2 29¢ $2 +$1 10-20 19:23
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? $3,000 +3 $1 70¢ $2 +$1 10-16 21:16
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $2 55¢ $2 +$0 10-15 22:47
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +4 $2 38¢ $2 $0 10-20 21:44
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $0 46¢ $1 +$0 10-18 17:27
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +1 $0 78¢ $1 +$1 10-18 10:53
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? No +2 $1 17¢ $0 -$1 10-16 18:09