Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?
No won
Total volume
$26,559
$1,653 in 24h
Trades
465
Unique wallets
99
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-22
First seen
2026-10-11
last 10-24 23:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+37.7¢
(top1%: 54% YES on $2.5K
vs crowd: 17% YES on $15.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $768 | $2.5K | $1.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 25 | $180 | $667 | $487 |
| 🐟 Fish | 23 | $1.3K | $9.3K | $8.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $364 | $371 | $7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 13 | $1.4K | $1.1K | +$222 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $22 | $205 | $183 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $137 | $206 | $69 |
| Median | 10 | $66 | $88 | $22 |
| Below median | 11 | $55 | $304 | $249 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 12 | $190 | $974 | $785 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 13 | $82 | $552 | $470 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 23 | $673 | $9.3K | $8.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x19e5…b1b8 | Yes | +1,436 | $158 | $158 | 34 | 10-24 22:38 |
| Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | +951 | $750 | $818 | 20 | 10-24 22:04 |
| Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | No | +739 | $701 | $701 | 5 | 10-24 22:38 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +662 | $209 | $209 | 22 | 10-24 22:04 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +559 | $269 | $269 | 20 | 10-23 21:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x159f…befb | Yes | +339 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 10-22 02:16 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +240 | $98 | $98 | 5 | 10-23 00:32 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | +139 | $22 | $24 | 8 | 10-24 22:38 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | +139 | $120 | $120 | 7 | 10-24 22:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xb575…87ec | No | +134 | $113 | $113 | 6 | 10-24 22:33 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | +132 | $32 | $32 | 8 | 10-24 21:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +129 | $92 | $92 | 4 | 10-22 14:45 |
| Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | No | +125 | $125 | $125 | 2 | 10-24 23:46 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | +123 | $89 | $89 | 11 | 10-24 20:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x9cfc…3671 | No | +123 | $85 | $309 | 17 | 10-24 21:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +121 | $36 | $36 | 6 | 10-24 21:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xb23e…829a | No | +120 | $112 | $112 | 1 | 10-24 22:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +115 | $67 | $67 | 4 | 10-24 00:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | No | +113 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-24 21:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +110 | $82 | $149 | 6 | 10-22 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +110 | $65 | $65 | 4 | 10-21 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +101 | $45 | $45 | 7 | 10-22 02:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xd728…b196 | No | +74 | $42 | $42 | 6 | 10-22 18:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xdb1d…6189 | No | +62 | $40 | $40 | 5 | 10-21 07:45 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +60 | $2 | $5 | 4 | 10-24 22:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x9653…4228 | Yes | +60 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 10-21 03:40 |
| Famous-Fleck 0xa105…b88d | Yes | +54 | $25 | $25 | 4 | 10-21 07:46 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +53 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 10-23 17:25 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-24 23:32 |
| Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-24 22:38 |
| Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 10-22 14:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb90…2335 | No | +50 | $34 | $47 | 5 | 10-21 10:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f83…a7ad | Yes | +42 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-23 09:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | No | +41 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 10-21 10:38 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +41 | $28 | $56 | 5 | 10-20 20:28 |
| Unhealthy-Prize 0x8d88…1e28 | Yes | +39 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 10-21 07:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb90…2335 | Yes | +35 | $5 | $18 | 3 | 10-21 05:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | +29 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 10-20 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | +29 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-20 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x20c6…a830 | No | +28 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 10-24 22:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x0130…fb49 | Yes | +26 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 10-19 18:33 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +21 | -$7 | $39 | 8 | 10-23 09:06 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +20 | $19 | $90 | 7 | 10-21 03:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xbba8…beb9 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-23 19:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xadb4…bc39 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-21 06:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xadb4…bc39 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-21 06:01 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | +20 | $6 | $16 | 4 | 10-20 12:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x9653…4228 | No | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-20 11:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | Yes | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-21 03:51 |
| Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $1 | 4 | 10-24 23:46 |
| Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $6 | 2 | 10-23 09:23 |
| Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 | No | +15 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 10-21 07:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x142c…887e | Yes | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-19 10:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xad53…14d2 | Yes | +10 | -$45 | $63 | 7 | 10-22 16:30 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-24 22:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-20 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xcdaf…7159 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-21 23:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x3340…13c8 | No | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-20 18:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b21…d52a | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-24 23:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-20 22:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 23:46:18 | Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe80557… |
| 10-24 23:46:18 | Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe80557… |
| 10-24 23:32:39 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x818dd5… |
| 10-24 23:32:39 | (anonymous) 0xa832…abf8 | No | SELL | 55 | 100¢ | $55 | 0x818dd5… |
| 10-24 23:32:39 | Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x818dd5… |
| 10-24 23:24:11 | Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x899df6… |
| 10-24 23:24:11 | (anonymous) 0x3b21…d52a | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x899df6… |
| 10-24 22:38:21 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x34b8a1… |
| 10-24 22:38:21 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x34b8a1… |
| 10-24 22:38:21 | Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | No | BUY | 451 | 98¢ | $442 | 0x5282cb… |
| 10-24 22:38:21 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x5282cb… |
| 10-24 22:38:21 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x34b8a1… |
| 10-24 22:38:21 | (anonymous) 0x19e5…b1b8 | Yes | BUY | 381 | 2¢ | $8 | 0x5282cb… |
| 10-24 22:38:21 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5282cb… |
| 10-24 22:33:44 | (anonymous) 0xb575…87ec | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xf4f866… |
| 10-24 22:33:44 | (anonymous) 0x19e5…b1b8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf4f866… |
| 10-24 22:29:02 | (anonymous) 0x19e5…b1b8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0faddd… |
| 10-24 22:29:02 | (anonymous) 0x7512…0f34 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0faddd… |
| 10-24 22:28:29 | (anonymous) 0x20c6…a830 | No | BUY | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0x1f8e35… |
| 10-24 22:28:29 | (anonymous) 0x19e5…b1b8 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1f8e35… |
| 10-24 22:26:11 | (anonymous) 0x19e5…b1b8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1d19ac… |
| 10-24 22:26:11 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3c5117… |
| 10-24 22:26:11 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x1d19ac… |
| 10-24 22:26:11 | (anonymous) 0x0e86…8795 | Yes | SELL | 137 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x3c5117… |
| 10-24 22:26:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3c5117… |
| 10-24 22:26:11 | Fortunate-Randomization 0x3690…51ae | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3c5117… |
| 10-24 22:26:11 | (anonymous) 0x19e5…b1b8 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3c5117… |
| 10-24 22:24:02 | (anonymous) 0x7512…0f34 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc09a6f… |
| 10-24 22:24:02 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | SELL | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0x2bda18… |
| 10-24 22:24:02 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xc09a6f… |
| 10-24 22:24:02 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x2bda18… |
| 10-24 22:24:02 | (anonymous) 0xb23e…829a | No | BUY | 120 | 93¢ | $112 | 0x2bda18… |
| 10-24 22:07:33 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x468731… |
| 10-24 22:07:33 | (anonymous) 0x19e5…b1b8 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x657bbc… |
| 10-24 22:07:33 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x657bbc… |
| 10-24 22:07:33 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x468731… |
| 10-24 22:07:33 | Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | No | BUY | 88 | 90¢ | $79 | 0x657bbc… |
| 10-24 22:04:39 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0xcdbe7e… |
| 10-24 22:04:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xcdbe7e… |
| 10-24 21:55:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x751235… |
| 10-24 21:55:48 | (anonymous) 0x9cfc…3671 | No | BUY | 33 | 90¢ | $30 | 0x751235… |
| 10-24 21:51:20 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x051d08… |
| 10-24 21:51:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x051d08… |
| 10-24 21:48:41 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x278674… |
| 10-24 21:48:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x278674… |
| 10-24 21:48:41 | (anonymous) 0x9cfc…3671 | No | BUY | 56 | 90¢ | $50 | 0x278674… |
| 10-24 21:32:06 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x2d2bfb… |
| 10-24 21:32:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 97 | 12¢ | $11 | 0x2d2bfb… |
| 10-24 21:32:06 | (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | No | BUY | 113 | 88¢ | $100 | 0x2d2bfb… |
| 10-24 21:31:33 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xcf370b… |
| 10-24 21:31:33 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xcf370b… |
| 10-24 21:31:24 | (anonymous) 0x8105…2702 | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x53b25e… |
| 10-24 21:31:24 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x53b25e… |
| 10-24 21:29:57 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xe5f30b… |
| 10-24 21:29:57 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xae29d9… |
| 10-24 21:29:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xae29d9… |
| 10-24 21:29:57 | (anonymous) 0x19e5…b1b8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xe5f30b… |
| 10-24 21:29:56 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | BUY | 40 | 85¢ | $34 | 0xc0594b… |
| 10-24 21:29:56 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xc0594b… |
| 10-24 21:29:56 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xc0594b… |
| 10-24 20:54:44 | (anonymous) 0xb575…87ec | No | BUY | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0x71fcf2… |
| 10-24 20:54:44 | (anonymous) 0x9cfc…3671 | No | SELL | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0x71fcf2… |
| 10-24 20:46:51 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | BUY | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0x0afcb5… |
| 10-24 20:46:51 | (anonymous) 0x9cfc…3671 | No | SELL | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0x0afcb5… |
| 10-24 20:07:42 | (anonymous) 0x9cfc…3671 | No | SELL | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x88e2a4… |
| 10-24 20:07:42 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x88e2a4… |
| 10-24 20:07:42 | (anonymous) 0xb575…87ec | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x88e2a4… |
| 10-24 19:54:56 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x433f31… |
| 10-24 19:54:56 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x578ad7… |
| 10-24 19:54:56 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x433f31… |
| 10-24 19:54:56 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x578ad7… |
| 10-24 19:54:56 | (anonymous) 0xb575…87ec | No | BUY | 60 | 84¢ | $50 | 0x433f31… |
| 10-24 19:54:56 | (anonymous) 0x19e5…b1b8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x433f31… |
| 10-24 14:55:27 | Frilly-Buffalo 0x1c15…c2bf | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xa64c9d… |
| 10-24 14:55:27 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xa64c9d… |
| 10-24 12:51:02 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x5dabe8… |
| 10-24 12:51:02 | (anonymous) 0xb575…87ec | No | BUY | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x5dabe8… |
| 10-24 12:50:29 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xdb86f2… |
| 10-24 12:50:29 | (anonymous) 0xb575…87ec | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xdb86f2… |
| 10-24 08:00:00 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xc39665… |
| 10-24 08:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x20c6…a830 | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xc39665… |
| 10-24 00:44:02 | (anonymous) 0x19e5…b1b8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x24197d… |
| 10-24 00:44:02 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x24197d… |
| 10-24 00:37:54 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x0c3c1c… |
| 10-24 00:37:54 | Competent-Biosphere 0x7b4a…3b84 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x0c3c1c… |
| 10-23 21:00:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0xd1d27a… |
| 10-23 21:00:59 | (anonymous) 0xb284…04d7 | No | SELL | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0xd1d27a… |
| 10-23 19:57:00 | (anonymous) 0xb284…04d7 | No | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x7a666d… |
| 10-23 19:57:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x7a666d… |
| 10-23 19:56:59 | (anonymous) 0x19e5…b1b8 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x583de1… |
| 10-23 19:56:59 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | BUY | 11 | 70¢ | $8 | 0x583de1… |
| 10-23 19:56:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 11 | 70¢ | $8 | 0x7be53a… |
| 10-23 19:56:02 | (anonymous) 0x19e5…b1b8 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x7be53a… |
| 10-23 19:23:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0x214c48… |
| 10-23 19:23:59 | (anonymous) 0xbba8…beb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x214c48… |
| 10-23 17:25:21 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 53 | 50¢ | $27 | 0x6d7019… |
| 10-23 17:25:21 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | BUY | 163 | 50¢ | $81 | 0x6d7019… |
| 10-23 17:25:21 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x6d7019… |
| 10-23 17:25:21 | Empty-Monitoring 0x2546…5155 | No | SELL | 318 | 53¢ | $167 | 0x6d7019… |
| 10-23 16:58:30 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | BUY | 10 | 58¢ | $6 | 0xb3f539… |