Famous-Fleck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.95K

Unrealized P&L

+$768

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

12,370

Trades

13,987

lifetime

Volume

$331.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$22.3K

15 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 10-26 21:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 98% -$977

Other

7% 95% -$997

Politics

6% 93% +$34

Sports

0% 50% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 462 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+8,525	$3,989	45¢	$3.8K	-$178	09-23 17:35
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+5,000	$3,250	66¢	$3.3K	+$75	10-19 09:13
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+6,343	$2,537	42¢	$2.6K	+$95	10-19 09:43
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+3,000	$1,890	66¢	$2.0K	+$75	10-19 09:42
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+3,276	$1,598	58¢	$1.9K	+$319	09-23 19:39
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+7,804	$1,249	22¢	$1.7K	+$468	10-19 09:44
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1,706	$1,041	62¢	$1.0K	+$9	10-19 09:51
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	+1,634	$1,070	64¢	$1.0K	-$32	10-22 05:39
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+4,022	$1,086	26¢	$1.0K	-$60	10-19 09:12
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+2,527	$960	38¢	$973	+$13	10-19 09:50
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+2,273	$965	42¢	$955	-$10	10-19 21:58
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1,061	$934	86¢	$918	-$16	10-19 09:48
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	+4,459	$892	20¢	$892	+$0	10-19 22:13
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	+53	$30	80¢	$43	+$13	10-11 09:12
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?	Yes	+16	$11	57¢	$9	-$2	10-13 01:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	58	$4.0K	8,525	0	+8,525	open	—	09-23 17:35
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$3.2K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	10-19 09:13
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	1	$2.5K	6,343	0	+6,343	open	—	10-19 09:43
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	1	$1.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	10-19 09:42
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	32	$1.6K	3,276	0	+3,276	open	—	09-23 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	134	$1.3K	1,345	0	+1,345	Up	+$17	05-20 13:24
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	1	$1.2K	7,804	0	+7,804	open	—	10-19 09:44
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	4	$1.1K	4,022	0	+4,022	open	—	10-19 09:12
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	21	$1.1K	1,634	0	+1,634	open	—	10-22 05:39
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,706	0	+1,706	open	—	10-19 09:51
Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31?	5	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Yes	+$10	05-31 22:49
Will Norway win on 2026-06-01?	5	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Yes	+$10	06-01 17:49
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-29?	5	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	No	+$10	05-29 18:56
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	4	$965	2,273	0	+2,273	open	—	10-19 21:58
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	1	$960	2,527	0	+2,527	open	—	10-19 09:50
Will Iraq win on 2026-05-29?	5	$958	968	0	+968	Yes	+$10	05-29 17:48
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	1	$934	1,061	0	+1,061	open	—	10-19 09:48
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	9	$892	4,459	0	+4,459	open	—	10-19 22:13
Will the Republican Party win the GA-01 House seat?	1	$860	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-22 02:08
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-29?	5	$820	828	0	+828	Yes	+$8	05-29 18:32
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	21	$800	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-22 05:11
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5	4	$795	802	0	+802	Under	+$7	05-30 17:03
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?	9	$777	893	0	+893	open	—	10-21 04:37
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 21?	20	$766	853	105	+748	open	—	10-07 02:27
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02?	4	$676	683	0	+683	No	+$7	06-02 17:44
Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw?	4	$664	670	0	+670	Yes	-$664	06-04 19:18
Will Switzerland win on 2026-05-31?	4	$614	620	0	+620	Yes	+$6	05-31 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	31	$601	590	494	+95	Up	+$13	09-11 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	36	$560	352	352	+0	Up	+$27	09-11 01:13
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?	1	$478	1,364	0	+1,364	open	—	10-21 03:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:57:56	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x9c4c7b…
10-26 07:41:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcf45eb…
10-26 07:16:18	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	79¢	$14	0xd97a37…
10-26 02:58:33	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x2a0185…
10-25 10:23:42	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6e1091…
10-25 09:59:11	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd0318d…
10-25 09:34:32	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x2d0926…
10-25 08:50:09	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xd9feda…
10-25 07:03:20	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xa703e3…
10-25 04:12:05	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x3911ac…
10-24 20:21:38	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xd4bcc9…
10-24 20:21:38	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x4c1fe1…
10-24 20:21:38	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x3d5b93…
10-24 20:21:36	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x0d1155…
10-24 20:14:11	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x46b22f…
10-24 12:08:54	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x237e30…
10-24 11:04:02	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf34e38…
10-24 11:03:48	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$7	0x53c4af…
10-24 08:50:06	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xa69591…
10-24 08:50:06	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x8ca235…
10-24 06:22:36	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xf009d4…
10-24 06:11:59	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xb20151…
10-24 06:10:56	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x6c9232…
10-24 03:30:59	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x9766d2…
10-24 03:30:50	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0xdc371b…
10-23 20:00:24	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xfa6560…
10-23 18:53:42	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 24?	No	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xb33613…
10-23 15:56:36	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x653ac4…
10-23 15:17:26	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 23?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdf5510…
10-23 15:16:54	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 23?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x915931…
10-23 05:18:47	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xa931e7…
10-22 19:59:30	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 31?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x52e3c3…
10-22 13:49:23	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8ac9e7…
10-22 13:20:38	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9edc9f…
10-22 11:00:48	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?	Yes	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xfe5f64…
10-22 05:39:11	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	512	65¢	$333	0xe6dffa…
10-22 05:11:56	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0x04045d…
10-22 05:11:44	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x376c57…
10-22 02:08:05	Will the Republican Party win the GA-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0xa84542…
10-21 23:54:32	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	41	80¢	$33	0x8cedcd…
10-21 18:35:24	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x7f75c6…
10-21 18:07:32	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x69d636…
10-21 18:02:51	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$33	0x61d777…
10-21 18:02:50	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x4d8933…
10-21 18:02:50	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x289d69…
10-21 17:57:06	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x9b64e0…
10-21 17:57:06	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x551e99…
10-21 13:52:21	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	44	80¢	$35	0xd1a42e…
10-21 13:52:18	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x3d4c69…
10-21 13:11:48	Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x074e25…
10-21 12:49:35	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x8ce83c…
10-21 11:57:08	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xe26879…
10-21 11:52:50	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xe63f85…
10-21 11:52:44	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x000741…
10-21 11:52:38	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xca0764…
10-21 11:52:33	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x57b1c1…
10-21 11:52:29	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x4d501d…
10-21 11:52:20	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x1cc123…
10-21 11:52:14	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x538ff3…
10-21 11:52:08	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x0f85db…
10-21 11:52:02	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x06f9ec…
10-21 11:51:56	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8022b1…
10-21 11:51:50	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8f9852…
10-21 11:51:44	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xc75f23…
10-21 11:51:39	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0xc113a5…
10-21 11:51:26	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0x7a43d1…
10-21 11:51:26	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x22a9c4…
10-21 10:04:26	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	21	65¢	$14	0x82ce02…
10-21 10:04:20	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	21	65¢	$14	0xcc9afd…
10-21 10:04:14	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	21	65¢	$14	0x00621a…
10-21 10:03:54	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	21	65¢	$14	0x2649ad…
10-21 09:32:54	Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?	No	BUY	55	72¢	$40	0x25f3be…
10-21 07:46:47	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x9d2413…
10-21 07:33:23	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x2770af…
10-21 07:30:35	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?	Yes	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x4245e6…
10-21 07:02:54	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	185	65¢	$120	0x79e97a…
10-21 06:53:11	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf6b956…
10-21 05:09:00	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xaf6a7c…
10-21 04:46:56	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	58	66¢	$38	0x5553e3…
10-21 04:41:00	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x1f9504…
10-21 04:37:41	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x0035f0…
10-21 04:15:54	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xa6530a…
10-21 04:15:48	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xef1060…
10-21 04:15:42	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	112	66¢	$74	0x93eabc…
10-21 04:15:36	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	112	66¢	$74	0x201920…
10-21 04:14:08	Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xb16f3c…
10-21 04:07:18	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x5247bc…
10-21 03:56:15	Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?	No	BUY	55	72¢	$40	0x175d57…
10-21 03:54:51	Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?	No	BUY	182	73¢	$133	0x87622b…
10-21 03:53:23	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?	No	BUY	283	88¢	$248	0x591753…
10-21 03:53:03	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x4fd6c7…
10-21 03:52:45	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?	No	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0x4a701c…
10-21 03:52:36	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?	No	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0x52bb29…
10-21 03:52:26	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?	No	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0x1f130b…
10-21 03:52:15	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x36ebf4…
10-21 03:51:56	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?	No	BUY	70	87¢	$61	0x594d75…
10-21 03:49:21	Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$3	0x15cb57…
10-21 03:48:14	Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	542	39¢	$211	0xef8691…
10-21 03:47:00	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	53	67¢	$36	0xb60f3c…
10-21 03:46:47	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	81	67¢	$54	0x188fec…