Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?
Yes won
Total volume
$62,633
Trades
403
Unique wallets
131
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-26
First seen
2026-10-01
last 10-25 09:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.1¢
(top1%: 98% YES on $44.2K
vs crowd: 97% YES on $62.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 30 | $51.2K | $275 | +$50.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 31 | $8.4K | $1.2K | +$7.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 32 | $371 | $72 | +$300 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 38 | $508 | $68 | +$440 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 21 | $43.1K | $1.1K | +$42.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 18 | $1.1K | $24 | +$1.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $34 | $8 | +$26 |
| Median | 12 | $118 | $11 | +$107 |
| Below median | 20 | $144 | $33 | +$112 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 13 | $187 | $31 | +$156 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 23 | $5.6K | $206 | +$5.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 18 | $10.0K | $171 | +$9.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x50ea…010f | No | +53,910 | $54 | $54 | 12 | 10-25 09:20 |
| Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | Yes | +22,639 | $22,608 | $22,608 | 8 | 10-25 09:20 |
| Wet-Trim 0x6049…f14f | Yes | +9,022 | $9,013 | $9,013 | 1 | 10-25 09:20 |
| Insecure-Catalyst 0x33ab…9523 | Yes | +8,945 | $8,936 | $8,936 | 1 | 10-25 09:20 |
| Sarcastic-Commandment 0x8ebf…83ce | Yes | +7,107 | $7,100 | $7,100 | 2 | 10-25 09:20 |
| Stunning-Headquarters 0x2d4b…ca7a | No | +2,941 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 10-13 04:08 |
| Timely-Photo 0xf01a…f231 | Yes | +2,560 | $1,615 | $2,434 | 8 | 10-24 14:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x695b…a749 | Yes | +2,290 | $2,288 | $2,288 | 1 | 10-25 09:20 |
| Frequent-Sleuth 0x3ff5…03b1 | Yes | +1,495 | $1,494 | $1,494 | 1 | 10-25 09:20 |
| Medium-Bassoon 0xb816…9e90 | Yes | +1,225 | $1,171 | $1,171 | 6 | 10-25 06:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x48f0…4463 | Yes | +656 | $655 | $655 | 1 | 10-25 07:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xcfc5…7921 | Yes | +656 | $655 | $655 | 1 | 10-25 07:19 |
| Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | +505 | $504 | $504 | 1 | 10-25 09:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x569a…8ca5 | Yes | +394 | $393 | $393 | 1 | 10-25 07:19 |
| Male-Cacao 0x8929…733e | No | +374 | $43 | $43 | 8 | 10-25 01:58 |
| Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | Yes | +350 | $350 | $350 | 1 | 10-25 09:20 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +318 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-25 06:41 |
| Glistening-Contributor 0x748a…3c56 | Yes | +317 | $251 | $287 | 3 | 10-19 16:31 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +303 | $82 | $82 | 11 | 10-23 18:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x498f…af74 | Yes | +300 | $252 | $252 | 1 | 10-16 20:51 |
| Simple-Tradition 0x33e2…3a1b | No | +300 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 10-16 20:51 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | +254 | $11 | $11 | 5 | 10-25 06:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x28e6…a59d | No | +191 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-24 16:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xe63a…0679 | No | +156 | $13 | $18 | 2 | 10-25 06:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +124 | $11 | $11 | 6 | 10-25 07:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fbf…f319 | Yes | +118 | $104 | $104 | 2 | 10-24 04:35 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +111 | $99 | $113 | 7 | 10-25 03:59 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | +111 | $13 | $13 | 7 | 10-24 21:14 |
| Female-Fourths 0xe308…309c | No | +110 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-15 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +104 | $94 | $94 | 7 | 10-25 06:47 |
| Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | Yes | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-25 07:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | Yes | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-25 07:19 |
| Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | Yes | +100 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 10-25 07:40 |
| Bland-Caviar 0xa9ec…57d5 | Yes | +100 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 10-06 19:58 |
| Shameless-Workout-Orchard 0x4d86…1cb2 | No | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-25 06:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xa24d…3065 | No | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-25 06:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +97 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 10-25 06:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +97 | $89 | $89 | 4 | 10-25 06:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x2908…91f5 | Yes | +86 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 10-24 20:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b04…1b2e | No | +68 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-24 17:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | Yes | +53 | $45 | $56 | 3 | 10-23 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | No | +53 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-23 18:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +50 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 10-21 23:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +50 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 10-18 20:05 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-25 07:19 |
| Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | +50 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-25 06:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xab23…de85 | Yes | +48 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 10-24 06:10 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | Yes | +47 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 10-24 14:28 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | +45 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 10-25 03:07 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | +45 | $12 | $20 | 6 | 10-25 06:42 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | +45 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-24 14:28 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | +45 | $41 | $41 | 3 | 10-25 06:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +45 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-25 06:41 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | +45 | $6 | $6 | 5 | 10-25 06:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9f9…0248 | No | +41 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 10-13 04:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xbba8…beb9 | No | +40 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 10-25 06:30 |
| Intent-Ton 0xa36d…3654 | No | +38 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 10-25 06:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | +31 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-24 21:14 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +31 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 10-24 17:27 |
| DaemonX 0xce5f…1912 | No | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-24 15:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 09:20:38 | (anonymous) 0x50ea…010f | No | BUY | 27,080 | 0¢ | $27 | 0x881216… |
| 10-25 09:20:38 | Frequent-Sleuth 0x3ff5…03b1 | Yes | BUY | 1,495 | 100¢ | $1,494 | 0x881216… |
| 10-25 09:20:38 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 505 | 100¢ | $504 | 0x881216… |
| 10-25 09:20:38 | Insecure-Catalyst 0x33ab…9523 | Yes | BUY | 8,945 | 100¢ | $8,936 | 0x881216… |
| 10-25 09:20:38 | Wet-Trim 0x6049…f14f | Yes | BUY | 9,022 | 100¢ | $9,013 | 0x881216… |
| 10-25 09:20:38 | Powerful-Shadowbox 0x85ac…4de7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x881216… |
| 10-25 09:20:38 | Sarcastic-Commandment 0x8ebf…83ce | Yes | BUY | 5,996 | 100¢ | $5,990 | 0x881216… |
| 10-25 09:20:35 | (anonymous) 0x50ea…010f | No | BUY | 2,640 | 0¢ | $3 | 0xb465fb… |
| 10-25 09:20:35 | Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | Yes | BUY | 350 | 100¢ | $350 | 0xb465fb… |
| 10-25 09:20:35 | (anonymous) 0x695b…a749 | Yes | BUY | 2,290 | 100¢ | $2,288 | 0xb465fb… |
| 10-25 09:20:20 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x7fc5ea… |
| 10-25 09:20:20 | (anonymous) 0x50ea…010f | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x7fc5ea… |
| 10-25 09:19:51 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | Yes | BUY | 10,000 | 100¢ | $9,990 | 0x7c673f… |
| 10-25 09:19:51 | (anonymous) 0x50ea…010f | No | BUY | 10,000 | 0¢ | $10 | 0x7c673f… |
| 10-25 09:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x50ea…010f | No | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x29954d… |
| 10-25 09:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x3fa4…e2ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x29954d… |
| 10-25 09:00:59 | Shocking-Sort 0xaee7…37fe | No | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xba3c24… |
| 10-25 09:00:59 | (anonymous) 0xf63a…5d80 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 100¢ | $36 | 0xba3c24… |
| 10-25 09:00:59 | (anonymous) 0x50ea…010f | No | BUY | 46 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xba3c24… |
| 10-25 08:32:33 | (anonymous) 0x50ea…010f | No | BUY | 1,990 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x0a51d3… |
| 10-25 08:32:33 | Shocking-Sort 0xaee7…37fe | No | SELL | 1,990 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x0a51d3… |
| 10-25 08:31:15 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | Yes | BUY | 5,000 | 100¢ | $4,995 | 0xad1a5d… |
| 10-25 08:31:15 | (anonymous) 0x50ea…010f | No | BUY | 5,000 | 0¢ | $5 | 0xad1a5d… |
| 10-25 07:40:21 | (anonymous) 0x50ea…010f | No | BUY | 56 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9c631a… |
| 10-25 07:40:21 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 100¢ | $56 | 0x9c631a… |
| 10-25 07:40:20 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 100¢ | $44 | 0xbaa2a9… |
| 10-25 07:40:20 | (anonymous) 0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xbaa2a9… |
| 10-25 07:40:20 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbaa2a9… |
| 10-25 07:40:15 | Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xfa37a2… |
| 10-25 07:40:15 | (anonymous) 0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xfa37a2… |
| 10-25 07:35:05 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | Yes | BUY | 5,000 | 100¢ | $4,995 | 0xc183c6… |
| 10-25 07:35:05 | (anonymous) 0x50ea…010f | No | BUY | 5,000 | 0¢ | $5 | 0xc183c6… |
| 10-25 07:22:12 | (anonymous) 0x50ea…010f | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x1e5f1a… |
| 10-25 07:22:12 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x1e5f1a… |
| 10-25 07:21:26 | (anonymous) 0x50ea…010f | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8c2de9… |
| 10-25 07:21:26 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x8c2de9… |
| 10-25 07:21:12 | (anonymous) 0xe63a…0679 | Yes | SELL | 83 | 100¢ | $83 | 0x94d373… |
| 10-25 07:21:12 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x94d373… |
| 10-25 07:21:12 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | Yes | BUY | 258 | 100¢ | $258 | 0x94d373… |
| 10-25 07:21:12 | Shocking-Sort 0xaee7…37fe | No | BUY | 166 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x94d373… |
| 10-25 07:19:53 | (anonymous) 0x569a…8ca5 | Yes | BUY | 394 | 100¢ | $393 | 0x0a89b2… |
| 10-25 07:19:53 | (anonymous) 0xcfc5…7921 | Yes | BUY | 656 | 100¢ | $655 | 0xbd60d2… |
| 10-25 07:19:53 | Shocking-Sort 0xaee7…37fe | No | BUY | 656 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xbd60d2… |
| 10-25 07:19:53 | Shocking-Sort 0xaee7…37fe | No | BUY | 394 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0a89b2… |
| 10-25 07:19:53 | (anonymous) 0xa764…468d | Yes | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x413aab… |
| 10-25 07:19:53 | Shocking-Sort 0xaee7…37fe | No | BUY | 656 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x57a9cc… |
| 10-25 07:19:53 | Shocking-Sort 0xaee7…37fe | No | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x413aab… |
| 10-25 07:19:53 | (anonymous) 0x48f0…4463 | Yes | BUY | 656 | 100¢ | $655 | 0x57a9cc… |
| 10-25 07:19:53 | Shocking-Sort 0xaee7…37fe | No | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe047e8… |
| 10-25 07:19:53 | (anonymous) 0xc4fe…8d1d | Yes | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xe047e8… |
| 10-25 07:19:50 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd884d0… |
| 10-25 07:19:50 | Shocking-Sort 0xaee7…37fe | No | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd884d0… |
| 10-25 07:19:50 | (anonymous) 0x0c0b…529a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xf1982c… |
| 10-25 07:19:50 | Shocking-Sort 0xaee7…37fe | No | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1982c… |
| 10-25 07:19:50 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd884d0… |
| 10-25 07:19:50 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd884d0… |
| 10-25 07:19:50 | (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xd884d0… |
| 10-25 06:47:47 | (anonymous) 0xa96a…6999 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5ac498… |
| 10-25 06:47:47 | Medium-Bassoon 0xb816…9e90 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5ac498… |
| 10-25 06:47:44 | Medium-Bassoon 0xb816…9e90 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf906e6… |
| 10-25 06:47:44 | (anonymous) 0x3922…3aa4 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf906e6… |
| 10-25 06:47:44 | (anonymous) 0xa96a…6999 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x1d276e… |
| 10-25 06:47:44 | Medium-Bassoon 0xb816…9e90 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x1d276e… |
| 10-25 06:47:38 | (anonymous) 0xa96a…6999 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8dcd94… |
| 10-25 06:47:38 | Medium-Bassoon 0xb816…9e90 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8dcd94… |
| 10-25 06:47:33 | (anonymous) 0xa96a…6999 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc50362… |
| 10-25 06:47:33 | (anonymous) 0x3922…3aa4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc50362… |
| 10-25 06:47:29 | (anonymous) 0xa96a…6999 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x6cb184… |
| 10-25 06:47:29 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x6cb184… |
| 10-25 06:47:23 | (anonymous) 0xa96a…6999 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf303fc… |
| 10-25 06:47:23 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf303fc… |
| 10-25 06:47:18 | (anonymous) 0xa96a…6999 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x4074c4… |
| 10-25 06:47:18 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x4074c4… |
| 10-25 06:47:14 | (anonymous) 0xa96a…6999 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5a1e10… |
| 10-25 06:47:14 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5a1e10… |
| 10-25 06:42:54 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x852b7f… |
| 10-25 06:42:54 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x852b7f… |
| 10-25 06:42:06 | Worried-Robe 0xeedb…59e5 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 98¢ | $88 | 0x0497dc… |
| 10-25 06:42:06 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6d3a9a… |
| 10-25 06:42:06 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 69 | 99¢ | $69 | 0x6d3a9a… |
| 10-25 06:42:06 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | SELL | 186 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x0497dc… |
| 10-25 06:42:06 | Anxious-Run 0x57dc…414b | Yes | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x6d3a9a… |
| 10-25 06:42:06 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6d3a9a… |
| 10-25 06:42:06 | Medium-Bassoon 0xb816…9e90 | Yes | BUY | 234 | 99¢ | $232 | 0x6d3a9a… |
| 10-25 06:42:06 | Intent-Ton 0xa36d…3654 | No | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6d3a9a… |
| 10-25 06:42:06 | (anonymous) 0xa24d…3065 | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6d3a9a… |
| 10-25 06:42:06 | Anxious-Run 0x57dc…414b | Yes | SELL | 96 | 98¢ | $94 | 0x0497dc… |
| 10-25 06:42:05 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | BUY | 65 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x17a0b4… |
| 10-25 06:42:05 | Shocking-Sort 0xaee7…37fe | Yes | SELL | 209 | 97¢ | $203 | 0x17a0b4… |
| 10-25 06:42:05 | Distorted-Twig 0xc528…da27 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x17a0b4… |
| 10-25 06:42:05 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | Yes | BUY | 281 | 97¢ | $272 | 0x17a0b4… |
| 10-25 06:41:56 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 186 | 5¢ | $9 | 0x7052ad… |
| 10-25 06:41:56 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x7052ad… |
| 10-25 06:41:56 | Medium-Bassoon 0xb816…9e90 | Yes | BUY | 950 | 95¢ | $900 | 0x7052ad… |
| 10-25 06:41:56 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 318 | 5¢ | $16 | 0x7052ad… |
| 10-25 06:41:56 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7052ad… |
| 10-25 06:41:56 | (anonymous) 0x0d86…c264 | No | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x7052ad… |
| 10-25 06:41:56 | Shameless-Workout-Orchard 0x4d86…1cb2 | No | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x7052ad… |
| 10-25 06:41:56 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7052ad… |
| 10-25 06:41:56 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x7052ad… |