Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.60K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.11K

Hit rate

92.7%

Resolved

Trades

497

lifetime

Volume

$126.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$254

Open exposure

$13.4K

9 positions

First seen

2026-08-05

last 11-05 09:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

78% 84% +$10,419

Politics

22% 57% -$2,816

Sports

1% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	+11,105	$6,903	58¢	$6.4K	-$507	11-03 07:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	+4,802	$3,546	78¢	$3.8K	+$224	11-03 10:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	+2,648	$2,272	92¢	$2.4K	+$177	11-04 17:27
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	+1,361	$460	31¢	$422	-$38	10-11 20:55
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+167	$125	98¢	$163	+$38	11-01 20:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	+475	$191	29¢	$138	-$53	11-03 07:26
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 6, 2026?	Yes	+53	$50	88¢	$47	-$3	11-05 09:20
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	+751	$867	3¢	$20	-$847	11-02 20:15
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	+596	$116	2¢	$12	-$104	09-02 14:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	39	$24.4K	23,145	16,283	+6,862	No	+$2,373	10-23 10:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	42	$19.8K	13,834	13,612	+222	No	+$4,310	09-24 16:50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	21	$12.7K	19,790	8,685	+11,105	open	—	11-03 07:26
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	24	$8.0K	8,625	8,625	+0	open	—	08-27 17:10
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	11	$7.2K	4,970	4,970	+0	No	+$1,234	08-17 10:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	8	$5.3K	6,170	0	+6,170	No	+$859	10-06 17:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	3	$5.3K	3,135	3,135	+0	open	—	10-17 15:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	4	$4.6K	4,786	0	+4,786	No	+$197	11-02 18:36
us announces end of iranian blockade by november 30 2026	9	$3.5K	4,802	0	+4,802	open	—	11-03 10:48
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	7	$3.5K	2,424	2,424	+0	No	+$264	08-17 11:27
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	5	$3.3K	2,036	2,036	+0	No	+$760	08-15 16:25
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	22	$2.5K	41,715	0	+41,715	Yes	-$2,504	10-23 16:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	4	$2.3K	2,648	0	+2,648	open	—	11-04 17:27
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	7	$2.0K	2,171	19	+2,151	No	+$152	10-10 06:26
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	9	$1.4K	5,313	4,561	+751	open	—	11-02 20:15
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	2	$1.1K	658	658	+0	No	+$110	08-16 11:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	2	$1.1K	568	568	+0	No	+$11	08-09 11:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	2	$1.1K	625	625	+0	No	+$94	09-04 08:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	8	$1.0K	1,256	92	+1,164	No	+$317	09-19 09:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$1000	641	641	+0	open	—	09-26 01:08
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	2	$795	533	533	+0	Islam Makhachev	-$5	08-15 19:28
putin meets with iranian officials by august 31 20260702174616624	3	$794	561	561	+0	Yes	+$194	08-21 10:54
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	2	$743	406	406	+0	Yes	+$43	10-16 03:51
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?	3	$699	432	327	+105	Yes	+$4	10-03 19:04
will russia target kyiv on october 17 2026	7	$667	396	396	+0	No	+$11	10-23 15:20
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	7	$622	1,193	160	+1,033	Yes	-$470	10-21 15:42
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	4	$598	546	546	+0	open	—	09-10 08:23
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	1	$557	593	0	+593	No	+$36	08-09 11:32
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 9, 2026?	7	$488	272	272	+0	Yes	-$12	10-09 08:15
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	3	$460	1,361	0	+1,361	open	—	10-11 20:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 09:21:13	Will Russia target Kyiv on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	93¢	$60	0x8c9e04…
11-05 09:20:54	Will Russia target Kyiv on November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x242e03…
11-04 19:57:22	NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?	Yes	SELL	320	15¢	$48	0x2619f5…
11-04 17:27:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	400	83¢	$332	0x3c8d65…
11-04 11:35:31	NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?	Yes	BUY	313	31¢	$97	0xd90952…
11-04 10:53:07	NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x8cecf6…
11-03 18:51:10	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	154	73¢	$112	0x182938…
11-03 10:48:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	855	76¢	$650	0xb97e2c…
11-03 07:26:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x777569…
11-03 07:26:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	168	60¢	$100	0xdd6146…
11-03 07:25:49	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0x359ccc…
11-03 07:25:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,512	86¢	$1,300	0x2f86b8…
11-03 03:45:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	120	87¢	$104	0xe9e44b…
11-02 20:15:01	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,280	3¢	$105	0xab451f…
11-02 18:36:25	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	110	97¢	$107	0x207823…
11-02 18:35:57	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	78¢	$108	0x4dbd00…
11-01 20:43:01	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	169	74¢	$125	0x6a8eb9…
11-01 20:40:51	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	75¢	$125	0x9f2337…
11-01 18:04:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	4,140	97¢	$4,000	0x7c69ea…
11-01 17:58:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	616	87¢	$536	0x199b93…
11-01 17:19:01	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	71¢	$72	0x6e841e…
10-31 07:50:22	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	525	90¢	$472	0x0aad81…
10-31 06:43:13	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	83¢	$51	0x916de2…
10-31 06:34:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x368571…
10-28 20:47:35	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	223	87¢	$194	0x430a33…
10-28 12:54:32	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	86¢	$61	0xc56671…
10-26 21:08:50	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	63¢	$70	0x9d5c0a…
10-26 16:26:56	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x840f87…
10-26 16:25:59	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	66¢	$92	0xeb883b…
10-25 12:48:06	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	7¢	$28	0x018303…
10-25 10:13:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	44	43¢	$19	0xd4adb7…
10-25 10:10:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xd243da…
10-24 06:47:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x7ca904…
10-24 06:46:03	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xb7d7ed…
10-24 06:45:51	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x857a8a…
10-24 04:38:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	133	43¢	$57	0x8c63b7…
10-24 04:36:24	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xbc7e4e…
10-24 04:35:50	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	89¢	$41	0x7f6fdb…
10-24 04:33:42	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	86¢	$120	0xb1a9ef…
10-23 16:04:05	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,464	2¢	$30	0x9962be…
10-23 15:20:27	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	108	96¢	$104	0x9d998a…
10-23 11:21:14	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,200	1¢	$102	0x0ce5c1…
10-23 10:48:26	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	110	93¢	$102	0x1e0c99…
10-23 10:29:56	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	574	3¢	$17	0xd004b9…
10-23 10:29:54	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xf04b47…
10-23 10:29:54	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,324	3¢	$40	0x0ee039…
10-23 09:55:15	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	512	3¢	$15	0xa13639…
10-23 08:58:23	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	3¢	$150	0x7daf27…
10-23 08:42:03	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	781	4¢	$30	0x2fbdde…
10-23 08:31:36	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,661	4¢	$100	0xbdad79…
10-23 08:28:27	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,575	4¢	$100	0xd49138…
10-23 08:26:38	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,384	4¢	$100	0x6c9a56…
10-23 08:24:21	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,094	5¢	$100	0x952155…
10-23 08:20:48	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,142	5¢	$100	0x024c80…
10-23 08:11:05	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,064	5¢	$50	0x7d59d6…
10-23 08:07:50	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,001	5¢	$100	0xb4cfa6…
10-23 08:03:09	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,916	5¢	$100	0x6d29a0…
10-23 08:00:57	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	SELL	107	97¢	$103	0x5e13af…
10-23 07:54:09	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,742	4¢	$100	0xf6799b…
10-23 07:51:32	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	4¢	$9	0xc05540…
10-23 06:34:26	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	413	39¢	$160	0xf0d92c…
10-21 16:33:45	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x555e4c…
10-21 16:27:44	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x39bb2f…
10-21 15:42:45	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	172	27¢	$46	0xea43f9…
10-21 12:32:30	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0x5ba922…
10-20 14:35:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	526	70¢	$368	0x1b7ee4…
10-20 14:21:14	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	132	70¢	$92	0x13fabe…
10-19 14:13:44	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	343	70¢	$240	0x95e6c9…
10-19 13:17:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,494	89¢	$4,000	0x870755…
10-19 13:13:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0xa227ae…
10-19 12:11:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	271	74¢	$200	0xc2114f…
10-19 09:40:18	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	85¢	$70	0xa42075…
10-19 09:39:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	88¢	$63	0xa202f5…
10-19 09:38:32	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x3612da…
10-19 09:37:24	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xbe4589…
10-19 03:52:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	798	63¢	$500	0x3364aa…
10-18 15:25:30	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	248	41¢	$101	0x57d1a3…
10-17 23:26:47	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x784bd2…
10-17 16:13:20	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	146	90¢	$131	0x93270e…
10-17 16:09:18	will russia target kyiv on october 17 2026	No	SELL	33	24¢	$8	0xe3e0da…
10-17 16:05:14	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xf0f4bd…
10-17 15:38:59	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x421bb2…
10-17 15:35:20	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xe82e98…
10-17 15:34:48	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x840777…
10-17 15:22:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,135	88¢	$2,759	0x2b58e3…
10-17 14:15:41	will russia target kyiv on october 17 2026	No	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x251310…
10-17 07:46:33	will russia target kyiv on october 17 2026	Yes	SELL	254	89¢	$227	0xd8498e…
10-16 11:54:34	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,021	49¢	$500	0xf553fe…
10-16 11:51:06	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	704	85¢	$600	0x23c76d…
10-16 06:30:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,144	65¢	$4,000	0x8653ce…
10-16 06:24:49	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,304	65¢	$1,500	0x70e8cd…
10-16 03:51:18	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	406	97¢	$393	0x49c47d…
10-15 16:25:43	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,579	63¢	$1,000	0xcd21cd…
10-15 07:11:22	will russia target kyiv on october 18 2026	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x7d3c5c…
10-15 07:08:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	603	83¢	$500	0x9a11c3…
10-14 14:40:09	will russia target kyiv on october 18 2026	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x591833…
10-14 14:37:58	will russia target kyiv on october 17 2026	Yes	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0xb49e56…
10-14 10:39:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by november 30 2026	No	BUY	1,000	76¢	$760	0x47a034…
10-13 20:49:54	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	77¢	$100	0x0e26da…
10-13 20:48:19	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xe2fcc7…