Realized P&L
-$172
Unrealized P&L
+$164
Hit rate
23.8%
Resolved
9
Trades
7,981
lifetime
Volume
$205.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$722
18 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 07-23 05:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
49% 38% $-168
Other
35% 0% $-4
Crypto
15%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 487 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -4,924 $-109 $-116 $-7 06-05 08:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -382 $-83 30¢ $-113 $-30 06-07 19:41
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -4,750 $-148 $-100 +$48 05-29 07:40
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -6,925 $-97 $-93 +$4 06-05 19:51
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -3,817 $-141 $-86 +$55 05-29 07:45
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes -747 $-74 $-41 +$33 06-30 04:16
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? Yes -1,180 $-47 $-32 +$15 07-02 21:38
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -2,053 $-40 $-30 +$10 07-10 11:34
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +1,314 $8 $23 +$15 07-05 23:33
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes -300 $-23 $-23 +$0 07-20 16:02
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -2,003 $-20 $-19 +$1 06-05 19:49
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -222 $-20 $-19 +$1 06-06 08:32
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -436 $-22 $-14 +$7 06-11 18:23
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -338 $-10 $-7 +$3 06-02 01:16
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? Yes -170 $-8 $-5 +$3 06-16 22:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +73 $-19 $1 +$20 07-02 01:01
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -0 $17 $-0 $-17 06-05 08:11
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes -0 $-1 $-0 +$1 07-03 14:39