Realized P&L
-$172
Unrealized P&L
+$125
Hit rate
23.8%
Resolved
9
Trades
6,669
lifetime
Volume
$192.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$857
29 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 06-09 11:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
51% 38% $-168
Other
34% 0% $-4
Crypto
14%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 711 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -4,750 $-148 $-131 +$17 05-29 07:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -200 $-52 61¢ $-122 $-70 05-29 23:17
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -4,924 $-109 $-113 $-4 06-05 08:07
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -6,925 $-97 $-93 +$4 06-05 19:51
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -3,817 $-141 $-90 +$52 05-29 07:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -382 $-83 18¢ $-67 +$16 06-07 19:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes -3,088 $-52 $-42 +$11 06-01 12:05
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -2,003 $-20 $-27 $-7 06-05 19:49
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -222 $-20 $-19 +$1 06-06 08:32
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? Yes -3,000 $-30 $-18 +$12 06-06 11:36
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? Yes -1,796 $-36 $-15 +$21 05-28 10:56
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes +235 $10 $15 +$5 05-31 08:05
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June? Yes -922 $-33 $-14 +$19 05-31 11:08
Trump out as President by June 30? Yes -2,122 $-23 $-14 +$9 06-07 22:05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? Yes -250 $-32 $-14 +$18 06-02 06:28
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -262 $-13 $-9 +$4 06-07 11:56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes -652 $-12 $-9 +$3 06-09 00:12
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -338 $-10 $-8 +$2 06-02 01:16
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? Yes -345 $-24 $-8 +$17 05-31 07:31
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June? Yes -1,029 $-15 $-7 +$8 06-09 00:13
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? Yes +157 $1 $7 +$6 06-09 11:43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes -429 $-20 $-6 +$14 05-29 04:15
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? Yes -7 $-2 88¢ $-6 $-4 05-28 17:55
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -53 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-02 15:08
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June? Yes -19 $-2 $-1 +$2 05-28 03:12
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-04 18:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June? Yes -85 $9 $-0 $-9 06-09 00:13
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -0 $17 $-0 $-17 06-05 08:11
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June? Yes -0 $2 $-0 $-2 05-30 10:29