Realized P&L
-$172
Unrealized P&L
+$125
Hit rate
23.8%
Resolved
9
Trades
6,669
lifetime
Volume
$192.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$857
29 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 06-09 11:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
51%
38%
$-168
Other
34%
0%
$-4
Crypto
14%
—
—
Tech
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk
• peak 711 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 557 | $19.9K | 41,738 | 40,956 | +782 | open | — | 05-29 20:24 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 469 | $15.9K | 48,456 | 52,414 | -3,958 | open | — | 05-29 18:45 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 204 | $6.7K | 39,231 | 38,048 | +1,183 | open | — | 05-10 20:24 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | 229 | $6.7K | 12,991 | 15,084 | -2,093 | open | — | 05-14 00:01 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | 160 | $6.5K | 14,549 | 17,204 | -2,655 | open | — | 05-28 11:46 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026 | 159 | $6.1K | 11,617 | 12,206 | -589 | open | — | 04-27 15:51 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | 154 | $5.8K | 8,357 | 7,762 | +596 | open | — | 05-12 19:23 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | 124 | $5.0K | 13,787 | 12,385 | +1,402 | No | $-410 | 05-09 05:07 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | 199 | $4.7K | 11,163 | 10,738 | +425 | open | — | 04-29 08:48 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | 215 | $4.5K | 16,328 | 17,454 | -1,126 | open | — | 04-28 17:28 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | 140 | $4.5K | 22,309 | 22,894 | -586 | open | — | 05-27 06:02 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | 97 | $4.4K | 28,017 | 35,429 | -7,412 | open | — | 05-14 10:01 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | 232 | $4.3K | 56,927 | 66,108 | -9,180 | open | — | 04-28 13:03 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | 170 | $4.3K | 6,565 | 6,067 | +498 | open | — | 05-01 18:30 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | 201 | $4.1K | 24,917 | 29,524 | -4,606 | open | — | 05-28 01:32 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | 104 | $4.0K | 15,028 | 14,890 | +138 | open | — | 05-30 18:03 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | 129 | $4.0K | 15,420 | 15,981 | -562 | open | — | 05-13 10:17 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | 79 | $3.4K | 4,550 | 4,372 | +179 | open | — | 05-11 14:01 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | 119 | $3.3K | 36,327 | 41,040 | -4,713 | open | — | 05-27 13:39 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? | 104 | $3.2K | 44,895 | 49,720 | -4,824 | open | — | 05-26 04:18 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | 117 | $3.1K | 10,416 | 11,150 | -734 | No | $-7 | 05-03 00:39 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 109 | $2.9K | 41,237 | 49,064 | -7,826 | open | — | 05-29 11:05 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | 89 | $2.8K | 29,615 | 29,128 | +488 | open | — | 05-07 21:34 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | 89 | $2.6K | 14,322 | 14,322 | +0 | Yes | $-19 | 05-07 16:46 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | 104 | $2.5K | 11,313 | 11,313 | +0 | open | — | 05-06 01:36 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | 92 | $2.4K | 2,915 | 3,137 | -221 | open | — | 05-12 15:11 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 78 | $2.2K | 35,113 | 34,342 | +771 | open | — | 05-07 15:49 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | 76 | $2.2K | 47,949 | 44,823 | +3,126 | open | — | 05-23 21:28 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | 73 | $2.1K | 3,626 | 3,361 | +265 | Yes | +$233 | 05-08 18:50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April? | 78 | $2.1K | 2,646 | 2,638 | +8 | open | — | 04-28 04:33 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | 150 | $1.75M | 28,120 | 06-10 03:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | 130 | $7.31K | 5,542 | 06-10 02:43 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | 123 | $40.8M | 64,229 | 06-10 03:08 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | 123 | $106.6K | 1,637 | 06-08 20:17 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | 118 | $490.3K | 44,158 | 06-10 02:11 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | 114 | $26.8K | 1,089 | 06-09 14:42 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | 106 | $1.21M | 15,812 | 06-10 02:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x22f1…6415 | 106 | $214.9K | 23,140 | 06-10 03:10 |