Sarcastic-Commandment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.85K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

Trades

11,576

lifetime

Volume

$10.5M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$905

Open exposure

$66

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 21:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Politics

54% 75% +$1,753

Other

25% 98% +$44

Crypto

18% 100% +$52

Sports

2% 100% +$5

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 445 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	+53	$37	71¢	$38	+$1	06-04 23:29
Obama federally charged before 2027?	No	-25	$-24	94¢	$-24	+$1	06-06 20:38
2026 FIFA World Cup: Winless Team?	Yes	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	06-04 23:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	185	$1.11M	586,546	531,664	+54,882	open	—	04-08 01:40
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	435	$771.9K	370,905	414,438	-43,533	open	—	03-04 18:54
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	146	$551.7K	264,542	288,399	-23,857	open	—	01-04 17:25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	125	$461.1K	367,146	105,431	+261,714	open	—	06-04 00:34
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	231	$444.2K	179,885	306,187	-126,302	open	—	04-30 23:30
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	79	$378.3K	163,461	221,721	-58,261	open	—	04-30 21:59
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	59	$226.1K	68,404	157,941	-89,537	open	—	04-20 23:28
Will the US strike Iran next?	53	$225.5K	225,739	2,529	+223,210	open	—	01-11 00:50
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	147	$190.5K	55,579	138,101	-82,522	open	—	02-03 05:10
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	75	$176.9K	48,687	129,025	-80,338	open	—	02-03 22:32
will the us next strike iran on march 1 2026 et	51	$149.3K	149,482	0	+149,482	open	—	02-28 13:06
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	14	$133.8K	112,019	22,019	+90,000	open	—	06-07 22:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	18	$119.4K	118,806	945	+117,861	open	—	04-08 01:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	25	$105.6K	68,074	43,909	+24,165	open	—	05-30 05:29
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	46	$102.9K	92,741	10,318	+82,423	open	—	04-16 15:38
will the us strike iran next 433	29	$95.1K	82,823	12,425	+70,398	open	—	01-23 23:38
Will the US strike Iran next?	28	$88.0K	80,186	8,018	+72,168	open	—	01-27 23:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	51	$87.0K	53,864	34,297	+19,567	open	—	04-17 20:25
Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?	7	$85.6K	42,888	42,883	+5	open	—	04-23 18:12
Will Trump dance today?	53	$83.3K	40,905	81,239	-40,334	open	—	04-28 21:15
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$80.6K	80,510	510	+80,000	open	—	02-15 05:02
will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	49	$77.3K	77,414	0	+77,414	open	—	06-05 17:37
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	9	$75.1K	15,154	60,000	-44,846	open	—	04-21 21:22
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	4	$74.9K	55,000	20,000	+35,000	open	—	04-12 22:18
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	37	$72.5K	2,032	139,156	-137,125	open	—	04-30 23:19
will bitcoin dip to 80k in february 2026 869 956	26	$71.4K	35,348	46,017	-10,669	open	—	02-01 06:17
military action against iran ends by june 30 2026	24	$70.9K	68,169	2,968	+65,201	open	—	04-12 22:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	78	$70.9K	76,317	99,857	-23,540	Yes	+$1,239	05-09 19:26
acn sen mar 2026 01 18 sen	39	$69.0K	68,672	500	+68,172	open	—	01-18 23:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	23	$65.0K	65,566	1,533	+64,034	open	—	03-03 20:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 21:22:15	wwcquefa fra ire 2026 06 09 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0de0e3…
06-09 19:06:55	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xfba16f…
06-09 19:06:09	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x919e73…
06-09 19:04:36	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xd7f5cb…
06-09 19:03:42	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xd70409…
06-09 19:03:10	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe8193d…
06-09 19:03:10	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcdde39…
06-09 19:03:09	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	7,074	100¢	$7,066	0x03c4ad…
06-09 18:55:42	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	361	100¢	$360	0x90544d…
06-09 18:53:09	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xc18dbf…
06-09 18:51:24	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	2,153	100¢	$2,149	0x40de3e…
06-09 18:45:15	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6febef…
06-09 18:44:48	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$95	0xe6aaff…
06-09 18:44:18	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x476c30…
06-09 18:43:55	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0xdad179…
06-09 18:43:55	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x99df5a…
06-09 18:43:52	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x6aaea1…
06-09 18:39:54	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x317539…
06-09 18:39:52	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1,230	100¢	$1,227	0xdd9ebf…
06-09 18:20:49	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	3,511	100¢	$3,504	0x42f78e…
06-09 18:20:10	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1,489	100¢	$1,486	0xc787ff…
06-09 18:18:51	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x985655…
06-09 18:11:10	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0xbf4451…
06-09 18:09:52	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x91c1ac…
06-09 07:45:57	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x30cb11…
06-08 22:30:19	will apple announce ios 27 during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	556	100¢	$555	0x56b56b…
06-08 11:34:22	Spread: Syria (-2.5)	Bahrain	BUY	86	49¢	$42	0x5fda0b…
06-08 00:20:00	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	783	100¢	$781	0xf45985…
06-08 00:19:16	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1ceafc…
06-08 00:17:24	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x2a66be…
06-08 00:11:46	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xe41f36…
06-07 23:59:33	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x9616ce…
06-07 23:56:51	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7fc52b…
06-07 23:34:24	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x554178…
06-07 23:29:46	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x0c6f21…
06-07 23:28:27	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x115a98…
06-07 23:25:30	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xf08d39…
06-07 23:24:43	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc5623a…
06-07 23:18:00	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0x909fd5…
06-07 23:15:03	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xeb7d70…
06-07 23:04:55	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	882	100¢	$879	0xa08c98…
06-07 23:04:37	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x312b33…
06-07 23:04:31	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x411eaa…
06-07 23:04:30	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc90ac7…
06-07 23:03:12	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	1,595	100¢	$1,590	0xfd944d…
06-07 23:00:36	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,373	100¢	$2,366	0xc3b722…
06-07 23:00:04	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	SELL	430	100¢	$429	0xc8c229…
06-07 22:57:37	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x871e6f…
06-07 22:57:16	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6abe97…
06-07 22:55:54	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	163	0¢	$1	0x51c66c…
06-07 22:55:51	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x54c309…
06-07 22:55:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	937	100¢	$935	0xd50ef6…
06-07 22:55:03	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa5cd3d…
06-07 22:54:58	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdd724a…
06-07 22:54:16	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x39f383…
06-07 22:54:15	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd6fde7…
06-07 22:54:10	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2fda36…
06-07 22:54:09	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb3c5fc…
06-07 22:53:42	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x4fdc15…
06-07 22:53:09	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3,028	100¢	$3,022	0x230c71…
06-07 22:52:39	iran closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	SELL	4,500	100¢	$4,496	0x295513…
06-07 22:52:15	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x7cb508…
06-07 22:51:48	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x706e00…
06-07 22:51:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xff7146…
06-07 22:51:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xdce98e…
06-07 22:51:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xbb5846…
06-07 22:51:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x966453…
06-07 22:51:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	5,834	100¢	$5,816	0x65607e…
06-07 22:51:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x36aac0…
06-07 22:51:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x301928…
06-07 22:51:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x2daadb…
06-07 22:51:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x09eb39…
06-07 22:51:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x0966ca…
06-07 22:50:48	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xf73502…
06-07 22:50:13	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	413	99¢	$409	0xf4a83a…
06-07 22:50:13	iran closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x0305b9…
06-07 22:49:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2,000	97¢	$1,946	0xdbbf1d…
06-07 22:49:40	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	235	99¢	$232	0xfc6bd2…
06-07 22:49:40	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2,000	97¢	$1,946	0xb86aa8…
06-07 22:49:40	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	622	99¢	$613	0xa5db2e…
06-07 22:49:40	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,980	0x6c7f2f…
06-07 22:49:40	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,980	0x5ec51a…
06-07 22:49:40	iran closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,980	0x3f5aad…
06-07 22:49:40	iran closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,980	0x29fcf2…
06-07 22:49:39	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	195	99¢	$193	0x81565f…
06-07 22:49:39	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,978	0x48612e…
06-07 22:49:39	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,964	0x24fb90…
06-07 22:49:37	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2,000	97¢	$1,946	0x117e72…
06-07 22:49:31	iran closes its airspace by june 22	Yes	BUY	556	99¢	$553	0x5af0ff…
06-07 22:43:51	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	Yes	SELL	1,928	0¢	$2	0x9a8dc5…
06-07 22:27:52	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	498	3¢	$16	0xf004db…
06-07 22:27:49	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x8284d4…
06-07 22:26:57	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x973af4…
06-07 22:26:55	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x86d591…
06-07 22:26:54	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x8fbd81…
06-07 22:26:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	597	3¢	$17	0xd46307…
06-07 22:26:34	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x18d6d6…
06-07 21:41:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	147	95¢	$140	0x61a2b8…
06-07 21:38:48	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x6bc17b…
06-07 21:38:48	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	1,013	95¢	$962	0x5d4c61…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	382	$194.8K	18,073	06-09 15:29
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	382	$67.7K	12,677	06-09 00:23
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	360	$80.3K	27,371	06-09 17:08
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	321	$1.76M	32,094	06-08 00:27
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	315	$43.0M	51,140	06-09 17:22
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	270	$808.1K	59,842	06-01 04:51
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	268	$18.8K	9,785	06-08 17:44
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	261	$331.4K	1,933	06-08 20:17