Realized P&L (90d)
+$1.16K
Unrealized P&L
+$192
Hit rate
93.2%
Resolved (90d)
356
Trades (90d)
1,199
14,939 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$468.3K
$12.9M lifetime
Avg / trade
$864
Open exposure
$2.99K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 13:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 259 days
Categories
Politics
53% 85% +$16,010
Other
27% 93% +$1,513
Crypto
14% 81% +$9,852
Sports
4% 96% +$2,004
Tech
1% 100% +$197
Pop-Culture
0% 85% -$60
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 186 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? No +1,576 $1,163 86¢ $1.3K +$184 09-28 16:45
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,050 $804 68¢ $719 -$85 10-20 08:24
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +592 $518 97¢ $573 +$56 08-16 13:34
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +206 $169 88¢ $180 +$12 10-06 19:30
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -50 -$47 96¢ $-48 $0 07-25 03:55
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? No +60 $33 75¢ $45 +$12 10-02 18:48
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 Yes +300 $27 14¢ $40 +$14 08-21 23:00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +44 $1 48¢ $21 +$20 10-26 02:02
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 08-16 14:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +30 $14 11¢ $3 -$10 10-17 23:04
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +86 $14 3¢ $3 -$11 06-24 19:45
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +5 $2 34¢ $2 $0 10-09 20:06
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No +10 $2 14¢ $1 $0 08-27 14:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1 -$2 93¢ $1 +$3 10-18 03:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1 -$9 90¢ $1 +$10 08-25 18:35
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes -25 -$3 3¢ $-1 +$2 04-29 09:20
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +100 $10 1¢ $1 -$9 10-05 20:41
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +21 -$4 3¢ $1 +$4 09-15 20:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? Yes +100 $7 0¢ $0 -$7 10-17 12:46