Realized P&L (24h)
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$132
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved (24h)
13
Trades (24h)
13
15,202 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$11.6K
$13.8M lifetime
Avg / trade
$908
Open exposure
$2.90K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 02:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 262 days
Categories
Politics
53% 85% +$16,010
Other
27% 93% +$1,550
Crypto
14% 81% +$9,834
Sports
4% 96% +$2,005
Tech
1% 100% +$197
Pop-Culture
0% 85% -$60
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? No +1,576 $1,163 82¢ $1.3K +$137 09-28 16:45
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,050 $804 64¢ $667 -$137 10-20 08:24
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +592 $518 97¢ $576 +$58 08-16 13:34
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +206 $169 88¢ $180 +$12 10-06 19:30
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -50 -$47 96¢ $-48 -$1 07-25 03:55
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? No +60 $33 75¢ $45 +$12 10-02 18:48
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 Yes +300 $27 14¢ $40 +$14 08-21 23:00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +44 $1 44¢ $20 +$19 10-26 02:02
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes — +9,420 $4 0¢ $14 +$10 06-22 03:02
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 08-16 14:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +86 $14 3¢ $3 -$11 06-24 19:45
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No +10 $2 28¢ $3 +$1 08-27 14:50
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +5 $2 29¢ $1 $0 10-09 20:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1 -$2 90¢ $1 +$3 10-18 03:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1 -$9 92¢ $1 +$10 08-25 18:35
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes -25 -$3 3¢ $-1 +$2 04-29 09:20
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +21 -$4 3¢ $1 +$4 09-15 20:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +5 -$1 1¢ $0 +$1 10-29 22:54