Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.15K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

2,029

Trades

4,500

lifetime

Volume

$2.08M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$461

Open exposure

$7.08K

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-01

last 10-27 01:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

85% 100% +$2,428

Politics

9% 98% +$302

Sports

3% 100% +$59

Crypto

2% 98% -$4,946

Tech

0% 100% +$3

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 310 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No		+4,394	$4,390	100¢	$4.4K	-$2	10-27 01:11
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?	No		+2,700	$2,697	100¢	$2.7K	-$1	10-27 01:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	2	$10.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$0	10-22 19:43
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	2	$9.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$14	10-23 11:36
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	15	$5.9K	2,967	2,967	+0	No	-$3	10-25 09:25
W35 Redding, CA: Vivian Wolff vs Arina Bulatova	2	$5.4K	2,712	2,712	+0	Vivian Wolff	+$0	10-16 04:06
Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Peyton Stearns vs Han Shi	15	$5.4K	5,377	0	+5,377	Han Shi	+$5	10-10 07:29
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-17?	9	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$5	10-17 15:50
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	5	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$5	10-13 16:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?	5	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	10-13 07:41
Wuhan Tennis Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa	11	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Dayana Yastremska	+$5	10-13 08:02
Samsun: Leolia Jeanjean vs Mariam Bolkvadze	7	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Mariam Bolkvadze	+$5	10-07 09:40
Rams vs. Eagles	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Rams	+$5	10-04 20:22
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	10-08 18:43
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Adrian Mannarino	+$5	10-07 06:29
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	10-16 02:46
Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Taylor Fritz	+$5	10-23 16:52
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zhizhen Zhang vs Tomas Machac	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Tomas Machac	+$5	10-07 08:58
Florence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Federico Bondioli	+$5	10-19 15:46
Bengals vs. Dolphins	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Bengals	+$5	10-11 20:16
Olbia: Maks Kasnikowski vs Stefano Travaglia	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Maks Kasnikowski	+$5	10-16 12:27
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	10-08 18:43
China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Alina Charaeva	+$5	10-03 14:50
Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Lorenzo Carboni	+$5	10-12 16:35
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	15	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$5	10-20 18:35
Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Semen Pankin	+$5	10-25 09:30
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Shintaro Mochizuki	+$5	10-05 06:24
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner	11	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	HULIGANI	+$5	10-19 12:55
Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	6	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Corentin Moutet	+$5	10-21 16:55
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-10-10?	11	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$5	10-10 14:08
wta krueger tararud 2026 10 14	21	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Ashlyn Krueger	+$5	10-14 13:09
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-10-24?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	10-24 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 01:38:14	Will Matthew Shoemaker win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0x90673b…
10-27 01:11:50	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?	No	BUY	2,700	100¢	$2,697	0x06999e…
10-27 01:11:41	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	BUY	4,200	100¢	$4,196	0x38f04e…
10-27 01:04:54	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0x2a9830…
10-27 00:00:47	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	283	100¢	$283	0xa791d9…
10-26 23:11:47	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x6c75a2…
10-26 23:10:51	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc80a1c…
10-26 23:06:32	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on October 26?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x850075…
10-26 23:01:11	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x75d68b…
10-26 22:55:30	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x027d9d…
10-26 22:43:17	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7946de…
10-26 22:42:02	Dota 2: Mena Warriors vs Pibbles Corp - Game 1 Winner	Mena Warriors	BUY	262	100¢	$261	0x9d1a47…
10-26 22:18:38	Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$251	0x254351…
10-26 22:16:51	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0xd74f00…
10-26 22:14:48	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa65ac0…
10-26 22:04:35	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc1591c…
10-26 22:02:08	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	405	100¢	$404	0xdb1c85…
10-26 22:01:47	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x627cfa…
10-26 21:58:00	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	1,087	100¢	$1,086	0x4e2bc8…
10-26 21:38:15	Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	No	BUY	1,113	100¢	$1,112	0x168570…
10-26 21:37:12	W75 Toronto: Linea Bajraliu vs Isabella Marton	Linea Bajraliu	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x707d1c…
10-26 21:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33d1e6…
10-26 21:02:56	Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Regular Season	ECSTATIC	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0x40a612…
10-26 21:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	356	100¢	$356	0x938e57…
10-26 19:55:20	Set 1 Winner: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien	Learner Tien	BUY	96	100¢	$95	0xdf30cf…
10-26 19:53:14	W75 Poitiers: Francoise Abanda vs Marine Szostak	Marine Szostak	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x335240…
10-26 19:53:12	W75 Toronto: Michaela Bayerlova vs Theadora Rabman	Michaela Bayerlova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f723d…
10-26 19:51:53	W75 Toronto: Carson Tanguilig vs Anna Tabunshchyk	Carson Tanguilig	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xcd471c…
10-26 19:50:17	W75 Toronto: Michaela Bayerlova vs Theadora Rabman	Michaela Bayerlova	BUY	386	100¢	$386	0x51e296…
10-26 19:43:18	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x288fa4…
10-26 19:33:59	Will there be no next GPT Terra model (5.7+) release by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	404	100¢	$403	0x749652…
10-26 19:24:18	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	1,088	100¢	$1,087	0xcd3abf…
10-26 19:14:54	W75 Toronto: Carson Tanguilig vs Anna Tabunshchyk	Carson Tanguilig	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0xa21737…
10-26 19:12:30	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x88afe1…
10-26 18:43:00	Valorant: SK Nebula vs FENNEL Female - Map 1 Winner	SK Nebula	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08e903…
10-26 18:33:47	W100 New Braunfels, TX: Divna Ratkovic vs Lexington Reed	Lexington Reed	BUY	145	100¢	$144	0x96bd28…
10-26 18:30:29	Will there be no next GPT Terra model (5.7+) release by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd8912a…
10-26 18:18:00	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 26, 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x3c1e87…
10-26 18:16:26	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$58	0xf7804b…
10-26 18:16:26	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$86	0xce7d5b…
10-26 18:13:47	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	224	100¢	$224	0xdcc82a…
10-26 18:11:23	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76c0b1…
10-26 18:11:18	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x98ad8c…
10-26 18:11:18	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x798006…
10-26 18:11:18	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0x46c4e1…
10-26 18:11:18	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x0688ca…
10-26 16:59:05	W15 Neuquén: Luciana Agudelo vs Felicitas Simon Padros	Luciana Agudelo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x18ca81…
10-26 16:49:29	W15 Essen: Milena Steinkamp vs Francesca Parcelli	Francesca Parcelli	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x4dca64…
10-26 16:30:14	W15 Neuquén: Luciana Agudelo vs Felicitas Simon Padros	Luciana Agudelo	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0xe60f99…
10-26 16:23:57	Counter-Strike: Copenhagen Wolves vs WonderKids - Map 2 Winner	Copenhagen Wolves	BUY	292	100¢	$292	0x2547bf…
10-26 16:17:23	W15 Neuquén: Luciana Agudelo vs Felicitas Simon Padros	Luciana Agudelo	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xd5fb1c…
10-26 16:16:02	W75 Toronto: Teah Chavez vs Anastasia Malysheva	Teah Chavez	BUY	314	100¢	$314	0x6fa6ca…
10-26 16:05:47	Set 2 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xde031f…
10-26 16:00:02	Will any other model be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa3579c…
10-26 15:41:05	W15 Neuquén: Luciana Agudelo vs Felicitas Simon Padros	Luciana Agudelo	BUY	221	100¢	$221	0xe9e09a…
10-26 15:40:09	W15 Neuquén: Luciana Agudelo vs Felicitas Simon Padros	Luciana Agudelo	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9015e1…
10-26 15:10:57	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf55a4b…
10-26 14:58:05	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xaeec65…
10-26 14:04:45	Swiss Indoors Basel: Mika Brunold vs Nuno Borges	Nuno Borges	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x025316…
10-26 14:03:14	W15 Taby: Phillippa Preugschat vs Sonja Wedenski	Sonja Wedenski	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f2d8d…
10-26 14:00:57	Swiss Indoors Basel: Mika Brunold vs Nuno Borges	Nuno Borges	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0x819611…
10-26 13:58:45	Swiss Indoors Basel: Mika Brunold vs Nuno Borges	Nuno Borges	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x4863b2…
10-26 13:56:53	Swiss Indoors Basel: Mika Brunold vs Nuno Borges	Nuno Borges	BUY	1,632	100¢	$1,630	0xd6c15a…
10-26 13:54:15	Swiss Indoors Basel: Mika Brunold vs Nuno Borges	Nuno Borges	BUY	2,473	100¢	$2,471	0x52bc7a…
10-26 13:53:44	Swiss Indoors Basel: Mika Brunold vs Nuno Borges	Nuno Borges	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc712a8…
10-26 13:52:44	Swiss Indoors Basel: Mika Brunold vs Nuno Borges	Nuno Borges	BUY	436	100¢	$436	0x1ac2d7…
10-26 13:37:18	Set 1 Winner: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x88e9ea…
10-26 13:37:18	Set 1 Winner: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x63d746…
10-26 13:13:32	Set 1 Winner: Matteo Berrettini vs Tomas Etcheverry	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe302ea…
10-26 13:13:15	Set 1 Winner: Matteo Berrettini vs Tomas Etcheverry	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x108d28…
10-26 12:59:57	W15 Taby: Zi Ying Ruan vs Maja Radenkovic	Maja Radenkovic	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7d6ea7…
10-26 12:41:14	Kyoto Hannaryz vs. Akita Northern Happinets	Kyoto Hannaryz	BUY	464	100¢	$463	0x98b66c…
10-26 10:53:39	Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	498	100¢	$496	0x31f88b…
10-26 10:00:17	Set 1 Winner: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova	Harriet Dart	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x3c2f5c…
10-26 09:32:12	Set 2 Winner: Alexandra Eala vs Mika Stojsavljevic	Alexandra Eala	BUY	393	100¢	$392	0x488c78…
10-26 09:03:00	Set 1 Winner: Paula Badosa vs Carol Young Suh Lee	Paula Badosa	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x136ecb…
10-26 09:01:24	Set 1 Winner: Alexandra Eala vs Mika Stojsavljevic	Alexandra Eala	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xc51092…
10-26 08:44:38	Set 1 Winner: Alexandra Eala vs Mika Stojsavljevic	Alexandra Eala	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x6b9b60…
10-26 08:34:05	Set 2 Winner: Han Shi vs Alevtina Ibragimova	Han Shi	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x42178b…
10-26 08:07:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xce0615…
10-26 07:20:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x12bb12…
10-26 07:05:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	BUY	402	100¢	$401	0x6fa8a2…
10-26 07:05:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	BUY	294	100¢	$294	0xd25b0a…
10-26 07:04:51	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0xc2965c…
10-26 07:03:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x902808…
10-26 06:53:06	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?	No	BUY	1,109	100¢	$1,108	0x7bf6f4…
10-26 06:46:32	W15 Singapore: Aditi Rawat vs Amodini Naik	Aditi Rawat	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9c2beb…
10-26 06:44:17	Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	603	100¢	$602	0x74711e…
10-26 06:16:56	Set 2 Winner: Daria Snigur vs Anna Bondar	Anna Bondar	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb3ed5c…
10-26 06:13:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$214	0x6a35c5…
10-26 06:05:14	Will MiniMax have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7e9022…
10-26 05:56:11	Set 1 Winner: Moyuka Uchijima vs Elise Mertens	Elise Mertens	BUY	38	100¢	$37	0xe2a5e5…
10-26 05:52:15	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x417063…
10-26 04:31:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xddcfa1…
10-26 04:29:41	Set 2 Winner: Panna Udvardy vs Sinja Kraus	Sinja Kraus	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x348914…
10-26 04:23:00	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	684	100¢	$683	0x0c1bf0…
10-26 04:22:24	W15 Singapore: Yuka Matsumoto vs Minxu Zhou	Yuka Matsumoto	BUY	423	100¢	$422	0x336727…
10-26 04:21:44	Set 1 Winner: Panna Udvardy vs Sinja Kraus	Sinja Kraus	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x17316c…
10-26 04:16:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xfbea77…
10-26 04:15:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x42c060…