Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$473

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

96.8%

Resolved

11,782

Trades

13,995

lifetime

Volume

$54.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$53

17 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 11-01 04:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 144 days

Categories

Other

75% 95% -$384

Sports

13% 99% +$12

Politics

8% 100% -$11

Crypto

3% 84% -$92

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 447 trades/day

Open positions (17) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+12	$12	100¢	$12	$0	10-20 00:57
Israeli Knesset election annulled?	No	+9	$9	96¢	$8	$0	10-29 17:28
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+6	$6	91¢	$6	$0	10-11 00:31
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	+4	$4	99¢	$4	+$0	10-20 00:51
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+2	$2	97¢	$2	+$0	10-12 12:53
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	+2	$2	98¢	$2	+$0	10-11 18:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+2	$2	98¢	$2	+$0	10-14 13:05
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+2	$2	98¢	$2	+$0	10-30 05:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	+2	$2	100¢	$2	+$0	10-27 13:22
GTA VI released by October 31?	No	+2	$2	100¢	$2	+$0	10-28 12:18
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	+2	$2	100¢	$2	$0	10-26 11:28
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+2	$2	100¢	$2	$0	10-14 08:55
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+2	$2	100¢	$2	$0	10-12 03:37
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	+2	$2	99¢	$2	$0	10-29 17:54
Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	08-30 20:41
Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	08-30 20:41
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	$0	08-30 20:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: gothboiclique vs The Golden Horde - Map 2 Winner	11	$269	270	0	+270	The Golden Horde	+$1	09-11 19:50
US Boulogne Côte d'Opale vs. FC Nantes: 1st Half O/U 0.5	1	$100	101	0	+101	Under	-$100	09-19 12:41
Exact Score: US Boulogne Côte d'Opale 1 - 0 FC Nantes?	1	$100	112	0	+112	No	+$12	09-19 12:41
Fagiano Okayama vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 2.5	1	$100	102	0	+102	Over	+$2	09-19 11:52
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	11	$83	83	0	+83	No	+$0	10-26 22:51
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk	10	$80	80	0	+80	Metallurg Magnitogorsk	+$0	09-14 13:02
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	9	$77	77	0	+77	No	+$0	10-26 22:50
KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. Torpedo	10	$75	75	0	+75	Torpedo	+$0	09-13 02:28
Exact Score: Alianza FC 0 - 3 CDP Junior FC?	5	$62	32	32	+0	No	-$2	09-12 08:48
Exact Score: Alianza FC 1 - 3 CDP Junior FC?	5	$62	32	32	+0	No	-$2	09-12 08:48
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5	3	$60	40	40	+0	Under	-$20	09-18 10:03
Monagas SC vs. Zamora FC: O/U 2.5	3	$58	58	0	+58	Under	+$0	09-17 01:05
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	10-26 00:17
den lyn sif 2026 09 18 first half total 3pt5	5	$50	50	0	+50	Under	+$0	09-18 19:25
Exact Score: Club Alianza Atlético 3 - 2 CD Comerciantes Unidos?	3	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	09-18 22:03
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5	3	$50	50	0	+50	Over	+$0	09-19 00:32
Will JD Vance say "America" or "American" 10+ times during his remarks in Iowa?	3	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	09-18 17:26
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 12?	7	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	09-13 02:26
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 12?	6	$48	48	0	+48	Yes	+$0	09-13 02:26
cs2 baks cs1 2026 09 15 game2 round handicap cs1 6pt5	9	$48	48	0	+48	BakS eSports	+$0	09-15 13:46
will the announcers say offside during the broncos vs chiefs game 20260915	6	$48	48	0	+48	Yes	+$1	09-15 00:53
Exact Score: Alianza FC 3 - 2 CDP Junior FC?	4	$47	24	24	+0	No	-$1	09-12 08:48
Exact Score: Alianza FC 2 - 3 CDP Junior FC?	4	$47	24	24	+0	No	-$1	09-12 08:48
Exact Score: Alianza FC 3 - 1 CDP Junior FC?	4	$47	24	24	+0	No	-$1	09-12 08:48
Will anyone say "Podcaster" during the Charlie Kirk memorial?	6	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	09-11 09:53
Will CD Coquimbo Unido vs. CD Huachipato end in a draw?	3	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	09-16 21:56
Will Trump say "Hotel" during his bilateral meeting with the Taoiseach of Ireland?	6	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	09-12 15:32
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	6	$45	45	0	+45	Over	+$0	09-15 15:44
US Cremonese vs. Virtus Entella: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	3	$45	45	0	+45	Under	+$0	09-19 16:33
Will Trump say "Hell" during remarks at the Pentagon?	6	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	09-11 15:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 05:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on November 1?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x12e454…
11-01 04:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on November 1?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2f26c5…
11-01 04:44:34	Will Drake release a new album by October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6925d5…
11-01 04:23:28	Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x951c62…
11-01 04:13:40	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb8e45b…
11-01 04:12:03	Meta matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfc44a6…
11-01 04:10:48	Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xce6f27…
11-01 04:10:48	Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x39055d…
11-01 04:10:46	Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2616d5…
11-01 04:10:45	DeepSeek matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x403bdd…
11-01 04:10:40	Alibaba matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2e3b97…
11-01 04:05:10	Will Lauren Boebert resign by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcf4f59…
11-01 04:02:40	Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x08c136…
11-01 04:02:28	Rahul Gandhi arrested by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x61ea16…
11-01 04:02:24	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x952bd8…
11-01 04:02:18	Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x106a29…
11-01 04:02:15	Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaa0eb0…
11-01 04:02:15	Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x15a93f…
11-01 04:02:12	Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb7ddf6…
11-01 04:01:37	Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe4466a…
11-01 04:01:30	Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6bcddf…
11-01 04:01:21	Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6932e5…
11-01 04:01:07	Will Russell Westbrook play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x815fcd…
11-01 04:01:06	Next Token Sale on Coinbase by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbcbc5e…
11-01 04:01:06	Will Valve add first CS2 operation by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9b23dc…
11-01 04:01:03	Will Gemini Spark be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf5b6a5…
11-01 04:01:00	Will Logan Paul return to the WWE ring before October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6aaf48…
11-01 03:05:13	Will Florida State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x151944…
11-01 02:22:07	Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf8307e…
11-01 01:56:37	Cavaliers vs. Bucks	Cavaliers	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1abd07…
11-01 01:54:46	Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x2dc7e7…
11-01 00:08:27	Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x6e97c7…
10-31 23:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa6baa4…
10-31 23:34:55	South Dakota vs. South Dakota State	South Dakota State	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa453ac…
10-31 23:33:37	Will Utah have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd9ae42…
10-31 23:11:13	Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Christian Mbilli	Canelo	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xfaa4d7…
10-31 22:48:09	Spread: Georgia (-13.5)	Georgia	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x26e9d8…
10-31 22:47:42	Spread: Georgia (-11.5)	Georgia	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x496e10…
10-31 22:47:31	Spread: Georgia (-10.5)	Georgia	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x55dcad…
10-31 21:42:37	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x700ce2…
10-31 21:23:46	Spread: Western Carolina (-10.5)	Furman	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x0c1015…
10-31 21:03:57	Will Botafogo FC vs. SC Recife end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6a1b4c…
10-31 21:03:40	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6f6727…
10-31 20:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x69ee31…
10-31 20:16:22	Standard Liege vs. KV Kortrijk: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9c0814…
10-31 20:05:42	Auburn vs. Ole Miss	Ole Miss	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7df3fd…
10-31 19:56:27	Marshall vs. Old Dominion: O/U 45.5	Over	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x274328…
10-31 19:33:15	Exact Score: PFC CSKA Sofia 0 - 1 PFC Slavia Sofia?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3375dd…
10-31 19:15:54	Wisconsin vs. Iowa: O/U 37.5	Under	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcfafbc…
10-31 18:37:30	Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb4699c…
10-31 18:24:13	Fenerbahçe SK leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x46cfdb…
10-31 18:06:07	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x067e04…
10-31 17:32:45	Exact Score: Moreirense FC 2 - 2 CF Estrela da Amadora?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe3a10e…
10-31 16:25:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2f3cb0…
10-31 16:03:12	Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe06011…
10-31 16:03:06	Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x825918…
10-31 16:03:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x09fb6a…
10-31 16:02:57	Will Tencent have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x43b07f…
10-31 16:02:49	Will Meta be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf0dc5c…
10-31 16:02:48	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x97b044…
10-31 16:02:40	Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4fbe63…
10-31 16:02:30	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3b2f1b…
10-31 16:02:24	Will Google be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb1c6ca…
10-31 16:02:24	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x20a611…
10-31 16:02:21	Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd61a8f…
10-31 16:02:19	Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x93be6b…
10-31 16:02:16	Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xe617fc…
10-31 16:02:16	Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x54377e…
10-31 16:02:13	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2bdd6e…
10-31 16:02:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfc9824…
10-31 16:02:07	Will Google have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1c4e7f…
10-31 16:02:04	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xea6186…
10-31 16:01:52	Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x6c8a25…
10-31 16:01:49	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x0b0d82…
10-31 16:01:45	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa1fdaa…
10-31 16:01:43	Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x951a8a…
10-31 16:01:36	Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x0f2daa…
10-31 15:57:19	FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1st Half O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x44398b…
10-31 15:57:16	FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x759a17…
10-31 15:57:12	FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x03ed96…
10-31 15:57:03	FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1e195c…
10-31 15:56:36	FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: FK Livyi Bereh 1st Half O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7e1d8c…
10-31 15:56:28	FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: FK Livyi Bereh 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x30630d…
10-31 15:56:24	FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: FK Livyi Bereh 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x995169…
10-31 15:56:16	FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: FK Livyi Bereh 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x68a783…
10-31 15:55:48	FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score in First Half	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd485ee…
10-31 15:54:48	FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdbf7db…
10-31 15:54:21	FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x97dfa8…
10-31 15:53:45	FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc68a8a…
10-31 15:53:06	Exact Score: FK Livyi Bereh 0 - 0 FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0de40d…
10-31 13:44:39	Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. VfL Osnabrück end in a draw?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcc5ae2…
10-31 13:30:01	Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Hertha BSC end in a draw?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x81e3b6…
10-31 13:00:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0151ce…
10-31 12:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf5ae18…
10-31 12:57:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x231cc6…
10-31 12:53:28	Perth Wildcats vs. Illawarra Hawks: O/U 192.5	Over	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x80510b…
10-31 12:49:58	FC Irtysh Pavlodar vs. FC Ordabasy: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd1c4b4…
10-31 12:28:21	Spread: SV Darmstadt 98 (-2.5)	1. FC Magdeburg	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xac8332…
10-31 12:26:21	Perth Wildcats vs. Illawarra Hawks: O/U 192.5	Over	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x9a5bd7…
10-31 12:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xeede48…