Intent-Ton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.24K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

9,039

Trades

40,269

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-27 11:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 236 days

Categories

Other

74% 29% +$3,160

Sports

14% 29% +$918

Crypto

7% 27% -$37

Politics

5% 55% +$213

Tech

0% 45% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 33% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+5	$0	7¢	$0	+$0	10-27 12:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 4pt5	206	$1.3K	1,568	1,558	+10	Haiti	+$1,278	06-14 16:03
crint hon kwt 2026 03 06 team top batter hon	6	$138	308	137	+172	Yes	+$124	03-07 07:55
nba phx lal 2026 04 10 rebounds mark williams 2pt5	3	$135	95	135	-41	Yes	+$94	04-11 05:00
Medvedev vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 22.5	6	$135	175	135	+40	Over	+$175	04-28 21:32
Birmingham: Completed Match: Clement Chidekh vs Filippo Romano	6	$110	16	111	-95	Yes	+$14	06-02 18:52
Syria leading at halftime?	71	$108	1,603	1,603	+0	No	+$100	06-08 10:25
Vekic vs. Maristany: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	3	$104	96	104	-8	Under	+$83	05-09 12:11
Birrell vs. Boulter: Match O/U 21.5	3	$93	143	92	+51	Over	+$90	05-12 10:23
Set 1 Winner: Birrell vs Boulter	3	$89	200	100	+100	Boulter	+$85	05-12 09:39
Bahrain leading at halftime?	47	$79	814	814	+0	No	+$71	06-08 10:23
cs2 heroa zerote 2026 03 16 game1 odd even total kills	7	$66	34	74	-40	Odd	+$26	03-16 22:53
mlb bos tex 2026 09 15 tb willson contreras 1pt5	5	$63	63	63	+0	Under	+$62	09-16 03:08
itf aoranwa storch 2026 06 10 match total 21pt5	10	$60	121	121	+0	cancelled	+$58	06-10 10:12
ufc kar5 jas3 2026 04 18 win by submission	10	$59	369	60	+310	No	+$73	04-19 01:53
itf aoranwa storch 2026 06 10 match total 23pt5	3	$59	119	119	-0	cancelled	+$57	06-10 10:12
itf aoranwa storch 2026 06 10 match total 22pt5	3	$59	119	119	+0	cancelled	+$57	06-10 10:12
itf aoranwa storch 2026 06 10 set totals 2pt5	3	$59	118	118	+0	cancelled	+$56	06-10 10:12
cs2 crash charra 2026 03 31 game1 odd even total rounds	6	$57	117	56	+60	Odd	+$85	03-31 20:48
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 shots jefferson lerma gte1	2	$56	56	56	+0	No	+$55	07-07 21:43
Suns vs. Pistons: Team to Score First	6	$55	56	56	+0	Suns	+$54	10-08 08:28
Visker vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 23.5	10	$54	106	106	+0	cancelled	+$52	05-02 21:56
bl2 scp bra 2026 03 07 spread home 2pt5	3	$51	98	52	+46	Eintracht Braunschweig	+$49	03-07 13:31
bkbsn ind can 2026 06 28 total 173pt5	2	$50	168	168	+0	Over	+$47	06-28 11:10
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 3?	28	$50	471	86	+385	Yes	+$42	08-04 04:53
Visker vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 22.5	11	$49	107	107	-0	cancelled	+$47	05-02 21:58
Visker vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 21.5	11	$48	108	108	-0	cancelled	+$46	05-02 21:56
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	47	$47	498	498	+0	No	+$40	10-26 03:46
nba tor min 2026 03 05 1h total 111pt5	3	$46	11	52	-41	Under	-$1	03-06 02:14
Niels Visker vs. Michael Mmoh: Total Sets O/U 2.5	11	$43	106	106	+0	cancelled	+$41	05-02 21:49
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 shots luis suarez gte2	6	$43	55	45	+10	Yes	+$42	07-07 22:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:42:06	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x444af4…
10-27 11:33:06	Will the Republican Party hold 40 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xb35215…
10-27 11:33:06	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 41 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x915753…
10-27 11:28:45	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 42 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x4afc1d…
10-27 11:28:18	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x9a10b9…
10-27 11:27:48	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 41 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0xad2143…
10-27 09:36:26	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 42 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x526a8a…
10-27 08:38:57	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 42 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x2be6d7…
10-27 08:14:15	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 41 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xeb11d0…
10-27 08:14:15	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x8f3fbb…
10-27 07:56:41	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 75% or more?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x0eb377…
10-27 07:56:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xeff344…
10-27 06:52:08	Rivier Raiders vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks	Rivier Raiders	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x836ebd…
10-27 06:40:50	Rivier Raiders vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks	Rivier Raiders	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x4aef08…
10-27 06:39:42	Rivier Raiders vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks	Rivier Raiders	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x618518…
10-27 06:38:29	Rivier Raiders vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks	Rivier Raiders	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x1e3c4d…
10-27 06:21:38	Rivier Raiders vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks	Rivier Raiders	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x3d3358…
10-27 03:53:53	will microsoft say agent agentic during earnings call october 28	No	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x52edd0…
10-27 02:33:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x02acd9…
10-27 02:17:27	cbb rivi maslow 2026 11 02	Rivier Raiders	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x78ef13…
10-27 01:31:39	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xa627dc…
10-27 01:31:20	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xfc9afe…
10-27 01:28:48	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xe8a5cb…
10-26 22:19:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xc6cb48…
10-26 22:18:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x5d4734…
10-26 21:35:47	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026-27 NHL Metropolitan Division?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x004266…
10-26 21:01:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 75% or more?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xc69574…
10-26 19:45:59	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x0f77cd…
10-26 19:45:51	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0xeb4ce4…
10-26 19:45:44	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0xdb7fad…
10-26 19:26:03	Will Meta (META) close above $650 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x2f1d73…
10-26 19:15:00	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 26?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xadff75…
10-26 19:01:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xaa9049…
10-26 18:54:03	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 41 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xbb7d98…
10-26 18:54:03	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x8b88c9…
10-26 18:54:03	Will the Republican Party hold 40 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x5cd9a8…
10-26 18:30:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x798272…
10-26 18:28:08	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x92b520…
10-26 18:28:08	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 42 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x72f8ff…
10-26 18:24:06	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x4af87c…
10-26 18:14:45	Will Meta (META) close above $650 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa3d078…
10-26 17:50:59	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xa84612…
10-26 17:36:02	Will Meta (META) close above $650 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x50d9ae…
10-26 17:35:11	Will Meta (META) close above $650 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xe5b9e9…
10-26 17:34:54	Will Meta (META) close above $650 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x0bed31…
10-26 17:24:11	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x1cdfe8…
10-26 16:24:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xa69166…
10-26 14:52:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x23c8e5…
10-26 14:46:50	Sheffield Shield: South Australia vs Western Australia - Match goes to Day 5?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe7c16c…
10-26 14:46:30	Sheffield Shield: South Australia vs Western Australia - Match goes to Day 5?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x889f43…
10-26 14:46:11	Sheffield Shield: South Australia vs Western Australia - Match goes to Day 5?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x58ca7e…
10-26 13:47:17	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xac8fb8…
10-26 13:35:15	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf9bd2a…
10-26 12:32:11	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x9402e3…
10-26 11:05:11	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026-27 NHL Metropolitan Division?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x5c9d2b…
10-26 11:05:11	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026-27 NHL Metropolitan Division?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x1ae1e9…
10-26 11:05:08	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026-27 NHL Metropolitan Division?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xebd350…
10-26 11:05:08	Will the New York Islanders win the 2026-27 NHL Metropolitan Division?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x5cc4fb…
10-26 10:38:59	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026-27 NHL Metropolitan Division?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x4d2764…
10-26 09:34:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x9206ea…
10-26 09:24:08	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x149188…
10-26 09:01:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x447658…
10-26 08:53:59	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x37493c…
10-26 08:04:33	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xb5db9a…
10-26 08:04:33	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 41 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x917338…
10-26 08:04:33	Will the Republican Party hold 40 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x898581…
10-26 08:04:33	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 42 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x1fe0ae…
10-26 05:51:53	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xfbe71a…
10-26 03:46:27	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x8a2ae4…
10-26 02:25:41	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x7a2bdc…
10-26 02:11:35	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 75% or more?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x55ff9e…
10-26 02:06:03	Will the Republican Party hold 40 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x10eba3…
10-26 02:06:02	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0xf79112…
10-26 02:06:02	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 42 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x90365c…
10-26 01:42:36	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	82	1¢	$0	0xa9019d…
10-26 00:53:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xa9fff7…
10-26 00:01:15	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x3face6…
10-25 23:58:00	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xac7421…
10-25 23:53:54	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x20b963…
10-25 23:35:29	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	No	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x8fb099…
10-25 23:33:26	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x5c262e…
10-25 23:31:47	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	No	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x2ee7fc…
10-25 23:30:32	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	No	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x1ea668…
10-25 23:30:21	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	No	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x7e7440…
10-25 23:26:59	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	No	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xa77612…
10-25 23:24:32	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	No	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xb7ffdd…
10-25 23:20:54	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	No	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xdc8d6b…
10-25 23:20:50	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	No	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x776a45…
10-25 23:20:45	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe7473c…
10-25 23:19:38	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	No	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xd130df…
10-25 23:09:14	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x062071…
10-25 23:03:11	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	62	13¢	$8	0x7fe831…
10-25 23:01:20	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0xe710c5…
10-25 22:56:23	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xb6b31e…
10-25 22:44:15	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x8e5d57…
10-25 22:43:56	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	46	18¢	$8	0xdd517e…
10-25 22:42:08	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xb091a5…
10-25 22:41:39	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	66	0¢	$0	0xc75c1a…
10-25 22:41:23	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 41 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	32	5¢	$2	0x5605c1…
10-25 22:41:14	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x08cd5e…