Intent-Ton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.24K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

9,043

Trades

40,304

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-28 01:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 237 days

Categories

Other

73% 29% +$3,160

Sports

14% 29% +$917

Crypto

7% 27% -$37

Politics

5% 55% +$213

Tech

0% 45% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 33% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+3	$0	10¢	$0	+$1	10-28 03:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 4pt5	206	$1.3K	1,568	1,558	+10	Haiti	+$1,278	06-14 16:03
crint hon kwt 2026 03 06 team top batter hon	6	$138	308	137	+172	Yes	+$124	03-07 07:55
nba phx lal 2026 04 10 rebounds mark williams 2pt5	3	$135	95	135	-41	Yes	+$94	04-11 05:00
Medvedev vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 22.5	6	$135	175	135	+40	Over	+$175	04-28 21:32
Birmingham: Completed Match: Clement Chidekh vs Filippo Romano	6	$110	16	111	-95	Yes	+$14	06-02 18:52
Syria leading at halftime?	71	$108	1,603	1,603	+0	No	+$100	06-08 10:25
Vekic vs. Maristany: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	3	$104	96	104	-8	Under	+$83	05-09 12:11
Birrell vs. Boulter: Match O/U 21.5	3	$93	143	92	+51	Over	+$90	05-12 10:23
Set 1 Winner: Birrell vs Boulter	3	$89	200	100	+100	Boulter	+$85	05-12 09:39
Bahrain leading at halftime?	47	$79	814	814	+0	No	+$71	06-08 10:23
cs2 heroa zerote 2026 03 16 game1 odd even total kills	7	$66	34	74	-40	Odd	+$26	03-16 22:53
mlb bos tex 2026 09 15 tb willson contreras 1pt5	5	$63	63	63	+0	Under	+$62	09-16 03:08
itf aoranwa storch 2026 06 10 match total 21pt5	10	$60	121	121	+0	cancelled	+$58	06-10 10:12
ufc kar5 jas3 2026 04 18 win by submission	10	$59	369	60	+310	No	+$73	04-19 01:53
itf aoranwa storch 2026 06 10 match total 23pt5	3	$59	119	119	-0	cancelled	+$57	06-10 10:12
itf aoranwa storch 2026 06 10 match total 22pt5	3	$59	119	119	+0	cancelled	+$57	06-10 10:12
itf aoranwa storch 2026 06 10 set totals 2pt5	3	$59	118	118	+0	cancelled	+$56	06-10 10:12
cs2 crash charra 2026 03 31 game1 odd even total rounds	6	$57	117	56	+60	Odd	+$85	03-31 20:48
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 shots jefferson lerma gte1	2	$56	56	56	+0	No	+$55	07-07 21:43
Suns vs. Pistons: Team to Score First	6	$55	56	56	+0	Suns	+$54	10-08 08:28
Visker vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 23.5	10	$54	106	106	+0	cancelled	+$52	05-02 21:56
bl2 scp bra 2026 03 07 spread home 2pt5	3	$51	98	52	+46	Eintracht Braunschweig	+$49	03-07 13:31
bkbsn ind can 2026 06 28 total 173pt5	2	$50	168	168	+0	Over	+$47	06-28 11:10
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 3?	28	$50	471	86	+385	Yes	+$42	08-04 04:53
Visker vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 22.5	11	$49	107	107	-0	cancelled	+$47	05-02 21:58
Visker vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 21.5	11	$48	108	108	-0	cancelled	+$46	05-02 21:56
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	47	$47	498	498	+0	No	+$40	10-26 03:46
nba tor min 2026 03 05 1h total 111pt5	3	$46	11	52	-41	Under	-$1	03-06 02:14
Niels Visker vs. Michael Mmoh: Total Sets O/U 2.5	11	$43	106	106	+0	cancelled	+$41	05-02 21:49
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 shots luis suarez gte2	6	$43	55	45	+10	Yes	+$42	07-07 22:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:33:49	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x6969ce…
10-28 03:33:09	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x862cc2…
10-28 03:32:16	will the gavle goat burn in 2026	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x46ea62…
10-28 03:25:52	will the gavle goat burn in 2026	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x7a23c8…
10-28 01:31:14	Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)	Blue Jackets	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xcd3692…
10-28 01:31:14	Spread: Blue Jackets (-2.5)	Blue Jackets	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x5b4965…
10-27 23:33:44	Spread: Flyers (-1.5)	Flyers	SELL	7	7¢	$1	0x9a3977…
10-27 23:33:27	Spread: Flyers (-1.5)	Flyers	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x9f44c1…
10-27 23:30:50	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 42 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	32	8¢	$3	0x5aaf66…
10-27 21:33:45	Will Yashar win 28-29 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x22fdcf…
10-27 21:33:20	Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xc9210f…
10-27 21:31:14	Will Yashar win 28-29 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x1fd272…
10-27 21:31:03	Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xf759b1…
10-27 20:52:06	Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x8d5ccd…
10-27 20:40:26	Will Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x16523e…
10-27 20:06:30	Will Yashar win 28-29 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x625a91…
10-27 19:23:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x1f64de…
10-27 18:39:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x4a539f…
10-27 18:28:09	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xdf9728…
10-27 18:24:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x844ffd…
10-27 18:24:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x873fdc…
10-27 18:15:48	Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x89767d…
10-27 17:52:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x6be006…
10-27 17:51:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xed1e81…
10-27 17:51:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x10c33a…
10-27 17:19:23	W15 Sharm ElSheikh: Valentina Suvirdjonkova vs Kristina Dmitruk	Valentina Suvirdjonkova	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x2dc138…
10-27 17:09:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x24c184…
10-27 16:59:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x0be76d…
10-27 16:39:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 40% or more?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x7d7235…
10-27 15:44:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xc779c3…
10-27 15:23:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x54aeba…
10-27 12:52:20	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x958a51…
10-27 12:42:06	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x444af4…
10-27 11:33:06	Will the Republican Party hold 40 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xb35215…
10-27 11:33:06	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 41 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x915753…
10-27 11:28:45	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 42 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x4afc1d…
10-27 11:28:18	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x9a10b9…
10-27 11:27:48	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 41 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0xad2143…
10-27 09:36:26	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 42 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x526a8a…
10-27 08:38:57	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 42 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x2be6d7…
10-27 08:14:15	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 41 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xeb11d0…
10-27 08:14:15	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x8f3fbb…
10-27 07:56:41	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 75% or more?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x0eb377…
10-27 07:56:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xeff344…
10-27 06:52:08	Rivier Raiders vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks	Rivier Raiders	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x836ebd…
10-27 06:40:50	Rivier Raiders vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks	Rivier Raiders	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x4aef08…
10-27 06:39:42	Rivier Raiders vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks	Rivier Raiders	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x618518…
10-27 06:38:29	Rivier Raiders vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks	Rivier Raiders	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x1e3c4d…
10-27 06:21:38	Rivier Raiders vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks	Rivier Raiders	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x3d3358…
10-27 03:53:53	will microsoft say agent agentic during earnings call october 28	No	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x52edd0…
10-27 02:33:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x02acd9…
10-27 02:17:27	cbb rivi maslow 2026 11 02	Rivier Raiders	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x78ef13…
10-27 01:31:39	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xa627dc…
10-27 01:31:20	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xfc9afe…
10-27 01:28:48	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xe8a5cb…
10-26 22:19:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xc6cb48…
10-26 22:18:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x5d4734…
10-26 21:35:47	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026-27 NHL Metropolitan Division?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x004266…
10-26 21:01:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 75% or more?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xc69574…
10-26 19:45:59	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x0f77cd…
10-26 19:45:51	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0xeb4ce4…
10-26 19:45:44	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0xdb7fad…
10-26 19:26:03	Will Meta (META) close above $650 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x2f1d73…
10-26 19:15:00	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 26?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xadff75…
10-26 19:01:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xaa9049…
10-26 18:54:03	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 41 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xbb7d98…
10-26 18:54:03	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x8b88c9…
10-26 18:54:03	Will the Republican Party hold 40 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x5cd9a8…
10-26 18:30:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x798272…
10-26 18:28:08	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x92b520…
10-26 18:28:08	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 42 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x72f8ff…
10-26 18:24:06	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x4af87c…
10-26 18:14:45	Will Meta (META) close above $650 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa3d078…
10-26 17:50:59	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xa84612…
10-26 17:36:02	Will Meta (META) close above $650 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x50d9ae…
10-26 17:35:11	Will Meta (META) close above $650 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xe5b9e9…
10-26 17:34:54	Will Meta (META) close above $650 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x0bed31…
10-26 17:24:11	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x1cdfe8…
10-26 16:24:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xa69166…
10-26 14:52:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x23c8e5…
10-26 14:46:50	Sheffield Shield: South Australia vs Western Australia - Match goes to Day 5?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe7c16c…
10-26 14:46:30	Sheffield Shield: South Australia vs Western Australia - Match goes to Day 5?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x889f43…
10-26 14:46:11	Sheffield Shield: South Australia vs Western Australia - Match goes to Day 5?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x58ca7e…
10-26 13:47:17	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xac8fb8…
10-26 13:35:15	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf9bd2a…
10-26 12:32:11	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x9402e3…
10-26 11:05:11	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026-27 NHL Metropolitan Division?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x5c9d2b…
10-26 11:05:11	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026-27 NHL Metropolitan Division?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x1ae1e9…
10-26 11:05:08	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026-27 NHL Metropolitan Division?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xebd350…
10-26 11:05:08	Will the New York Islanders win the 2026-27 NHL Metropolitan Division?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x5cc4fb…
10-26 10:38:59	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026-27 NHL Metropolitan Division?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x4d2764…
10-26 09:34:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x9206ea…
10-26 09:24:08	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x149188…
10-26 09:01:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x447658…
10-26 08:53:59	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x37493c…
10-26 08:04:33	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xb5db9a…
10-26 08:04:33	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 41 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x917338…
10-26 08:04:33	Will the Republican Party hold 40 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x898581…
10-26 08:04:33	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 42 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x1fe0ae…
10-26 05:51:53	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xfbe71a…