Intent-Ton — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$93

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved (7d)

116

Trades (7d)

826

40,730 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$269

$17.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-30 17:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 239 days

Categories

Other

73% 29% +$3,170

Sports

14% 29% +$945

Crypto

7% 27% -$37

Politics

5% 55% +$212

Tech

0% 41% -$3

Pop-Culture

0% 33% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 4pt5	206	$1.3K	1,568	1,558	+10	Haiti	+$1,278	06-14 16:03
crint hon kwt 2026 03 06 team top batter hon	6	$138	308	137	+172	Yes	+$124	03-07 07:55
nba phx lal 2026 04 10 rebounds mark williams 2pt5	3	$135	95	135	-41	Yes	+$94	04-11 05:00
Medvedev vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 22.5	6	$135	175	135	+40	Over	+$175	04-28 21:32
Birmingham: Completed Match: Clement Chidekh vs Filippo Romano	6	$110	16	111	-95	Yes	+$14	06-02 18:52
Syria leading at halftime?	71	$108	1,603	1,603	+0	No	+$100	06-08 10:25
Vekic vs. Maristany: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	3	$104	96	104	-8	Under	+$83	05-09 12:11
Birrell vs. Boulter: Match O/U 21.5	3	$93	143	92	+51	Over	+$90	05-12 10:23
Set 1 Winner: Birrell vs Boulter	3	$89	200	100	+100	Boulter	+$85	05-12 09:39
Bahrain leading at halftime?	47	$79	814	814	+0	No	+$71	06-08 10:23
cs2 heroa zerote 2026 03 16 game1 odd even total kills	7	$66	34	74	-40	Odd	+$26	03-16 22:53
mlb bos tex 2026 09 15 tb willson contreras 1pt5	5	$63	63	63	+0	Under	+$62	09-16 03:08
itf aoranwa storch 2026 06 10 match total 21pt5	10	$60	121	121	+0	cancelled	+$58	06-10 10:12
ufc kar5 jas3 2026 04 18 win by submission	10	$59	369	60	+310	No	+$73	04-19 01:53
itf aoranwa storch 2026 06 10 match total 23pt5	3	$59	119	119	-0	cancelled	+$57	06-10 10:12
itf aoranwa storch 2026 06 10 match total 22pt5	3	$59	119	119	+0	cancelled	+$57	06-10 10:12
itf aoranwa storch 2026 06 10 set totals 2pt5	3	$59	118	118	+0	cancelled	+$56	06-10 10:12
cs2 crash charra 2026 03 31 game1 odd even total rounds	6	$57	117	56	+60	Odd	+$85	03-31 20:48
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 shots jefferson lerma gte1	2	$56	56	56	+0	No	+$55	07-07 21:43
Suns vs. Pistons: Team to Score First	6	$55	56	56	+0	Suns	+$54	10-08 08:28
Visker vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 23.5	10	$54	106	106	+0	cancelled	+$52	05-02 21:56
bl2 scp bra 2026 03 07 spread home 2pt5	3	$51	98	52	+46	Eintracht Braunschweig	+$49	03-07 13:31
bkbsn ind can 2026 06 28 total 173pt5	2	$50	168	168	+0	Over	+$47	06-28 11:10
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 3?	28	$50	471	86	+385	Yes	+$42	08-04 04:53
Visker vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 22.5	11	$49	107	107	-0	cancelled	+$47	05-02 21:58
Visker vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 21.5	11	$48	108	108	-0	cancelled	+$46	05-02 21:56
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	47	$47	498	498	+0	No	+$40	10-26 03:46
nba tor min 2026 03 05 1h total 111pt5	3	$46	11	52	-41	Under	-$1	03-06 02:14
Niels Visker vs. Michael Mmoh: Total Sets O/U 2.5	11	$43	106	106	+0	cancelled	+$41	05-02 21:49
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 shots luis suarez gte2	6	$43	55	45	+10	Yes	+$42	07-07 22:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 17:54:33	Will Taylor Swift appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xde3bf5…
10-30 17:53:06	Will Taylor Swift appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x3b8c18…
10-30 17:26:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 40%-45%?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x9b80d9…
10-30 17:23:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 40%-45%?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x717f00…
10-30 16:59:49	Will Tulane make College Football Playoff Quarterfinals?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xa54951…
10-30 16:20:43	Will Kanye West appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	8	72¢	$5	0x95ec9b…
10-30 16:20:37	Will Kanye West appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	8	72¢	$5	0x3d9545…
10-30 16:19:40	Will Kanye West appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x9bce9f…
10-30 16:14:07	Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x97b23d…
10-30 16:08:36	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf682d7…
10-30 14:57:01	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Charizard?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xc6e737…
10-30 14:04:28	Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xbfdf65…
10-30 13:24:19	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 41 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xb57c36…
10-30 12:32:48	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0xe14d29…
10-30 12:27:28	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $555 end of October?	Yes	BUY	94	0¢	$0	0xbb9f91…
10-30 07:57:03	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $585 end of October?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x4646ee…
10-30 07:56:52	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $615 end of October?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x67b5e1…
10-30 07:56:51	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $615 end of October?	Yes	BUY	106	0¢	$0	0xd6f975…
10-30 07:08:09	Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xb13cac…
10-30 05:16:42	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xd7072b…
10-30 05:16:39	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xc80e37…
10-30 04:19:45	Spread: Grizzlies (-16.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x213af6…
10-30 04:19:01	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xa30d01…
10-30 04:16:43	Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	560	0¢	$1	0xebe225…
10-30 04:16:24	Zach Edey: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2e8b6f…
10-30 04:14:45	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5	Under	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xed0d09…
10-30 04:14:43	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 221.5	Under	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x997f17…
10-30 04:12:55	Spread: Grizzlies (-18.5)	Trail Blazers	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x988e06…
10-30 04:12:48	Spread: Grizzlies (-14.5)	Trail Blazers	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0x4012f3…
10-30 04:11:39	Spread: Grizzlies (-18.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x743aeb…
10-30 04:11:34	Spread: Grizzlies (-18.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xe89080…
10-30 04:09:19	Spread: Grizzlies (-14.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0xa96cbd…
10-30 04:07:43	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xd8a415…
10-30 04:00:06	Zach Edey: Points O/U 14.5	No	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x4396bd…
10-30 03:49:49	Zach Edey: Points O/U 9.5	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd47329…
10-30 03:43:13	Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 1.5	No	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x3fc74a…
10-30 03:39:04	Josh Jacobs: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5	Under	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x34f445…
10-30 03:23:49	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Charizard?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x7e0b87…
10-30 03:20:54	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 203.5	Under	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x1277b6…
10-30 03:13:04	Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x741c5e…
10-30 03:03:33	Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 9.5	No	BUY	56	1¢	$1	0xc993dc…
10-30 02:46:34	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 203.5	Under	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x4ec568…
10-30 02:31:40	Ja Morant: Points O/U 24.5	No	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xb07269…
10-30 02:19:34	Cameron Boozer: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5	No	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x716e2e…
10-30 02:19:34	Cameron Boozer: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5	No	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x1efdbe…
10-30 02:19:31	Cameron Boozer: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5b8c20…
10-30 02:16:18	Donovan Clingan: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xba0295…
10-30 02:14:54	Ja Morant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xee4d7f…
10-30 02:14:28	Zach Edey: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	BUY	56	1¢	$1	0x5bfbb4…
10-30 02:12:45	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: Team to Score First	Trail Blazers	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xbe34a6…
10-30 02:12:45	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: Team to Score First	Trail Blazers	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x89f10c…
10-30 02:09:48	Ja Morant: Points O/U 24.5	No	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x256131…
10-30 01:42:07	Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x44062a…
10-30 01:01:33	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xd8c16b…
10-30 00:59:03	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x684323…
10-30 00:52:52	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Gengar?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x6c8522…
10-30 00:43:40	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x20a12f…
10-30 00:39:51	Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xae3416…
10-30 00:39:30	Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x669b64…
10-29 23:59:10	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Pikachu?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xa7dadc…
10-29 23:56:52	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Pikachu?	No	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xde9ab1…
10-29 23:56:48	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Pikachu?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x5e6d77…
10-29 23:18:31	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x9a8cc9…
10-29 22:50:04	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x4ac800…
10-29 22:50:00	Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 4.5	No	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xcb3d36…
10-29 22:35:19	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xb4a40b…
10-29 22:31:13	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x154294…
10-29 21:30:42	Jalen Coker: Receptions O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe93c4c…
10-29 21:27:15	Ty Jerome: Points O/U 9.5	No	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x20f4d6…
10-29 21:26:37	Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 1.5	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x31a82f…
10-29 21:26:30	Ja Morant: Assists O/U 1.5	No	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xd0f330…
10-29 21:26:10	Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x4f1267…
10-29 21:25:58	Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0xb7f4c0…
10-29 21:25:43	Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 3.5	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x39fe59…
10-29 21:23:16	Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xb0a999…
10-29 20:42:58	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb86304…
10-29 20:41:34	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x94bb9c…
10-29 20:41:34	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x55ea08…
10-29 20:36:34	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 40% or more?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb9e765…
10-29 20:36:34	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x590d86…
10-29 20:22:57	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x77bbd9…
10-29 20:04:09	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x26a73d…
10-29 19:56:39	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x6d2e6e…
10-29 19:54:06	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x7022d3…
10-29 19:52:46	Will Yashar win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	24	2¢	$1	0x7d410e…
10-29 19:51:28	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x571391…
10-29 19:37:46	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x19a564…
10-29 19:32:13	Will Yashar win 26-27 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0xc24332…
10-29 19:27:57	Will Yashar win 26-27 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0x5475f7…
10-29 19:05:58	Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xca1f45…
10-29 19:03:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x96c3cd…
10-29 19:02:39	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	No	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x1d8a33…
10-29 17:55:29	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc686fc…
10-29 17:55:25	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x374324…
10-29 17:55:20	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x9a57e7…
10-29 17:47:29	Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb72275…
10-29 17:43:16	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x1cbe06…
10-29 17:30:40	Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xf9bf93…
10-29 17:18:58	Will Yashar win 24-25 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xc0e259…
10-29 17:18:58	Will Yashar win 24-25 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x9149e0…