Intent-Ton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.37K

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

70.8%

Resolved

9,191

Trades

41,302

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-05

last 11-04 16:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 244 days

Categories

Other

73% 29% +$3,229

Sports

14% 29% +$944

Crypto

7% 28% -$32

Politics

5% 56% +$238

Tech

0% 41% -$3

Pop-Culture

0% 33% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 240 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+3	-$3	3¢	$0	+$3	11-03 15:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Brazil (-4.5)	206	$1.3K	1,568	1,558	+10	Haiti	+$1,278	06-14 16:03
crint hon kwt 2026 03 06 team top batter hon	6	$138	308	137	+172	Yes	+$124	03-07 07:55
nba phx lal 2026 04 10 rebounds mark williams 2pt5	3	$135	95	135	-41	Yes	+$94	04-11 05:00
Medvedev vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 22.5	6	$135	175	135	+40	Over	+$175	04-28 21:32
Birmingham: Completed Match: Clement Chidekh vs Filippo Romano	6	$110	16	111	-95	Yes	+$14	06-02 18:52
Syria leading at halftime?	71	$108	1,603	1,603	+0	No	+$100	06-08 10:25
Vekic vs. Maristany: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	3	$104	96	104	-8	Under	+$83	05-09 12:11
Birrell vs. Boulter: Match O/U 21.5	3	$93	143	92	+51	Over	+$90	05-12 10:23
Set 1 Winner: Birrell vs Boulter	3	$89	200	100	+100	Boulter	+$85	05-12 09:39
Bahrain leading at halftime?	47	$79	814	814	+0	No	+$71	06-08 10:23
cs2 heroa zerote 2026 03 16 game1 odd even total kills	7	$66	34	74	-40	Odd	+$26	03-16 22:53
mlb bos tex 2026 09 15 tb willson contreras 1pt5	5	$63	63	63	+0	Under	+$62	09-16 03:08
itf aoranwa storch 2026 06 10 match total 21pt5	10	$60	121	121	+0	cancelled	+$58	06-10 10:12
ufc kar5 jas3 2026 04 18 win by submission	10	$59	369	60	+310	No	+$73	04-19 01:53
itf aoranwa storch 2026 06 10 match total 23pt5	3	$59	119	119	-0	cancelled	+$57	06-10 10:12
itf aoranwa storch 2026 06 10 match total 22pt5	3	$59	119	119	+0	cancelled	+$57	06-10 10:12
itf aoranwa storch 2026 06 10 set totals 2pt5	3	$59	118	118	+0	cancelled	+$56	06-10 10:12
cs2 crash charra 2026 03 31 game1 odd even total rounds	6	$57	117	56	+60	Odd	+$85	03-31 20:48
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 shots jefferson lerma gte1	2	$56	56	56	+0	No	+$55	07-07 21:43
Suns vs. Pistons: Team to Score First	6	$55	56	56	+0	Suns	+$54	10-08 08:28
Visker vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 23.5	10	$54	106	106	+0	cancelled	+$52	05-02 21:56
bl2 scp bra 2026 03 07 spread home 2pt5	3	$51	98	52	+46	Eintracht Braunschweig	+$49	03-07 13:31
bkbsn ind can 2026 06 28 total 173pt5	2	$50	168	168	+0	Over	+$47	06-28 11:10
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 3?	28	$50	471	86	+385	Yes	+$42	08-04 04:53
Visker vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 22.5	11	$49	107	107	-0	cancelled	+$47	05-02 21:58
Visker vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 21.5	11	$48	108	108	-0	cancelled	+$46	05-02 21:56
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	47	$47	498	498	+0	No	+$40	10-26 03:46
nba tor min 2026 03 05 1h total 111pt5	3	$46	11	52	-41	Under	-$1	03-06 02:14
Niels Visker vs. Michael Mmoh: Total Sets O/U 2.5	11	$43	106	106	+0	cancelled	+$41	05-02 21:49
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 shots luis suarez gte2	6	$43	55	45	+10	Yes	+$42	07-07 22:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 18:09:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdb87a0…
11-04 18:09:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb98b62…
11-04 18:09:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 60% or more?	No	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xb51c26…
11-04 17:53:10	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xbf147f…
11-04 17:36:48	Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xf5246d…
11-04 16:55:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x110efe…
11-04 16:54:39	Will Ajman Club win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0xba9342…
11-04 16:36:36	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xce95bc…
11-04 16:18:57	Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xfa4917…
11-04 16:18:07	Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x417779…
11-04 16:13:24	Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Draw at halftime?	No	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x1cf6f9…
11-04 16:08:28	Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xffff04…
11-04 16:08:27	Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Neither team to score first?	No	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x831b42…
11-04 16:08:24	Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x33b450…
11-04 15:16:52	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $177 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0xb4d972…
11-04 14:55:10	Will Vanderbilt make College Football Playoff Quarterfinals?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x254847…
11-04 14:30:03	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $165 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0x3fc8ff…
11-04 13:42:45	Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xcf7f85…
11-04 13:41:58	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x02c9bb…
11-04 12:53:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0x619633…
11-04 12:51:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xd6847a…
11-04 12:51:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x6c188f…
11-04 12:45:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xe69e3e…
11-04 12:45:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x8c1690…
11-04 12:45:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x4b335c…
11-04 12:45:34	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x1a073d…
11-04 12:18:28	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x8c82e5…
11-04 12:17:24	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xf2da8e…
11-04 12:17:24	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x94f6eb…
11-04 12:14:15	Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xf7d05d…
11-04 12:01:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 30% or more?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xb5bd12…
11-04 11:58:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election?	Yes	BUY	57	0¢	$0	0x1a2f2b…
11-04 11:57:31	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 30% or more?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0xfa1090…
11-04 11:57:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x75c767…
11-04 11:57:22	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xdea157…
11-04 11:57:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x128c63…
11-04 11:57:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x499d4b…
11-04 11:38:22	Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x31994e…
11-04 11:31:01	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xeb5097…
11-04 11:20:31	Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x459872…
11-04 11:03:46	Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x5c3222…
11-04 09:41:07	Will NEOM SC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0xdec7b6…
11-04 09:41:07	Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x3cc3bc…
11-04 09:41:07	Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x01e69b…
11-04 09:41:06	Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?	No	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xe7bd94…
11-04 09:15:42	Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xdaeca3…
11-04 08:51:52	Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x985971…
11-04 08:50:25	Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x69eec5…
11-04 07:57:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x1dd04b…
11-04 07:14:37	Will Jayden Daniels lead the NFL in completion percentage for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x64c054…
11-04 07:13:18	Will NEOM SC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x58da44…
11-04 06:39:19	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xd06d59…
11-04 06:24:18	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 42 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	78	1¢	$1	0xe76471…
11-04 05:57:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 55%-60%?	Yes	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0x2bcfb6…
11-04 05:38:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x3f815f…
11-04 05:22:16	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	79	6¢	$5	0x5e6de3…
11-04 04:55:12	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 47 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x09df57…
11-04 04:45:28	Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xabed04…
11-04 04:44:30	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat?	No	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x875a01…
11-04 04:44:04	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 47 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0x56ef61…
11-04 04:42:36	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 42 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x5c00ea…
11-04 04:42:36	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x12117d…
11-04 04:42:36	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 47 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x069f63…
11-04 04:38:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xb965f1…
11-04 04:35:10	Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf9a612…
11-04 04:35:10	Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5874d4…
11-04 04:25:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x4fae68…
11-04 04:25:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x1a8849…
11-04 04:24:34	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 42 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x676d20…
11-04 04:24:34	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 42 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x3df819…
11-04 04:24:34	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x015628…
11-04 04:14:10	Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xf1386e…
11-04 04:13:46	Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?	No	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x8e87a5…
11-04 04:13:45	Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?	No	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x9aabed…
11-04 04:13:18	Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7b9e73…
11-04 04:13:18	Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x121378…
11-04 04:13:13	Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xeda591…
11-04 04:13:13	Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x560933…
11-04 04:11:27	Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?	No	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0x337f90…
11-04 04:10:57	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x14d9f5…
11-04 04:10:36	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x63f190…
11-04 04:10:19	Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x5220e2…
11-04 04:06:16	Will the loser of the Texas Senate election concede by November 3?	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x712d40…
11-04 04:06:10	Will the loser of the Texas Senate election concede by November 4?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xaffef2…
11-04 04:06:04	Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x2c76b4…
11-04 04:03:33	Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xaf7444…
11-04 04:01:52	Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?	No	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xcf7eed…
11-04 04:01:49	Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x656f71…
11-04 04:01:01	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xca1909…
11-04 04:00:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 55%-60%?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xfd46ab…
11-04 04:00:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 0%-35%?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xb53a14…
11-04 04:00:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 75% or more?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xa9d8aa…
11-04 04:00:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 65%-70%?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x94ec13…
11-04 04:00:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x232602…
11-04 03:57:28	Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x8a48c6…
11-04 03:56:58	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x183861…
11-04 03:56:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x80cba3…
11-04 03:56:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 0%-10%?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x29fbf1…
11-04 03:54:30	Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xcf90c0…
11-04 03:53:33	Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?	No	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x4d709e…