Intent-Ton — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$301

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved (30d)

465

Trades (30d)

2,135

40,804 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$776

$17.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-31 21:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 240 days

Categories

Other

73% 29% +$3,164

Sports

14% 29% +$945

Crypto

7% 28% -$32

Politics

5% 55% +$212

Tech

0% 41% -$3

Pop-Culture

0% 33% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 4pt5	206	$1.3K	1,568	1,558	+10	Haiti	+$1,278	06-14 16:03
crint hon kwt 2026 03 06 team top batter hon	6	$138	308	137	+172	Yes	+$124	03-07 07:55
nba phx lal 2026 04 10 rebounds mark williams 2pt5	3	$135	95	135	-41	Yes	+$94	04-11 05:00
Medvedev vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 22.5	6	$135	175	135	+40	Over	+$175	04-28 21:32
Birmingham: Completed Match: Clement Chidekh vs Filippo Romano	6	$110	16	111	-95	Yes	+$14	06-02 18:52
Syria leading at halftime?	71	$108	1,603	1,603	+0	No	+$100	06-08 10:25
Vekic vs. Maristany: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	3	$104	96	104	-8	Under	+$83	05-09 12:11
Birrell vs. Boulter: Match O/U 21.5	3	$93	143	92	+51	Over	+$90	05-12 10:23
Set 1 Winner: Birrell vs Boulter	3	$89	200	100	+100	Boulter	+$85	05-12 09:39
Bahrain leading at halftime?	47	$79	814	814	+0	No	+$71	06-08 10:23
cs2 heroa zerote 2026 03 16 game1 odd even total kills	7	$66	34	74	-40	Odd	+$26	03-16 22:53
mlb bos tex 2026 09 15 tb willson contreras 1pt5	5	$63	63	63	+0	Under	+$62	09-16 03:08
itf aoranwa storch 2026 06 10 match total 21pt5	10	$60	121	121	+0	cancelled	+$58	06-10 10:12
ufc kar5 jas3 2026 04 18 win by submission	10	$59	369	60	+310	No	+$73	04-19 01:53
itf aoranwa storch 2026 06 10 match total 23pt5	3	$59	119	119	-0	cancelled	+$57	06-10 10:12
itf aoranwa storch 2026 06 10 match total 22pt5	3	$59	119	119	+0	cancelled	+$57	06-10 10:12
itf aoranwa storch 2026 06 10 set totals 2pt5	3	$59	118	118	+0	cancelled	+$56	06-10 10:12
cs2 crash charra 2026 03 31 game1 odd even total rounds	6	$57	117	56	+60	Odd	+$85	03-31 20:48
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 shots jefferson lerma gte1	2	$56	56	56	+0	No	+$55	07-07 21:43
Suns vs. Pistons: Team to Score First	6	$55	56	56	+0	Suns	+$54	10-08 08:28
Visker vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 23.5	10	$54	106	106	+0	cancelled	+$52	05-02 21:56
bl2 scp bra 2026 03 07 spread home 2pt5	3	$51	98	52	+46	Eintracht Braunschweig	+$49	03-07 13:31
bkbsn ind can 2026 06 28 total 173pt5	2	$50	168	168	+0	Over	+$47	06-28 11:10
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 3?	28	$50	471	86	+385	Yes	+$42	08-04 04:53
Visker vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 22.5	11	$49	107	107	-0	cancelled	+$47	05-02 21:58
Visker vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 21.5	11	$48	108	108	-0	cancelled	+$46	05-02 21:56
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	47	$47	498	498	+0	No	+$40	10-26 03:46
nba tor min 2026 03 05 1h total 111pt5	3	$46	11	52	-41	Under	-$1	03-06 02:14
Niels Visker vs. Michael Mmoh: Total Sets O/U 2.5	11	$43	106	106	+0	cancelled	+$41	05-02 21:49
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 shots luis suarez gte2	6	$43	55	45	+10	Yes	+$42	07-07 22:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 22:03:21	Will Talita Alencar win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x13a80a…
10-31 22:02:04	UFC Fight Night: Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Talita Alencar	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x1c5aa9…
10-31 22:02:03	UFC Fight Night: Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Talita Alencar	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xddd838…
10-31 22:02:03	UFC Fight Night: Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Talita Alencar	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x4a67ca…
10-31 21:53:24	Will the fight end before Round 3?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x87cf0c…
10-31 21:53:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x0611b4…
10-31 21:45:07	O/U 0.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	56	1¢	$1	0x265fef…
10-31 21:41:42	Will the fight end before Round 3?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xfd9094…
10-31 19:39:39	Will Texas A&M make College Football Playoff Quarterfinals?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xd0733a…
10-31 19:31:54	Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xd4d68e…
10-31 18:51:21	Will the Democratic Party win the ME-01 House seat?	No	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x002b2f…
10-31 18:12:24	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xe72fc0…
10-31 16:52:45	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x909b8d…
10-31 16:52:01	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x6379b3…
10-31 16:38:22	Will Texas A&M make College Football Playoff Quarterfinals?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x666832…
10-31 16:27:42	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x301db8…
10-31 16:21:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 40% or more?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x757b35…
10-31 16:18:42	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x57ccbd…
10-31 16:11:22	Will Bedford Town Football Club vs. Macclesfield FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xa6dda4…
10-31 16:11:22	Will Macclesfield FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x54b577…
10-31 16:11:22	Will Macclesfield FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0x353615…
10-31 15:40:04	Will Bedford Town Football Club win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x643fdc…
10-31 15:29:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 40% or more?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcb1416…
10-31 15:29:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa20da3…
10-31 15:19:27	Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - CyberClash Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x6dbd03…
10-31 15:19:27	Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - CyberClash Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x0e4213…
10-31 15:11:36	Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x0093ce…
10-31 11:45:52	A Team Test: New Zealand A vs India A - Match goes to Day 5?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xf44267…
10-31 11:45:10	A Team Test: New Zealand A vs India A - Match goes to Day 5?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x9c865b…
10-31 11:44:55	A Team Test: New Zealand A vs India A - Match goes to Day 5?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x3781bc…
10-31 11:44:48	A Team Test: New Zealand A vs India A - Match goes to Day 5?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0x1b047e…
10-31 11:14:57	Will FC Altai Oskemen win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x612bf4…
10-31 09:17:31	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x1e20bc…
10-31 08:43:46	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Snorlax?	Yes	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0xdcb7f5…
10-31 07:30:18	Will Sabrina Carpenter appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x8b821f…
10-31 07:00:42	Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xc0be47…
10-31 05:01:51	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Charizard?	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0x1d25b0…
10-31 02:54:10	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x20cfe8…
10-31 02:23:18	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Charizard?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x719d8b…
10-31 01:34:09	Coast Guard Bears vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers	Coast Guard Bears	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x50d5b7…
10-31 01:10:24	Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x62033f…
10-31 01:10:22	Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xeb3df1…
10-31 01:09:18	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xf2891e…
10-31 00:05:28	Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs BESTIA (BO3) - FiReSPORTS Last Chance Group D	Wildcard	BUY	251	0¢	$0	0x8aced4…
10-31 00:05:01	Will Sabrina Carpenter appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x2d9462…
10-31 00:01:07	Will Sabrina Carpenter appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x9ec14a…
10-30 23:54:12	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x2b8bba…
10-30 23:54:07	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5fc076…
10-30 23:39:51	Will Luke Combs appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xbbe68c…
10-30 23:39:37	Will Drake appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x645dbe…
10-30 22:59:03	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x4133b8…
10-30 21:15:07	Will Yashar win 26-27 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xee5fd1…
10-30 21:10:57	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x70b540…
10-30 20:38:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 45% or more?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbc5fb9…
10-30 19:19:34	Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x46b10a…
10-30 19:17:03	Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x67e9ce…
10-30 18:58:33	Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xc7b639…
10-30 18:34:45	Will Drake appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xec5ca6…
10-30 18:34:45	Will Drake appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xe346d5…
10-30 18:34:45	Will Drake appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x387f53…
10-30 18:30:31	cs2 fxw7 shin 2026 10 30 game3 round handicap fxw7 6pt5	ShindeN	BUY	48	1¢	$0	0x04ff13…
10-30 18:28:30	Will Luke Combs appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xef997a…
10-30 18:28:30	Will Luke Combs appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x2e60a6…
10-30 18:27:16	Will Drake appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xe3e3bc…
10-30 17:54:33	Will Taylor Swift appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xde3bf5…
10-30 17:53:06	Will Taylor Swift appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x3b8c18…
10-30 17:26:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 40%-45%?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x9b80d9…
10-30 17:23:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 40%-45%?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x717f00…
10-30 16:59:49	Will Tulane make College Football Playoff Quarterfinals?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xa54951…
10-30 16:20:43	Will Kanye West appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	8	72¢	$5	0x95ec9b…
10-30 16:20:37	Will Kanye West appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	8	72¢	$5	0x3d9545…
10-30 16:19:40	Will Kanye West appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x9bce9f…
10-30 16:14:07	Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x97b23d…
10-30 16:08:36	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf682d7…
10-30 14:57:01	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Charizard?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xc6e737…
10-30 14:04:28	Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xbfdf65…
10-30 13:24:19	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 41 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xb57c36…
10-30 12:32:48	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0xe14d29…
10-30 12:27:28	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $555 end of October?	Yes	BUY	94	0¢	$0	0xbb9f91…
10-30 07:57:03	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $585 end of October?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x4646ee…
10-30 07:56:52	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $615 end of October?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x67b5e1…
10-30 07:56:51	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $615 end of October?	Yes	BUY	106	0¢	$0	0xd6f975…
10-30 07:08:09	Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xb13cac…
10-30 05:16:42	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xd7072b…
10-30 05:16:39	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xc80e37…
10-30 04:19:45	Spread: Grizzlies (-16.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x213af6…
10-30 04:19:01	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xa30d01…
10-30 04:16:43	Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	560	0¢	$1	0xebe225…
10-30 04:16:24	Zach Edey: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2e8b6f…
10-30 04:14:45	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5	Under	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xed0d09…
10-30 04:14:43	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 221.5	Under	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x997f17…
10-30 04:12:55	Spread: Grizzlies (-18.5)	Trail Blazers	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x988e06…
10-30 04:12:48	Spread: Grizzlies (-14.5)	Trail Blazers	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0x4012f3…
10-30 04:11:39	Spread: Grizzlies (-18.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x743aeb…
10-30 04:11:34	Spread: Grizzlies (-18.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xe89080…
10-30 04:09:19	Spread: Grizzlies (-14.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0xa96cbd…
10-30 04:07:43	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xd8a415…
10-30 04:00:06	Zach Edey: Points O/U 14.5	No	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x4396bd…
10-30 03:49:49	Zach Edey: Points O/U 9.5	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd47329…
10-30 03:43:13	Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 1.5	No	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x3fc74a…