Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 30%-35%?
open
Total volume
$1,901
Trades
232
Unique wallets
68
Liquidity
$4,011
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-26
last 11-09 16:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.5¢
(top1%: 16% YES on $365
vs crowd: 17% YES on $1.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 28 | $97 | $710 | $614 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 20 | $145 | $482 | $337 |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $9 | $66 | $57 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $7 | — | +$7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 18 | $57 | $309 | $252 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $62 | $135 | $73 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 4 | $1 | $32 | $31 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $3 | $22 | $20 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $53 | $251 | $198 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 18 | $82 | $504 | $422 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +232 | $20 | $20 | 11 | 11-04 16:55 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +104 | $14 | $14 | 7 | 11-02 17:21 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | +102 | $89 | $89 | 4 | 10-31 16:21 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +100 | $85 | $85 | 2 | 10-27 19:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +84 | $72 | $74 | 6 | 11-03 00:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +84 | $13 | $13 | 7 | 11-03 00:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x8314…0b88 | Yes | +69 | $8 | $8 | 5 | 10-29 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +65 | $9 | $9 | 4 | 11-02 17:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +65 | $56 | $56 | 5 | 11-03 00:32 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +60 | $9 | $9 | 4 | 10-29 20:36 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | +60 | $52 | $52 | 3 | 10-29 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +58 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 11-02 17:21 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | +54 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 10-29 20:36 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | +54 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 10-29 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | Yes | +49 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 11-05 16:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +40 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 11-02 17:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | +40 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-29 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | +40 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-29 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | +40 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 10-29 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | +40 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 10-29 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | No | +39 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 11-04 13:08 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 11-04 03:56 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 11-05 16:49 |
| This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | +30 | $4 | $9 | 6 | 10-29 20:36 |
| This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 10-29 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +28 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-29 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +28 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 10-29 20:36 |
| Intent-Ton 0xa36d…3654 | Yes | +28 | -$3 | $3 | 16 | 11-09 16:12 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 09-06 13:11 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +24 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 09-19 20:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +24 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-25 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x6865…62b3 | No | +22 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 11-02 17:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-25 18:04 |
| Scary-Holder 0xdc53…cb5e | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-27 02:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-25 17:52 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-25 17:52 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-04 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 3 | 11-02 17:21 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-16 16:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-03 05:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 11-04 12:46 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +20 | $8 | $10 | 5 | 11-03 05:01 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | +20 | $18 | $118 | 3 | 11-02 17:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-02 17:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +20 | $17 | $118 | 5 | 11-02 17:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x4056…c4f1 | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 09-19 20:47 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 09-19 20:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-04 06:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4eb…744f | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-29 20:36 |
| Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | Yes | +11 | $2 | $4 | 2 | 11-02 17:22 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $2 | 4 | 10-31 04:26 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-29 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7d5…6b08 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-27 02:55 |
| Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-18 02:14 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-04 06:56 |
| Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-16 16:33 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-13 03:12 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-27 02:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-27 02:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-02 17:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-09 16:12:07 | Intent-Ton 0xa36d…3654 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8adc24… |
| 11-09 16:12:07 | (anonymous) 0xf26c…d5c5 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x8adc24… |
| 11-05 16:49:16 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xe89a44… |
| 11-05 16:49:16 | (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe89a44… |
| 11-04 16:55:03 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x12172b… |
| 11-04 16:55:03 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x12172b… |
| 11-04 13:08:58 | (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | No | BUY | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0x0db51d… |
| 11-04 13:08:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0db51d… |
| 11-04 12:46:12 | (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x168e1d… |
| 11-04 12:46:12 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x168e1d… |
| 11-04 12:45:36 | Intent-Ton 0xa36d…3654 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8c1690… |
| 11-04 12:45:36 | (anonymous) 0x8beb…3be3 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x8c1690… |
| 11-04 06:56:07 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52ba36… |
| 11-04 06:56:07 | (anonymous) 0x3e4a…d070 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52ba36… |
| 11-04 06:56:07 | (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52ba36… |
| 11-04 06:56:07 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52ba36… |
| 11-04 06:56:07 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52ba36… |
| 11-04 03:56:58 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x183861… |
| 11-04 03:56:58 | Intent-Ton 0xa36d…3654 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x183861… |
| 11-03 05:01:06 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6b6929… |
| 11-03 05:01:06 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6b6929… |
| 11-03 00:38:06 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x77b89f… |
| 11-03 00:38:06 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x77b89f… |
| 11-03 00:38:00 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa8a6d9… |
| 11-03 00:38:00 | (anonymous) 0x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa8a6d9… |
| 11-03 00:32:18 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 0 | 88¢ | $0 | 0xf3c1b3… |
| 11-03 00:32:18 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | SELL | 0 | 88¢ | $0 | 0xf3c1b3… |
| 11-02 17:22:52 | (anonymous) 0x3e4a…d070 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xc7c47b… |
| 11-02 17:22:52 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xc7c47b… |
| 11-02 17:21:30 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xee1066… |
| 11-02 17:21:30 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xee1066… |
| 11-02 17:21:28 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xbccda9… |
| 11-02 17:21:28 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xbccda9… |
| 11-02 17:21:27 | (anonymous) 0x6865…62b3 | No | BUY | 22 | 84¢ | $18 | 0x7bef33… |
| 11-02 17:21:27 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x57a886… |
| 11-02 17:21:27 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x7bef33… |
| 11-02 17:21:27 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x72cfd8… |
| 11-02 17:21:27 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x9c72c6… |
| 11-02 17:21:27 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 58 | 84¢ | $49 | 0x1b7406… |
| 11-02 17:21:27 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x9c72c6… |
| 11-02 17:21:27 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 38 | 16¢ | $6 | 0x1b7406… |
| 11-02 17:21:27 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x1b7406… |
| 11-02 17:21:27 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x57a886… |
| 11-02 17:21:27 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x7bef33… |
| 11-02 17:21:27 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 40 | 84¢ | $33 | 0x72cfd8… |
| 11-02 17:21:27 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x72cfd8… |
| 11-01 08:50:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x2bb24b… |
| 11-01 08:50:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 26 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x2bb24b… |
| 10-31 16:21:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x57c0cd… |
| 10-31 16:21:06 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x57c0cd… |
| 10-31 15:29:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x394dc9… |
| 10-31 15:29:24 | These-Woodshed 0xd7b6…2ccd | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xc5cd73… |
| 10-31 15:29:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xc5cd73… |
| 10-31 15:29:24 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x394dc9… |
| 10-31 04:26:04 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xee51de… |
| 10-31 04:26:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xee51de… |
| 10-29 23:08:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xfa4ede… |
| 10-29 23:08:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 16 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xfa4ede… |
| 10-29 20:36:36 | (anonymous) 0x3e4a…d070 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xdb5292… |
| 10-29 20:36:36 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd4096b… |
| 10-29 20:36:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x444d4d… |
| 10-29 20:36:36 | (anonymous) 0xd4eb…744f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x74fa9f… |
| 10-29 20:36:36 | (anonymous) 0xd4eb…744f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x444d4d… |
| 10-29 20:36:36 | (anonymous) 0x3e4a…d070 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x6e5311… |
| 10-29 20:36:36 | (anonymous) 0x8314…0b88 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x822ebe… |
| 10-29 20:36:36 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xdb5292… |
| 10-29 20:36:36 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x6e5311… |
| 10-29 20:36:36 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x1bc2b4… |
| 10-29 20:36:36 | (anonymous) 0x8314…0b88 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x1bc2b4… |
| 10-29 20:36:36 | (anonymous) 0x3e4a…d070 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd4096b… |
| 10-29 20:36:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x74fa9f… |
| 10-29 20:36:36 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | BUY | 14 | 88¢ | $12 | 0x822ebe… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xf09e67… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x97e392… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x1f3c71… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xea16b8… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x9ab804… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xf09e67… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x55e2a6… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | BUY | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xa27eef… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 12 | 88¢ | $11 | 0xeadc4a… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xea16b8… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xa27eef… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x9ab804… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xeadc4a… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xeadc4a… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x55e2a6… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0xa8e867… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x97e392… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0xcee4c4… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 32 | 88¢ | $28 | 0xa27eef… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x9ab804… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xf09e67… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xa8e867… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 72 | 88¢ | $63 | 0xf09e67… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xea16b8… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0xc67b0c… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc67b0c… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xcee4c4… |
| 10-29 20:36:34 | These-Woodshed 0xd7b6…2ccd | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x1f3c71… |