Realized P&L
+$197
Unrealized P&L
+$185
Hit rate
71.7%
Resolved
108
Trades
427
lifetime
Volume
$4.75K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$722
29 positions
First seen
2026-10-03
last 11-09 18:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
93% 60% +$231
Politics
4% 67% -$1
Sports
1% 40% -$32
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +241 $120 60¢ $144 +$24 10-21 14:49
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 20m? Yes +236 $27 59¢ $138 +$111 11-08 21:20
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +152 $120 82¢ $125 +$5 11-08 11:22
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m? Yes +217 $85 37¢ $80 -$5 11-07 21:51
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m? No +120 $60 42¢ $50 -$10 11-07 16:47
Will "The One About Matthew Perry: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? Yes +36 $12 97¢ $35 +$23 11-09 13:59
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027? No +30 $20 80¢ $24 +$4 11-06 14:27
Will "The Day After Tomorrow" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Yes +20 $18 99¢ $20 +$2 11-06 02:19
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? Yes +18 $9 86¢ $16 +$6 11-09 18:50
Will N1 launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes +34 $20 40¢ $13 -$7 10-21 22:05
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m? No +13 -$1 99¢ $13 +$14 11-07 17:18
Will "Black Doves: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? No +12 $10 99¢ $12 +$2 11-07 16:42
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Yes +21 $10 55¢ $11 +$1 11-09 00:48
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 5%-10%? Yes +9 $1 93¢ $9 +$8 10-31 05:28
Will "The One About Matthew Perry: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? Yes +7 $6 97¢ $6 +$0 11-08 05:36
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Yes +35 $5 16¢ $5 +$1 11-09 19:31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-06 House election by 35%-40%? Yes +5 $1 95¢ $4 +$3 11-03 02:45
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 15%-20%? No +7 $5 59¢ $4 -$1 11-02 12:56
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 5%-10%? Yes +4 $1 98¢ $3 +$2 11-01 17:34
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? No +3 $2 86¢ $3 +$1 10-30 05:08
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%? Yes +11 $1 16¢ $2 +$1 10-30 02:07
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 15%-20%? Yes +4 $1 41¢ $2 +$1 11-02 12:56
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 11-01 08:45
Will "Kidnapped in Her Own Home: The Martha Carelli Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? Yes +1 $1 56¢ $1 -$1 11-08 20:34
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? Yes +2 $1 36¢ $1 $0 10-30 23:32
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 25% or more? Yes +10 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 11-02 00:31
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Team Allied - Game 1 Winner Team Allied — +11 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 11-09 19:16
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026? No +0 $0 70¢ $0 +$0 11-03 20:07
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000? No +0 -$5 6¢ $0 +$5 11-03 09:21