Realized P&L
+$135
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
80.6%
Resolved
1,332
Trades
5,200
lifetime
Volume
$16.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$446
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-13
last 10-28 04:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Other
63% 36% +$71
Politics
19% 42% +$31
Sports
12% 43% +$23
Tech
4% 38% +$10
Crypto
2% 67% +$0
Pop-Culture
1% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? No +45 $45 99¢ $44 $0 10-19 12:38
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +45 $44 96¢ $43 -$1 09-15 08:21
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +30 $29 97¢ $29 $0 08-05 16:02
Will Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? No +27 $26 96¢ $26 $0 10-25 18:24
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? No +25 $24 97¢ $24 $0 08-21 10:09
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 08-25 06:04
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$0 09-16 06:52
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 07-26 21:03
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 07-19 22:03
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +15 $15 98¢ $15 $0 07-22 00:35
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 +$0 08-03 07:10
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +15 $15 89¢ $13 -$1 07-18 07:16
Will Saquon Barkley win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +11 $11 100¢ $11 +$0 08-07 11:18
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 08-09 22:36
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 10-07 21:51
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 10-02 04:55
Will Schalke 04 be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 10-04 08:06
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 10-02 14:16
Will VfB Stuttgart be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 09-16 17:47
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 09-23 20:47
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 09-16 04:31
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 09-17 14:37
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 09-17 16:20
Will SC Freiburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 09-17 22:36
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 $0 10-04 23:22
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 $0 09-12 17:59
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 $0 10-02 10:26
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +10 $0 88¢ $9 +$9 08-17 06:00
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 09-27 08:44
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 07-29 15:27